| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | East Carolina | 48-10 | 1906.9 | -39.4 | 1867.6 | 97.0% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Kentucky | 45-17 | 1867.6 | -13.6 | 1853.9 | 83.1% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Florida State | 50-36 | 1853.9 | -10.1 | 1843.9 | 87.9% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | South Carolina | 49-18 | 1843.9 | +30.5 | 1874.4 | 72.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Mississippi State | 56-23 | 1874.4 | +39.8 | 1914.2 | 74.5% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Georgia | 17-20 | 1914.2 | -10.9 | 1903.3 | 53.2% |