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Lattice Tracker

388 intra-FBS games of 2026, each graded against the DraftKings closing line and the result. Every game the book closed carries a pick — the side Lattice prefers to that number — and all of them are counted below.

Every pick
198–183–7 52.0%
against the spread, on the side the model preferred
Straight-up winner
76.0%
the easier question, and not a bet
The bar
52.4%
break-even at −110. A coin flip is 50.0%

Lattice against DraftKings

LatticeDraftKingsDifference
Mean error on the margin 12.02 11.35 -0.67
Log loss (372 priced games) 0.5171 0.4949 -0.0222

Both log losses are over the same games: the ones DraftKings priced.

Against the opening line

The same games graded against DraftKings’ opening line, with the pick made fresh against it. 381 of 388 games have one.

GamesAgainst the spread
Picks against the opening line 381 204–167–9 55.0%
Picks against the closing line 388 198–183–7 52.0%
LatticeDK openDK close
Mean error on the margin (381 games) 11.98 11.71 11.36

Where the line went after it opened. Against the side Lattice picked at the open, the book moved toward the pick on 197 games, away from it on 120, and not at all on 63 — an average of +0.71 points per game. Positive means the market moved to where the model already was.

Against the Sunday line

The same games graded against DraftKings at our first Sunday check of the week, with the pick made fresh against it. 173 of 388 games have one; our log begins on 2026-09-24.

GamesAgainst the spread
Picks against the Sunday line 173 91–79–3 53.5%
Picks against the closing line 388 198–183–7 52.0%
LatticeDK SundayDK close
Mean error on the margin (173 games) 12.15 12.03 11.74

Where the line went after Sunday. Against the side Lattice picked on Sunday, the book moved toward the pick on 88 games, away from it on 58, and not at all on 27 — an average of +0.35 points per game.

Week by week

WeekGamesPicks ATSvs openvs Sunday
1 51 23–26–2 46.9% 24–21 53.3%–
2 49 25–24 51.0% 29–20 59.2%–
3 57 28–28–1 50.0% 28–26–2 51.9%–
4 58 32–25–1 56.1% 31–26–1 54.4%–
5 56 33–22–1 60.0% 35–21 62.5%35–21 62.5%
6 58 29–29 50.0% 29–25–3 53.7%26–31–1 45.6%
7 59 28–29–2 49.1% 28–28–3 50.0%30–27–2 52.6%

The seasons before it

SeasonGamesPicks ATSvs open Lattice MAEDraftKings MAE
2023 718 328–374–16 46.7% 346–357–14 49.2% 12.53 12.06
2024 776 401–360–15 52.7% 364–319–7 53.3% 12.42 12.11
2025 761 378–371–12 50.5% 355–305–4 53.8% 12.19 11.84

Every pick

The side in this colour is Lattice’s pick against the closing line.

WkDateMatchupResult DK openDK SundayDK closeLatticeEdgeOutcome
1 2026-08-29 North Carolina vs TCU 15–10 – – +7.5 +12.8 -5.3 missed
1 2026-08-29 USC v San José State 42–26 -35.5 – -37.5 -38.2 +0.7 missed
1 2026-08-29 Virginia v NC State 34–8 – – -4.0 -1.0 -3.0 missed
1 2026-08-29 North Dakota State v Jacksonville State 33–7 -10.0 – -6.5 +0.2 -6.7 missed
1 2026-08-29 Eastern Michigan v Sacramento State 28–17 -8.5 – -9.5 -4.9 -4.6 missed
1 2026-08-29 Stanford v Hawai'i 37–27 -3.0 – -4.5 -5.1 +0.6 covered
1 2026-08-29 Florida State v New Mexico State 34–17 -28.5 – -30.5 -31.6 +1.1 missed
1 2026-08-30 UNLV v Memphis 21–27 -3.0 – -4.5 -2.3 -2.2 covered
1 2026-09-03 Rutgers v Massachusetts 21–37 -30.5 – -29.5 -46.4 +16.9 missed
1 2026-09-03 Wake Forest v Akron 38–16 -22.5 – -27.5 -21.3 -6.2 covered
1 2026-09-04 Georgia Tech v Colorado 13–14 -7.0 – -6.5 -11.0 +4.5 missed
1 2026-09-04 Illinois v UAB 42–23 -27.5 – -25.5 -26.8 +1.3 missed
1 2026-09-04 Eastern Michigan v San José State 21–27 -3.5 – -1.5 -4.9 +3.4 missed
1 2026-09-05 Oklahoma v UTEP 51–0 -40.5 – -40.5 -44.0 +3.5 covered
1 2026-09-05 Michigan State v Toledo 30–20 -10.5 – -10.0 -5.8 -4.2 push
1 2026-09-05 USC v Fresno State 39–0 -23.5 – -21.5 -24.6 +3.1 covered
1 2026-09-05 Stanford v Miami 6–45 +21.5 – +24.5 +20.3 +4.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Houston v Oregon State 33–20 -18.5 – -21.0 -21.9 +0.9 missed
1 2026-09-05 Alabama v East Carolina 48–10 -25.5 – -28.5 -22.5 -6.0 missed
1 2026-09-05 Nebraska v Ohio 49–21 -23.5 – -23.5 -16.1 -7.4 missed
1 2026-09-05 West Virginia v Coastal Carolina 31–24 -17.5 – -21.0 -17.7 -3.3 covered
1 2026-09-05 Indiana v North Texas 52–16 -40.5 – -39.5 -33.6 -5.9 covered
1 2026-09-05 James Madison v Liberty 20–13 -6.0 – -6.0 -22.4 +16.4 covered
1 2026-09-05 Pittsburgh v Miami (OH) 59–14 -16.5 – -16.5 -20.9 +4.4 covered
1 2026-09-05 Ohio State v Ball State 56–3 -49.5 – -50.5 -57.1 +6.6 covered
1 2026-09-05 South Carolina v Kent State 57–0 -33.5 – -35.5 -38.8 +3.3 covered
1 2026-09-05 Cincinnati v Boston College 34–15 -9.5 – -7.0 -8.3 +1.3 covered
1 2026-09-05 Oregon v Boise State 34–27 -24.5 – -24.5 -26.5 +2.0 missed
1 2026-09-05 Duke v Tulane 17–3 -8.5 – -9.5 -8.6 -0.9 missed
1 2026-09-05 Penn State v Marshall 45–0 -23.5 – -23.5 -23.3 -0.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Auburn vs Baylor 17–16 -6.5 – -6.5 -3.6 -2.9 covered
1 2026-09-05 Texas v Texas State 59–7 -30.5 – -29.5 -23.3 -6.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Tulsa v Oklahoma State 24–10 +11.5 – +13.5 +2.1 +11.4 covered
1 2026-09-05 Iowa v Northern Illinois 40–0 -29.5 – -31.5 -35.9 +4.4 covered
1 2026-09-05 Colorado State v Wyoming 35–13 -4.0 – -2.5 -3.4 +0.9 covered
1 2026-09-05 Texas A&M v Missouri State 50–0 -38.5 – -38.5 -41.2 +2.7 covered
1 2026-09-05 Troy v Sam Houston 24–21 -17.5 – -15.5 -17.1 +1.6 missed
1 2026-09-05 Memphis v Arkansas State 42–24 -10.5 – -10.5 -12.4 +1.9 covered
1 2026-09-05 South Florida v Florida International 19–9 -12.5 – -14.5 -23.7 +9.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Michigan v Western Michigan 13–12 -26.5 – -27.5 -21.9 -5.6 covered
1 2026-09-05 LSU v Clemson 51–10 – – -10.0 -3.8 -6.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Mississippi State v UL Monroe 62–13 -28.5 – -28.5 -28.3 -0.2 missed
1 2026-09-05 Florida v Florida Atlantic 66–21 -25.5 – -26.5 -28.1 +1.6 covered
1 2026-09-06 New Mexico v Central Michigan 38–7 -12.5 – -11.5 -12.5 +1.0 covered
1 2026-09-06 Hawai'i v UNLV 6–21 +1.5 – +2.5 -2.0 +4.5 missed
1 2026-09-06 Nevada v Western Kentucky 49–14 +4.5 – +1.5 +2.5 -1.0 missed
1 2026-09-06 California v UCLA 24–45 -1.5 – +2.5 -0.3 +2.8 missed
1 2026-09-06 Washington v Washington State 24–10 -21.5 – -23.5 -16.9 -6.6 covered
1 2026-09-06 Notre Dame vs Wisconsin 41–13 – – -21.0 -21.2 +0.2 covered
1 2026-09-06 Louisville vs Ole Miss 38–41 – – +6.5 +12.2 -5.7 missed
1 2026-09-07 Florida State v SMU 24–27 – – +3.0 +3.8 -0.8 push
2 2026-09-11 Boston College v Rutgers 28–21 -3.5 – -3.0 -11.0 +8.0 covered
2 2026-09-12 Kansas v Missouri 21–38 +7.0 – +4.0 +3.3 +0.7 missed
2 2026-09-12 Kansas State v Washington State 34–7 -16.5 – -17.5 -21.4 +3.9 covered
2 2026-09-12 Virginia Tech v Old Dominion 44–21 -14.0 – -17.5 -15.9 -1.6 missed
2 2026-09-12 Oklahoma State v Oregon 39–31 +18.5 – +24.5 +27.8 -3.3 missed
2 2026-09-12 Texas A&M v Arizona State 48–20 -14.5 – -15.5 -19.4 +3.9 covered
2 2026-09-12 Temple v Penn State 9–27 +21.5 – +24.5 +30.5 -6.0 missed
2 2026-09-12 East Carolina v App State 24–27 -11.5 – -6.5 -0.5 -6.0 covered
2 2026-09-12 Michigan v Oklahoma 17–10 -1.5 – +5.5 +2.3 +3.2 covered
2 2026-09-12 Army v South Florida 24–28 -1.5 – -3.0 -10.3 +7.3 missed
2 2026-09-12 Purdue v Wake Forest 36–38 +3.5 – +2.5 +5.9 -3.4 missed
2 2026-09-12 Georgia v Western Kentucky 70–20 -35.5 – -40.5 -47.0 +6.5 covered
2 2026-09-12 UAB v UL Monroe 26–20 -7.5 – -9.5 -17.5 +8.0 missed
2 2026-09-12 Texas State v UTSA 26–31 -1.5 – -1.5 +11.5 -13.0 covered
2 2026-09-12 UConn v Maryland 14–38 +12.5 – +11.5 +3.7 +7.8 missed
2 2026-09-12 Minnesota v Mississippi State 13–38 -2.5 – +1.5 -0.5 +2.0 missed
2 2026-09-12 Illinois v Duke 27–31 -8.5 – -6.0 -8.9 +2.9 missed
2 2026-09-12 Pittsburgh v UCF 12–7 -8.5 – -7.5 -7.9 +0.4 missed
2 2026-09-12 Notre Dame v Rice 52–0 -44.5 – -44.5 -49.9 +5.4 covered
2 2026-09-12 Michigan State v Eastern Michigan 35–7 -15.5 – -17.5 -24.3 +6.8 covered
2 2026-09-12 Washington v Utah State 16–14 -24.5 – -28.5 -35.7 +7.2 missed
2 2026-09-12 Syracuse v California 18–21 +1.5 – -4.0 -12.2 +8.2 missed
2 2026-09-12 BYU v Arizona 28–17 -6.5 – -6.5 -11.8 +5.3 covered
2 2026-09-12 Kentucky v Alabama 17–45 +10.5 – +9.5 +18.4 -8.9 covered
2 2026-09-12 North Texas v UNLV 44–6 +6.5 – +3.0 +3.5 -0.5 missed
2 2026-09-12 Vanderbilt v Delaware 35–26 -21.5 – -20.5 -28.5 +8.0 missed
2 2026-09-12 Boise State v Memphis 38–20 -6.5 – -9.5 -9.9 +0.4 covered
2 2026-09-12 Florida International v Buffalo 33–20 -10.5 – -8.5 -11.6 +3.1 covered
2 2026-09-12 Ohio v Jacksonville State 29–27 -2.5 – -1.5 -5.1 +3.6 covered
2 2026-09-12 Georgia Tech v Tennessee 24–45 +8.5 – +12.5 +10.5 +2.0 missed
2 2026-09-12 Sam Houston v Tulsa 17–23 +10.5 – +12.5 +1.7 +10.8 covered
2 2026-09-12 Kennesaw State v Georgia State 17–31 -9.5 – -7.5 +1.6 -9.1 covered
2 2026-09-12 Tulane v South Alabama 28–24 -10.0 – -9.5 -10.0 +0.5 missed
2 2026-09-12 Marshall v Middle Tennessee 28–26 -17.5 – -11.5 -10.8 -0.7 covered
2 2026-09-12 Nebraska v Bowling Green 56–7 -25.5 – -30.5 -42.5 +12.0 covered
2 2026-09-12 UCLA v San Diego State 28–10 -8.5 – -13.5 -9.7 -3.8 missed
2 2026-09-12 Florida Atlantic v Navy 38–30 +6.5 – +4.5 +14.3 -9.8 missed
2 2026-09-12 LSU v Louisiana Tech 45–14 -31.5 – -34.5 -27.6 -6.9 covered
2 2026-09-12 Texas v Ohio State 24–23 -1.5 – -2.5 -5.4 +2.9 missed
2 2026-09-12 Iowa v Iowa State 16–13 -11.5 – -14.0 -18.2 +4.2 missed
2 2026-09-12 Oregon State v Texas Tech 24–35 +27.5 – +25.5 +24.0 +1.5 covered
2 2026-09-12 Clemson v Georgia Southern 22–7 -26.5 – -20.5 -11.2 -9.3 covered
2 2026-09-12 Auburn v Southern Miss 43–8 -29.5 – -32.5 -23.2 -9.3 missed
2 2026-09-12 Ole Miss v Charlotte 41–9 -46.5 – -44.5 -44.1 -0.4 covered
2 2026-09-13 Air Force v North Dakota State 32–38 +6.5 – +1.5 +6.8 -5.3 covered
2 2026-09-13 Utah v Arkansas 43–10 -9.5 – -13.5 -24.2 +10.7 covered
2 2026-09-13 Fresno State v Sacramento State 49–3 -18.5 – -17.5 -9.7 -7.8 missed
2 2026-09-13 USC v Louisiana 49–30 -28.5 – -30.5 -30.8 +0.3 missed
2 2026-09-13 Hawai'i v New Mexico State 29–19 -11.5 – -7.5 -10.7 +3.2 covered
3 2026-09-17 Pittsburgh v Syracuse 27–13 -10.5 – -10.5 -19.4 +8.9 covered
3 2026-09-18 Wake Forest v Miami 20–33 +19.5 – +20.5 +21.0 -0.5 missed
3 2026-09-19 Texas Tech v Houston 28–26 -13.5 – -7.5 -9.2 +1.7 missed
3 2026-09-19 Delaware v Coastal Carolina 22–14 -4.5 – -4.5 -11.2 +6.7 covered
3 2026-09-19 Arizona State vs Kansas 24–17 -5.5 – -5.5 -5.9 +0.4 covered
3 2026-09-19 Kansas State v Tulane 31–20 -20.5 – -20.5 -28.4 +7.9 missed
3 2026-09-19 Texas State v North Texas 49–35 -3.0 – -3.0 +4.1 -7.1 missed
3 2026-09-19 Penn State v Buffalo 55–13 -39.5 – -39.5 -45.7 +6.2 covered
3 2026-09-19 Ohio State v Kent State 59–3 -52.5 – -52.5 -60.8 +8.3 covered
3 2026-09-19 Minnesota v Akron 41–7 -26.5 – -22.5 -28.0 +5.5 covered
3 2026-09-19 Clemson v North Carolina 28–20 -9.5 – -3.0 -4.2 +1.2 covered
3 2026-09-19 Iowa State v Bowling Green 55–7 -22.5 – -22.5 -37.2 +14.7 covered
3 2026-09-19 Arkansas v Georgia 17–45 +17.5 – +24.5 +19.4 +5.1 missed
3 2026-09-19 Wisconsin v Eastern Michigan 54–10 -24.5 – -23.5 -21.7 -1.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 Vanderbilt v NC State 35–31 -4.0 – -3.0 -3.7 +0.7 covered
3 2026-09-19 Central Michigan v Wyoming 24–10 -2.5 – +1.5 +0.8 +0.7 covered
3 2026-09-19 Toledo v Temple 49–48 -4.0 – -4.5 -10.1 +5.6 missed
3 2026-09-19 Alabama v Florida State 50–36 -15.5 – -18.5 -23.7 +5.2 missed
3 2026-09-19 Michigan v UTEP 52–17 -36.5 – -34.5 -44.8 +10.3 covered
3 2026-09-19 Texas A&M v Kentucky 21–31 -15.5 – -16.5 -28.1 +11.6 missed
3 2026-09-19 Rutgers v USC 35–42 +24.5 – +21.0 +26.2 -5.2 missed
3 2026-09-19 Cincinnati v Miami (OH) 35–31 -15.5 – -14.5 -22.7 +8.2 missed
3 2026-09-19 Utah v Utah State 33–0 -27.5 – -26.5 -30.6 +4.1 covered
3 2026-09-19 Louisville v SMU 41–31 -1.5 – -3.0 -3.7 +0.7 covered
3 2026-09-19 Indiana v Western Kentucky 38–0 -44.5 – -44.5 -64.2 +19.7 missed
3 2026-09-19 Duke v Stanford 35–7 -10.0 – -9.5 -20.8 +11.3 covered
3 2026-09-19 Liberty v Ball State 51–15 -14.5 – -14.5 -21.4 +6.9 covered
3 2026-09-19 Baylor v Louisiana Tech 36–19 -17.5 – -20.5 -20.2 -0.3 covered
3 2026-09-19 South Carolina v Mississippi State 34–41 -7.5 – -3.0 -4.6 +1.6 missed
3 2026-09-19 Old Dominion v East Carolina 17–20 -2.5 – -2.5 -1.3 -1.2 covered
3 2026-09-19 Florida Atlantic v Florida International 16–10 -7.5 – -5.5 -2.7 -2.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 App State v Charlotte 26–21 -19.5 – -16.5 -20.3 +3.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 Missouri State v Marshall 24–30 +4.5 – +4.0 +4.8 -0.8 covered
3 2026-09-19 South Alabama v Ohio 41–36 -3.5 – -7.0 -6.2 -0.8 covered
3 2026-09-19 Middle Tennessee v Nevada 27–20 +6.5 – +3.5 +5.2 -1.7 missed
3 2026-09-19 Rice v Western Michigan 21–28 +11.5 – +8.5 +14.8 -6.3 missed
3 2026-09-19 UCF v Georgia State 44–30 -21.0 – -17.5 -25.5 +8.0 missed
3 2026-09-19 Jacksonville State v Georgia Southern 31–27 -2.5 – -3.5 -6.5 +3.0 covered
3 2026-09-19 Missouri v Troy 27–17 -27.5 – -26.5 -31.3 +4.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 Southern Miss v UConn 20–48 +2.5 – +3.5 +10.4 -6.9 covered
3 2026-09-19 Auburn v Florida 39–44 -1.5 – +2.5 -2.3 +4.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 Ole Miss v LSU 32–24 -1.5 – +3.0 +5.4 -2.4 missed
3 2026-09-19 Northwestern v Colorado 41–7 -4.5 – -3.5 -7.3 +3.8 covered
3 2026-09-19 Virginia vs West Virginia 27–38 -8.5 – -10.5 -13.4 +2.9 missed
3 2026-09-19 Notre Dame v Michigan State 27–10 -29.5 – -28.5 -29.0 +0.5 missed
3 2026-09-19 Maryland v Virginia Tech 26–35 +1.5 – +2.5 -8.9 +11.4 missed
3 2026-09-19 Colorado State v BYU 23–41 +21.0 – +17.5 +21.1 -3.6 covered
3 2026-09-19 Oklahoma v New Mexico 14–6 -23.5 – -21.5 -22.3 +0.8 missed
3 2026-09-19 Tennessee v Kennesaw State 42–9 -34.5 – -35.5 -38.1 +2.6 missed
3 2026-09-20 Texas v UTSA 30–6 -29.5 – -29.5 -35.6 +6.1 missed
3 2026-09-20 TCU v Arkansas State 31–7 -20.5 – -18.5 -23.7 +5.2 covered
3 2026-09-20 Louisiana v UAB 21–14 -10.0 – -7.0 -10.2 +3.2 push
3 2026-09-20 San Diego State v James Madison 13–26 -1.5 – -3.0 +1.5 -4.5 covered
3 2026-09-20 Sacramento State v North Dakota State 10–31 +23.5 – +26.5 +23.2 +3.3 covered
3 2026-09-20 Arizona v Northern Illinois 42–17 -35.5 – -34.5 -36.7 +2.2 missed
3 2026-09-20 UCLA v Purdue 52–38 -14.0 – -13.5 -19.3 +5.8 covered
3 2026-09-20 San José State v Fresno State 10–26 +7.5 – +4.0 +12.1 -8.1 covered
4 2026-09-24 Coastal Carolina v Liberty 17–34 -1.5 – +2.5 +5.1 -2.6 covered
4 2026-09-25 Temple v Army 17–21 +3.0 – +4.0 +2.0 +2.0 push
4 2026-09-25 UAB v Navy 24–20 +11.5 – +6.5 +2.7 +3.8 covered
4 2026-09-26 Indiana v Northwestern 29–23 -23.5 – -20.5 -24.4 +3.9 missed
4 2026-09-26 California v Clemson 10–24 +1.5 – +2.5 +2.0 +0.5 missed
4 2026-09-26 Ohio State v Illinois 42–19 -27.5 – -25.5 -23.8 -1.7 covered
4 2026-09-26 Kent State v Ball State 26–13 -4.5 – -2.5 -4.6 +2.1 covered
4 2026-09-26 Akron v UNLV 10–38 +14.0 – +13.5 +10.5 +3.0 missed
4 2026-09-26 UTSA v Colorado State 59–45 -11.5 – -14.5 -8.4 -6.1 covered
4 2026-09-26 Louisville v Wake Forest 27–30 -13.5 – -11.5 -15.6 +4.1 missed
4 2026-09-26 Toledo v San Diego State 41–16 +1.5 – -2.5 -1.4 -1.1 missed
4 2026-09-26 Tennessee v Texas 17–20 +6.5 – +5.5 +8.5 -3.0 missed
4 2026-09-26 Texas Tech v Sam Houston 49–14 -37.5 – -34.5 -37.4 +2.9 covered
4 2026-09-26 Baylor v Colorado 23–13 -8.5 – -8.5 -14.3 +5.8 covered
4 2026-09-26 Boston College v Virginia Tech 14–21 +14.0 – +14.5 +21.7 -7.2 missed
4 2026-09-26 Kentucky v South Alabama 45–21 -19.5 – -20.5 -20.9 +0.4 covered
4 2026-09-26 Maryland v UCLA 3–54 +1.5 – +2.5 -2.2 +4.7 missed
4 2026-09-26 Purdue v Notre Dame 10–49 +27.5 – +27.5 +32.2 -4.7 covered
4 2026-09-26 Georgia State v Northern Illinois 35–14 -8.5 – -8.5 -13.0 +4.5 covered
4 2026-09-26 Wyoming v Hawai'i 27–10 +5.5 – +2.5 +2.0 +0.5 covered
4 2026-09-26 Western Michigan v Boise State 7–32 +7.5 – +8.5 +5.5 +3.0 missed
4 2026-09-26 Georgia v Oklahoma 41–13 -10.0 – -11.5 -15.2 +3.7 covered
4 2026-09-26 Florida v Ole Miss 52–28 -1.5 – -4.0 -2.2 -1.8 missed
4 2026-09-26 Miami (OH) v UConn 24–21 -3.0 – -2.5 +1.8 -4.3 missed
4 2026-09-26 New Mexico State v New Mexico 18–42 +12.5 – +11.5 +19.6 -8.1 covered
4 2026-09-26 Michigan v Iowa 19–20 -4.5 – -4.5 +1.3 -5.8 covered
4 2026-09-26 Iowa State v Utah 17–31 +11.5 – +7.5 +11.2 -3.7 covered
4 2026-09-26 UCF v TCU 21–13 +3.0 – +3.5 -4.8 +8.3 covered
4 2026-09-26 Georgia Southern v Houston 28–42 +19.5 – +17.5 +22.8 -5.3 missed
4 2026-09-26 Auburn v Vanderbilt 21–15 -8.5 – -10.0 -8.0 -2.0 covered
4 2026-09-26 Penn State v Wisconsin 20–24 -11.5 – -9.5 -17.9 +8.4 missed
4 2026-09-26 Michigan State v Nebraska 13–31 +5.5 – +6.0 +6.5 -0.5 covered
4 2026-09-26 Bowling Green v South Florida 6–14 +15.5 – +17.5 +25.6 -8.1 missed
4 2026-09-26 Virginia v Delaware 42–3 -20.5 – -19.5 -20.2 +0.7 covered
4 2026-09-26 Old Dominion v James Madison 20–46 +4.5 – +7.0 +10.5 -3.5 covered
4 2026-09-26 Miami v Central Michigan 52–3 -42.5 – -41.5 -48.9 +7.4 covered
4 2026-09-26 Charlotte v Louisiana 7–34 +14.5 – +9.5 +7.5 +2.0 missed
4 2026-09-26 Arkansas State v Kennesaw State 17–14 -5.5 – -6.5 -5.3 -1.2 covered
4 2026-09-26 Alabama v South Carolina 49–18 -11.5 – -12.5 -12.6 +0.1 covered
4 2026-09-26 West Virginia v Oklahoma State 24–41 +2.5 – -1.5 -3.5 +2.0 missed
4 2026-09-26 Jacksonville State v Middle Tennessee 23–13 -9.5 – -7.0 -10.6 +3.6 covered
4 2026-09-26 Cincinnati v Kansas State 31–26 +6.0 – +6.0 +10.2 -4.2 missed
4 2026-09-26 Tulane v Southern Miss 24–21 -17.5 – -17.5 -22.2 +4.7 missed
4 2026-09-26 NC State v App State 41–31 -14.0 – -12.5 -18.8 +6.3 missed
4 2026-09-26 LSU v Texas A&M 35–6 -3.0 – -8.5 -7.6 -0.9 missed
4 2026-09-26 USC v Oregon 27–41 +5.5 – +3.5 +1.6 +1.9 missed
4 2026-09-26 Washington State v Arizona 24–34 +13.5 – +11.5 +13.7 -2.2 missed
4 2026-09-26 Utah State v Troy 21–10 -2.5 – -3.0 -7.2 +4.2 covered
4 2026-09-26 Mississippi State v Missouri 31–24 -1.5 – -3.5 -10.7 +7.2 covered
4 2026-09-27 UL Monroe v Florida Atlantic 17–45 +13.5 – +11.5 +10.2 +1.3 missed
4 2026-09-27 Arkansas v Tulsa 34–6 -8.5 – -7.0 -8.3 +1.3 covered
4 2026-09-27 SMU v Missouri State 34–24 -34.5 – -30.5 -36.0 +5.5 missed
4 2026-09-27 UTEP v Oregon State 7–33 +12.5 – +11.5 +14.9 -3.4 covered
4 2026-09-27 Sacramento State v Massachusetts 6–35 +6.0 – +6.0 +10.9 -4.9 covered
4 2026-09-27 Fresno State v Rice 38–24 -13.5 – -12.5 -19.4 +6.9 covered
4 2026-09-27 Nevada v Air Force 33–36 +4.5 – +4.5 -0.1 +4.6 covered
4 2026-09-27 Stanford v Georgia Tech 34–27 +4.5 – +3.0 +4.6 -1.6 missed
4 2026-09-27 Washington v Minnesota 24–27 -9.5 – -12.5 -9.5 -3.0 covered
5 2026-10-02 New Mexico State v Western Kentucky 34–13 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 +0.2 -1.7 missed
5 2026-10-02 Tulsa v North Texas 44–45 +1.5 -1.5 +3.0 +3.6 -0.6 missed
5 2026-10-02 Delaware v Liberty 14–30 +7.0 +7.0 +7.0 +6.6 +0.4 missed
5 2026-10-02 Virginia Tech v Pittsburgh 33–35 -5.5 -6.0 -1.5 +0.5 -2.0 covered
5 2026-10-03 Northwestern v Penn State 34–13 +7.0 +4.5 +3.0 +0.8 +2.2 covered
5 2026-10-03 Charlotte v Memphis 8–59 +21.5 +21.5 +18.5 +16.1 +2.4 missed
5 2026-10-03 Houston v UCF 27–17 -12.5 -11.5 -10.5 -8.6 -1.9 covered
5 2026-10-03 SMU v Boston College 25–16 -21.0 -21.0 -21.5 -19.0 -2.5 covered
5 2026-10-03 UConn v Syracuse 41–42 +6.5 +5.5 +6.5 +1.6 +4.9 covered
5 2026-10-03 North Carolina v Notre Dame 26–37 +23.5 +21.5 +21.0 +30.3 -9.3 missed
5 2026-10-03 Wake Forest v Stanford 57–3 -12.5 -12.5 -14.5 -15.6 +1.1 covered
5 2026-10-03 Minnesota v Michigan 20–14 +8.5 +7.5 +6.5 +5.2 +1.3 covered
5 2026-10-03 Iowa State v West Virginia 45–42 -1.5 -1.5 -3.0 -13.0 +10.0 push
5 2026-10-03 Kansas v Middle Tennessee 55–0 -21.5 -20.5 -21.5 -22.2 +0.7 covered
5 2026-10-03 Air Force v Navy 14–9 -1.5 -1.5 -2.5 -3.0 +0.5 covered
5 2026-10-03 Mississippi State v Alabama 23–56 +3.0 +4.5 +5.5 +8.6 -3.1 covered
5 2026-10-03 Wisconsin v Michigan State 31–3 -10.0 -10.0 -8.5 -11.2 +2.7 covered
5 2026-10-03 Georgia v Vanderbilt 38–14 -23.5 -24.5 -25.5 -27.7 +2.2 missed
5 2026-10-03 Buffalo v Western Michigan 17–20 +16.5 +15.5 +13.5 +16.1 -2.6 missed
5 2026-10-03 Ball State v Toledo 24–39 +17.5 +17.5 +20.5 +26.6 -6.1 missed
5 2026-10-03 NC State v Louisville 31–28 +7.5 +6.5 +5.5 +1.2 +4.3 covered
5 2026-10-03 UNLV v California 39–31 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -4.4 +2.9 covered
5 2026-10-03 Kent State v Ohio 10–13 +5.5 +5.5 +3.5 +11.5 -8.0 missed
5 2026-10-03 Georgia State v Old Dominion 42–10 +1.5 +1.5 -1.5 -3.3 +1.8 covered
5 2026-10-03 North Dakota State v Wyoming 28–0 -21.0 -20.5 -17.5 -19.9 +2.4 covered
5 2026-10-03 Central Michigan v Akron 41–17 -5.5 -5.5 -6.5 -8.5 +2.0 covered
5 2026-10-03 Tennessee v Auburn 24–14 -7.5 -7.5 -6.0 -6.4 +0.4 covered
5 2026-10-03 Iowa v Ohio State 14–31 +14.0 +14.0 +14.5 +11.6 +2.9 missed
5 2026-10-03 Massachusetts v Eastern Michigan 14–38 -2.5 -5.5 -5.5 -13.7 +8.2 missed
5 2026-10-03 Florida State v Virginia 38–7 +1.5 +1.5 +1.5 +3.6 -2.1 missed
5 2026-10-03 Miami (OH) v Bowling Green 20–24 -15.5 -15.5 -10.5 -21.4 +10.9 missed
5 2026-10-03 Missouri v Florida 45–17 +2.5 +5.5 +5.5 +7.8 -2.3 missed
5 2026-10-03 James Madison v Marshall 45–17 -13.5 -14.0 -14.5 -23.1 +8.6 covered
5 2026-10-03 Nebraska v Maryland 48–23 -12.5 -12.5 -15.5 -22.5 +7.0 covered
5 2026-10-03 New Mexico v UTEP 61–7 -21.0 -21.0 -23.5 -29.0 +5.5 covered
5 2026-10-03 Illinois v Purdue 17–24 -10.0 -10.0 -9.5 -16.1 +6.6 missed
5 2026-10-03 South Carolina v Kentucky 34–35 -7.0 -3.5 -2.5 -2.8 +0.3 missed
5 2026-10-03 Colorado State v Oregon State 26–56 +3.5 +4.0 +7.0 +0.2 +6.8 missed
5 2026-10-03 South Alabama v UL Monroe 52–35 -14.5 -14.5 -12.5 -22.6 +10.1 covered
5 2026-10-03 Texas A&M v Arkansas 34–7 -14.5 -14.5 -13.5 -14.3 +0.8 covered
5 2026-10-03 TCU v BYU 10–17 +5.5 +6.5 +5.5 +7.0 -1.5 covered
5 2026-10-03 Rice v UTSA 14–16 +12.5 +12.5 +11.5 +14.8 -3.3 missed
5 2026-10-03 Coastal Carolina v Georgia Southern 24–31 -1.5 +1.5 +2.5 +2.9 -0.4 covered
5 2026-10-03 USC v Washington 25–21 -10.0 -10.0 -7.5 -7.0 -0.5 covered
5 2026-10-03 Colorado v Texas Tech 7–29 +14.5 +14.5 +13.5 +17.9 -4.4 covered
5 2026-10-03 Louisiana Tech v Army 31–29 +3.5 +3.5 -1.5 +8.4 -9.9 missed
5 2026-10-03 Clemson v Miami 13–41 +7.0 +18.5 +14.0 +19.8 -5.8 covered
5 2026-10-03 Boise State v Utah State 37–18 -20.5 -21.0 -19.5 -20.3 +0.8 missed
5 2026-10-03 South Florida v Temple 13–17 -6.5 -6.5 -5.5 -6.7 +1.2 missed
5 2026-10-04 Rutgers v Indiana 15–47 +23.5 +23.5 +24.5 +29.1 -4.6 covered
5 2026-10-04 Louisiana v Arkansas State 23–20 -4.0 -6.0 -4.5 -13.3 +8.8 missed
5 2026-10-04 Washington State v Fresno State 6–26 -1.5 -1.5 -2.5 -0.7 -1.8 covered
5 2026-10-04 Arizona State v Baylor 19–55 -3.5 -3.5 -3.5 -1.9 -1.6 covered
5 2026-10-04 San Diego State v Texas State 31–29 +4.5 +4.0 +10.0 +3.5 +6.5 covered
5 2026-10-04 Arizona v Cincinnati 34–7 -8.5 -8.5 -7.0 -10.6 +3.6 covered
5 2026-10-04 Hawai'i v San José State 16–20 -5.5 -4.5 -2.5 -1.6 -0.9 covered
6 2026-10-07 Troy v Southern Miss 55–34 -8.5 -9.5 -9.5 -11.2 +1.7 covered
6 2026-10-07 Kennesaw State v Jacksonville State 26–27 +2.5 +3.5 +3.0 +1.6 +1.4 covered
6 2026-10-07 Florida International v New Mexico State 22–3 -3.5 -3.5 -7.0 -4.8 -2.2 missed
6 2026-10-08 Liberty v Sam Houston 35–3 -13.5 -13.5 -13.5 -20.2 +6.7 covered
6 2026-10-08 Western Kentucky v Missouri State 34–13 -2.5 -1.5 +1.5 -0.2 +1.7 covered
6 2026-10-08 Arkansas State v South Alabama 49–56 -1.5 -1.5 -3.0 -2.6 -0.4 covered
6 2026-10-08 UTSA v South Florida 31–24 -7.0 -7.0 -5.5 -6.0 +0.5 covered
6 2026-10-09 Louisville v Florida State 44–20 -3.5 -6.5 -4.0 -3.1 -0.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Utah State v Washington State 17–16 -5.5 -3.5 -4.0 -3.1 -0.9 covered
6 2026-10-10 San José State v Wyoming 13–16 -6.0 -6.0 -4.5 -9.1 +4.6 missed
6 2026-10-10 Washington v Iowa 24–41 -1.5 -2.5 -3.0 -0.3 -2.7 covered
6 2026-10-10 BYU v Iowa State 24–10 -14.5 -11.5 -11.5 -13.6 +2.1 covered
6 2026-10-10 Army v Tulane 20–17 -3.0 -5.5 -5.5 -6.3 +0.8 missed
6 2026-10-10 Pittsburgh v North Carolina 17–21 -3.5 -4.0 -3.5 -12.3 +8.8 missed
6 2026-10-10 NC State v Wake Forest 14–38 +4.0 +3.0 +4.0 +2.4 +1.6 missed
6 2026-10-10 Oklahoma State v UCF 42–28 -9.5 -10.5 -10.5 -4.1 -6.4 missed
6 2026-10-10 West Virginia v Arizona 31–52 +3.0 +2.5 +3.5 +8.7 -5.2 covered
6 2026-10-10 Nebraska v Indiana 17–20 +9.5 +8.5 +9.5 +9.3 +0.2 covered
6 2026-10-10 Bowling Green v Sacramento State 38–10 -7.5 -7.0 -9.5 -17.1 +7.6 covered
6 2026-10-10 Missouri v Texas A&M 27–6 -1.5 -3.0 -4.5 -4.6 +0.1 covered
6 2026-10-10 Northwestern v Ball State 45–14 -36.5 -34.5 -34.5 -45.9 +11.4 missed
6 2026-10-10 Florida v South Carolina 19–38 -14.5 -14.0 -10.5 -10.0 -0.5 covered
6 2026-10-10 East Carolina v Rice 28–12 -10.0 -9.5 -10.0 -10.3 +0.3 covered
6 2026-10-10 App State v Old Dominion 3–10 -9.5 -8.5 -8.5 -8.6 +0.1 missed
6 2026-10-10 Massachusetts v Miami (OH) 19–20 +2.5 +2.5 +6.0 +5.1 +0.9 covered
6 2026-10-10 Toledo v Buffalo 8–23 -20.5 -19.5 -18.5 -25.9 +7.4 missed
6 2026-10-10 Vanderbilt v Ole Miss 17–52 +10.0 +10.5 +9.5 +4.5 +5.0 missed
6 2026-10-10 Georgia Tech v Duke 28–25 +7.0 +7.0 +4.5 +10.3 -5.8 missed
6 2026-10-10 Navy v Tulsa 34–26 -2.5 -3.0 -3.0 -2.1 -0.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Western Michigan v Kent State 38–7 -13.5 -14.0 -13.5 -17.3 +3.8 covered
6 2026-10-10 Oklahoma vs Texas 27–24 +6.0 +9.5 +7.5 +14.1 -6.6 missed
6 2026-10-10 Oregon v UCLA 15–17 -12.5 -12.5 -10.0 -9.8 -0.2 covered
6 2026-10-10 Ohio v Central Michigan 31–14 -3.0 -3.5 -2.5 -4.7 +2.2 covered
6 2026-10-10 Michigan State v Illinois 37–38 +2.5 +3.0 +2.5 +1.1 +1.4 covered
6 2026-10-10 Akron v Eastern Michigan 23–25 +7.0 +3.5 +4.5 +5.4 -0.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Kansas State v Houston 16–35 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 -0.7 -1.8 covered
6 2026-10-10 California v Virginia Tech 25–20 +9.5 +10.5 +11.5 +12.1 -0.6 missed
6 2026-10-10 North Texas v Charlotte 50–10 -28.5 -24.5 -27.5 -31.6 +4.1 covered
6 2026-10-10 Notre Dame v Stanford 58–7 -38.5 -35.5 -40.5 -47.6 +7.1 covered
6 2026-10-10 Temple v UConn 20–34 -3.5 -3.5 -3.5 -6.7 +3.2 missed
6 2026-10-10 Arkansas v Tennessee 17–24 +13.5 +14.0 +13.5 +13.7 -0.2 missed
6 2026-10-10 Ohio State v Maryland 45–16 -34.5 -35.5 -31.5 -39.4 +7.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Oregon State v San Diego State 66–14 -14.5 -14.0 -14.5 -10.6 -3.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Kentucky v LSU 35–34 +10.5 +9.5 +9.5 +10.4 -0.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Marshall v Coastal Carolina 21–27 -3.0 -2.5 -4.5 -8.4 +3.9 missed
6 2026-10-10 Memphis v UAB 38–13 -14.0 -15.5 -15.5 -20.4 +4.9 covered
6 2026-10-10 UTEP v Nevada 13–30 +9.5 +9.5 +10.0 +9.6 +0.4 missed
6 2026-10-10 UNLV v North Dakota State 13–7 +3.0 +3.5 +3.0 +1.1 +1.9 covered
6 2026-10-10 Alabama v Georgia 17–20 +3.0 +2.5 -2.5 -3.1 +0.6 missed
6 2026-10-10 Penn State v USC 23–31 -1.5 +2.5 +1.5 -2.3 +3.8 missed
6 2026-10-10 Virginia v Syracuse 28–25 -9.5 -8.5 -14.0 -8.1 -5.9 covered
6 2026-10-10 Northern Illinois v Air Force 7–28 +7.5 +12.5 +7.0 +10.0 -3.0 covered
6 2026-10-10 Louisiana Tech v Louisiana 32–31 -3.0 -2.5 -3.0 -5.5 +2.5 missed
6 2026-10-10 Georgia Southern v James Madison 24–27 +7.5 +9.5 +7.0 +14.8 -7.8 missed
6 2026-10-11 Purdue v Minnesota 41–13 +2.5 +3.5 +2.5 +2.8 -0.3 missed
6 2026-10-11 Utah v Kansas 41–24 – -16.5 -15.5 -20.1 +4.6 covered
6 2026-10-11 Arizona State v Hawai'i 30–12 -20.5 -21.5 -20.5 -21.5 +1.0 missed
6 2026-10-11 Fresno State v Boise State 31–38 +6.5 +7.5 +8.5 +7.4 +1.1 covered
7 2026-10-13 Middle Tennessee v Delaware 33–30 +1.5 +2.5 +1.5 +3.8 -2.3 missed
7 2026-10-14 Jacksonville State v Florida International 27–24 -3.0 -2.5 -3.0 -4.1 +1.1 push
7 2026-10-14 Missouri State v Kennesaw State 24–21 +3.0 +3.0 +2.5 +0.7 +1.8 covered
7 2026-10-15 Sam Houston v Western Kentucky 3–16 +1.5 +1.5 +1.5 -1.1 +2.6 missed
7 2026-10-15 UAB v East Carolina 30–17 +6.5 +5.5 +5.5 +5.5 +0.0 covered
7 2026-10-15 Old Dominion v Georgia Southern 15–23 +2.5 +3.5 +3.0 +3.0 -0.0 covered
7 2026-10-16 Texas State v Colorado State 66–27 -12.5 -11.5 -15.5 -17.4 +1.9 covered
7 2026-10-16 Tulane v Memphis 31–17 +7.0 +7.0 +6.5 +3.7 +2.8 covered
7 2026-10-17 Purdue v Washington 26–38 -2.5 -2.5 -3.0 +1.3 -4.3 covered
7 2026-10-17 Coastal Carolina v App State 32–35 +1.5 +1.5 +1.5 +1.9 -0.4 covered
7 2026-10-17 James Madison v Georgia State 49–22 -12.5 -11.5 -7.5 -14.3 +6.8 covered
7 2026-10-17 Indiana v Ohio State 15–19 +1.5 +4.0 +3.0 +0.2 +2.8 missed
7 2026-10-17 Boston College v Pittsburgh 27–21 +7.0 +6.5 +6.5 +13.3 -6.8 missed
7 2026-10-17 Michigan State v Northwestern 21–24 +8.5 +9.5 +7.5 +9.5 -2.0 missed
7 2026-10-17 Bowling Green v Ball State 31–32 -8.5 -7.0 -6.0 -10.5 +4.5 missed
7 2026-10-17 LSU v Mississippi State 31–0 -12.5 -10.5 -17.5 -14.1 -3.4 missed
7 2026-10-17 SMU v Virginia 23–13 -7.5 -7.5 -10.0 -6.7 -3.3 push
7 2026-10-17 West Virginia v Cincinnati 45–42 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -2.7 +1.2 covered
7 2026-10-17 Army v Florida Atlantic 56–24 -3.0 -3.0 -2.5 -8.7 +6.2 covered
7 2026-10-17 Kansas State v Kansas 35–24 -7.5 -8.5 -3.0 -4.2 +1.2 covered
7 2026-10-17 Texas v Florida 24–27 -9.5 -10.0 -13.5 -13.5 +0.0 missed
7 2026-10-17 Maryland v Rutgers 30–37 -4.5 -4.5 -5.5 -6.8 +1.3 missed
7 2026-10-17 Temple v Charlotte 31–38 -23.5 -24.5 -17.5 -27.5 +10.0 missed
7 2026-10-17 Buffalo v Massachusetts 25–18 -3.5 -4.5 -6.5 -6.6 +0.1 covered
7 2026-10-17 Central Michigan v Western Michigan 14–21 +7.0 +7.0 +7.5 +6.3 +1.2 covered
7 2026-10-17 Georgia v Auburn 24–27 -16.5 -18.5 -19.5 -23.2 +3.7 missed
7 2026-10-17 Ole Miss v Missouri 31–3 -6.0 -6.0 -4.0 -3.0 -1.0 missed
7 2026-10-17 Tennessee v Alabama 26–10 +1.5 +6.5 +7.5 +9.7 -2.2 missed
7 2026-10-17 Texas Tech v Arizona State 53–25 -12.5 -12.5 -16.5 -22.6 +6.1 covered
7 2026-10-17 Virginia Tech v Georgia Tech 34–24 -10.0 -9.5 -8.5 -12.0 +3.5 covered
7 2026-10-17 Wyoming v Northern Illinois 41–23 -7.5 -7.5 -7.0 -7.6 +0.6 covered
7 2026-10-17 Miami (OH) v Akron 34–14 -9.5 -9.5 -9.5 -17.1 +7.6 covered
7 2026-10-17 Eastern Michigan v Toledo 14–34 +6.5 +5.5 +7.5 +6.6 +0.9 missed
7 2026-10-17 Michigan v Penn State 21–18 -6.5 -6.0 -6.0 -3.7 -2.3 covered
7 2026-10-17 Air Force v UNLV 41–31 +3.0 +1.5 -1.5 -0.5 -1.0 missed
7 2026-10-17 Duke v North Carolina 20–24 -4.5 -3.5 -3.0 -2.2 -0.8 covered
7 2026-10-17 Rice v Tulsa 17–38 +3.0 +4.5 +3.5 +3.1 +0.4 missed
7 2026-10-17 Louisiana v Troy 33–6 -3.5 -3.5 -3.0 -3.2 +0.2 covered
7 2026-10-17 Oregon State v Washington State 48–30 -17.5 -17.5 -18.5 -19.3 +0.8 missed
7 2026-10-17 Baylor v TCU 6–17 -6.5 -6.5 -3.5 -7.0 +3.5 missed
7 2026-10-17 South Florida v Kent State 29–2 -18.5 -18.5 -20.5 -23.2 +2.7 covered
7 2026-10-17 Vanderbilt v Arkansas 21–31 -6.5 -6.5 -5.5 -3.4 -2.1 covered
7 2026-10-17 Miami v Florida State 43–35 -16.5 -21.0 -20.5 -25.8 +5.3 missed
7 2026-10-17 North Dakota State v Nevada 31–17 -14.5 -14.5 -14.5 -17.1 +2.6 missed
7 2026-10-17 Southern Miss v Arkansas State 13–23 +7.0 +7.0 +5.5 +3.4 +2.1 missed
7 2026-10-17 BYU v Notre Dame 28–24 +10.0 +12.5 +10.5 +10.9 -0.4 missed
7 2026-10-17 Syracuse v Louisville 26–34 +10.5 +12.5 +14.5 +11.1 +3.4 covered
7 2026-10-17 Houston v Oklahoma State 35–32 -3.5 -3.5 -4.0 -10.4 +6.4 missed
7 2026-10-17 UCLA v Wisconsin 17–7 -3.0 -3.5 -1.5 -9.3 +7.8 covered
7 2026-10-17 Oklahoma v Kentucky 13–21 -6.5 -6.5 -7.0 -7.8 +0.8 missed
7 2026-10-18 UTSA v Navy 38–34 -7.0 -7.0 -5.5 -10.4 +4.9 missed
7 2026-10-18 UL Monroe v Louisiana Tech 0–24 +14.5 +14.5 +13.5 +17.0 -3.5 covered
7 2026-10-18 UTEP v San José State 11–24 +10.0 +8.5 +6.5 +10.0 -3.5 covered
7 2026-10-18 Sacramento State v Ohio 7–48 +13.5 +14.5 +17.5 +19.6 -2.1 covered
7 2026-10-18 Colorado v Utah 24–27 +16.5 +16.5 +15.5 +22.0 -6.5 missed
7 2026-10-18 San Diego State v Fresno State 26–23 +8.5 +8.5 +6.5 +9.3 -2.8 missed
7 2026-10-18 California v Wake Forest 7–41 +8.5 +8.5 +10.0 +15.4 -5.4 covered
7 2026-10-18 Hawai'i v New Mexico 10–21 +15.5 +15.5 +14.5 +19.2 -4.7 missed
7 2026-10-18 Oregon v Nebraska 17–14 -21.5 -7.0 -6.5 -9.2 +2.7 missed

The rule this page used to follow

The page used to grade only flagged games, where Lattice landed 1–5 points from the line. The flagged games did worse than the games it passed on in all three seasons, so the flag is retired and every pick is graded. The flag’s record:

GamesAgainst the spread
Flagged 186 (47.9%) 96–85–5 53.0%
Passed on — the control 202 102–98–2 51.0%

The closing line is DraftKings’ last recorded number before kickoff, as CFBD recorded it, not one taken at kickoff itself. The opening line is the first one CFBD recorded.

Judge every rate against break-even (52.4%), not 50%. At −110, picking just over half right still loses money.

Why the flag went. Over 2,255 games in 2023–2025, flagged picks went 641–658–29 (49.35%) and the rest 466–447–14 (51.04%). That doesn’t prove flagged games are worse, but nothing supported singling them out.

This page records results; it is not betting advice. The best slice ever measured, 52.99% on 340 bets, was the best of twenty tried and is within noise.

Model spreads include the market correction as it stood that week.