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Model
Elo Lattice

Lattice Tracker

718 intra-FBS games of 2023, each graded against the DraftKings closing line and the result. Every game the book closed carries a pick — the side Lattice prefers to that number — and all of them are counted below.

Every pick
328–374–16 46.7%
against the spread, on the side the model preferred
Straight-up winner
74.8%
the easier question, and not a bet
The bar
52.4%
break-even at −110. A coin flip is 50.0%

Lattice against DraftKings

LatticeDraftKingsDifference
Mean error on the margin 12.53 12.06 -0.47
Log loss (686 priced games) 0.5266 0.5171 -0.0094

Both log losses are averaged over the same games — the ones DraftKings put a price on. The book closes a spread on more games than it prices, and scoring the model over all of them against the market over a subset is not a comparison.

Week by week

WeekGamesPicks ATS
1 5 3–2 60.0%
2 44 17–27 38.6%
3 46 20–23–3 46.5%
4 10 4–6 40.0%
5 62 14–43–5 24.6%
6 55 27–27–1 50.0%
7 48 24–22–2 52.2%
8 54 24–29–1 45.3%
9 54 22–32 40.7%
10 53 24–29 45.3%
11 62 23–36–3 39.0%
12 63 34–29 54.0%
13 63 31–32 49.2%
14 64 38–25–1 60.3%
15 10 9–1 90.0%
16 1 0–1 0.0%
17 7 6–1 85.7%
18 2 1–1 50.0%
19 10 4–6 40.0%
20 5 3–2 60.0%

The seasons before it

SeasonGamesPicks ATS Lattice MAEDraftKings MAE
2024 776 401–360–15 52.7% 12.42 12.11
2025 761 378–371–12 50.5% 12.19 11.84

Every pick

The side in this colour is the one Lattice preferred to the closing number. Every game the book closed has one, and every one of them is counted in the record above.

WkDateMatchupResult DK closeLatticeEdgeOutcome
1 2023-08-26 Louisiana Tech v Florida International 22–17 -10.0 -16.1 +6.1 missed
1 2023-08-26 Navy vs Notre Dame 3–42 +20.0 +16.5 +3.5 missed
1 2023-08-26 San Diego State v Ohio 20–13 -3.5 -6.3 +2.8 covered
1 2023-08-26 USC v San José State 56–28 -30.5 -21.7 -8.8 covered
1 2023-08-26 Vanderbilt v Hawai'i 35–28 -18.0 -14.8 -3.2 covered
2 2023-08-31 UCF v Kent State 56–6 -35.5 -24.2 -11.3 missed
2 2023-08-31 Minnesota v Nebraska 13–10 -7.5 -15.8 +8.3 missed
2 2023-08-31 UConn v NC State 14–24 +14.5 +16.4 -1.9 missed
2 2023-08-31 Utah v Florida 24–11 -5.5 -14.0 +8.5 covered
2 2023-09-01 Georgia Tech vs Louisville 34–39 +7.5 +13.2 -5.7 missed
2 2023-09-01 Miami v Miami (OH) 38–3 -16.5 -13.2 -3.3 missed
2 2023-09-01 Michigan State v Central Michigan 31–7 -14.0 -21.2 +7.2 covered
2 2023-09-01 Hawai'i v Stanford 24–37 +3.0 +8.8 -5.8 covered
2 2023-09-02 Alabama v Middle Tennessee 56–7 -39.5 -41.4 +1.9 covered
2 2023-09-02 BYU v Sam Houston 14–0 -20.0 -29.7 +9.7 missed
2 2023-09-02 North Texas v California 21–58 +6.5 +3.3 +3.2 missed
2 2023-09-02 TCU v Colorado 42–45 -20.5 -34.0 +13.5 missed
2 2023-09-02 Purdue v Fresno State 35–39 -4.0 -7.3 +3.3 missed
2 2023-09-02 Houston v UTSA 17–14 +1.5 -4.0 +5.5 covered
2 2023-09-02 Illinois v Toledo 30–28 -9.5 -19.7 +10.2 missed
2 2023-09-02 Iowa v Utah State 24–14 -23.5 -26.0 +2.5 missed
2 2023-09-02 Kentucky v Ball State 44–14 -26.5 -26.7 +0.2 covered
2 2023-09-02 Liberty v Bowling Green 34–24 -9.5 -12.4 +2.9 covered
2 2023-09-02 UL Monroe v Army 17–13 +9.0 +10.4 -1.4 missed
2 2023-09-02 Michigan v East Carolina 30–3 -36.0 -34.0 -2.0 covered
2 2023-09-02 North Carolina vs South Carolina 31–17 -2.5 +3.7 -6.2 missed
2 2023-09-02 Boston College v Northern Illinois 24–27 -8.5 -10.2 +1.7 missed
2 2023-09-02 Indiana v Ohio State 3–23 +30.0 +25.7 +4.3 covered
2 2023-09-02 Oklahoma v Arkansas State 73–0 -36.0 -34.4 -1.6 missed
2 2023-09-02 Penn State v West Virginia 38–15 -20.5 -19.7 -0.8 missed
2 2023-09-02 USC v Nevada 66–14 -38.0 -41.2 +3.2 covered
2 2023-09-02 SMU v Louisiana Tech 38–14 -20.0 -24.3 +4.3 covered
2 2023-09-02 Temple v Akron 24–21 -10.0 -10.4 +0.4 missed
2 2023-09-02 Tennessee vs Virginia 49–13 -28.0 -26.9 -1.1 missed
2 2023-09-02 Texas v Rice 37–10 -35.0 -39.2 +4.2 missed
2 2023-09-02 Texas A&M v New Mexico 52–10 -38.0 -32.8 -5.2 missed
2 2023-09-02 Baylor v Texas State 31–42 -27.5 -31.2 +3.7 missed
2 2023-09-02 Tulane v South Alabama 37–17 -6.5 -13.4 +6.9 covered
2 2023-09-02 UCLA v Coastal Carolina 27–13 -14.5 -16.0 +1.5 missed
2 2023-09-02 Virginia Tech v Old Dominion 36–17 -16.0 -14.2 -1.8 missed
2 2023-09-02 Washington v Boise State 56–19 -14.0 -12.4 -1.6 missed
2 2023-09-02 Colorado State v Washington State 24–50 +11.0 +13.3 -2.3 covered
2 2023-09-02 Western Kentucky v South Florida 41–24 -11.5 -13.1 +1.6 covered
2 2023-09-02 Wisconsin v Buffalo 38–17 -28.0 -27.2 -0.8 covered
2 2023-09-02 Wyoming v Texas Tech 35–33 +14.0 +16.6 -2.6 missed
2 2023-09-03 Florida State vs LSU 45–24 +2.5 +5.4 -2.9 missed
2 2023-09-03 San José State v Oregon State 17–42 +16.5 +25.0 -8.5 covered
2 2023-09-03 Rutgers v Northwestern 24–7 -6.5 -1.4 -5.1 missed
2 2023-09-04 Duke v Clemson 28–7 +13.0 +3.7 +9.3 covered
3 2023-09-08 Kansas v Illinois 34–23 -3.5 -8.8 +5.3 covered
3 2023-09-09 Air Force vs Sam Houston 13–3 -13.5 -20.0 +6.5 missed
3 2023-09-09 Arkansas v Kent State 28–6 -38.5 -43.3 +4.8 missed
3 2023-09-09 California v Auburn 10–14 +4.5 +7.1 -2.6 missed
3 2023-09-09 Boise State v UCF 16–18 +3.0 +21.5 -18.5 missed
3 2023-09-09 Pittsburgh v Cincinnati 21–27 -6.5 -2.1 -4.4 covered
3 2023-09-09 Coastal Carolina v Jacksonville State 30–16 -13.5 -6.3 -7.2 missed
3 2023-09-09 Colorado v Nebraska 36–14 -3.0 +6.7 -9.7 missed
3 2023-09-09 Florida International v North Texas 46–39 +11.0 +5.7 +5.3 covered
3 2023-09-09 Florida State v Southern Miss 66–13 -31.0 -35.6 +4.6 covered
3 2023-09-09 Georgia v Ball State 45–3 -42.0 -47.2 +5.2 push
3 2023-09-09 Georgia Southern v UAB 49–35 -7.0 -0.4 -6.6 missed
3 2023-09-09 Georgia State v UConn 35–14 -3.0 -10.8 +7.8 covered
3 2023-09-09 Iowa State v Iowa 13–20 +3.5 -1.6 +5.1 missed
3 2023-09-09 Virginia v James Madison 35–36 +6.0 +4.9 +1.1 covered
3 2023-09-09 Kansas State v Troy 42–13 -14.5 -24.4 +9.9 covered
3 2023-09-09 Liberty v New Mexico State 33–17 -9.5 -8.4 -1.1 missed
3 2023-09-09 East Carolina v Marshall 13–31 +2.5 -4.7 +7.2 missed
3 2023-09-09 Maryland v Charlotte 38–20 -24.5 -34.6 +10.1 missed
3 2023-09-09 Arkansas State v Memphis 3–37 +20.5 +33.6 -13.1 covered
3 2023-09-09 Miami v Texas A&M 48–33 +3.0 +7.6 -4.6 missed
3 2023-09-09 Michigan v UNLV 35–7 -38.0 -41.7 +3.7 missed
3 2023-09-09 Minnesota v Eastern Michigan 25–6 -20.0 -25.4 +5.4 missed
3 2023-09-09 Tulane v Ole Miss 20–37 +8.5 +9.7 -1.2 covered
3 2023-09-09 Mississippi State v Arizona 31–24 -8.5 -13.5 +5.0 missed
3 2023-09-09 Missouri v Middle Tennessee 23–19 -21.0 -27.9 +6.9 missed
3 2023-09-09 North Carolina v App State 40–34 -19.5 -17.4 -2.1 covered
3 2023-09-09 Northwestern v UTEP 38–7 -1.0 -11.6 +10.6 covered
3 2023-09-09 NC State v Notre Dame 24–45 +7.0 +13.1 -6.1 covered
3 2023-09-09 Florida Atlantic v Ohio 10–17 -3.5 -4.6 +1.1 missed
3 2023-09-09 Oklahoma v SMU 28–11 -16.5 -28.8 +12.3 covered
3 2023-09-09 Arizona State v Oklahoma State 15–27 +2.5 +5.1 -2.6 covered
3 2023-09-09 Old Dominion v Louisiana 38–31 +5.5 +9.8 -4.3 missed
3 2023-09-09 Texas Tech v Oregon 30–38 +6.0 +10.7 -4.7 covered
3 2023-09-09 Virginia Tech v Purdue 17–24 -1.0 -1.6 +0.6 missed
3 2023-09-09 Rice v Houston 43–41 +7.0 +15.5 -8.5 missed
3 2023-09-09 Rutgers v Temple 36–7 -8.0 -18.9 +10.9 covered
3 2023-09-09 USC v Stanford 56–10 -29.0 -31.9 +2.9 covered
3 2023-09-09 Syracuse v Western Michigan 48–7 -25.0 -29.0 +4.0 covered
3 2023-09-09 Alabama v Texas 24–34 -7.0 -16.4 +9.4 missed
3 2023-09-09 UTSA v Texas State 20–13 -14.0 -15.4 +1.4 missed
3 2023-09-09 San Diego State v UCLA 10–35 +14.0 +10.9 +3.1 missed
3 2023-09-09 Baylor v Utah 13–20 +7.0 +10.3 -3.3 push
3 2023-09-09 Wake Forest v Vanderbilt 36–20 -10.0 -10.0 +0.0 covered
3 2023-09-09 Washington v Tulsa 43–10 -33.0 -31.5 -1.5 push
3 2023-09-09 Washington State v Wisconsin 31–22 +5.5 +3.2 +2.3 covered
4 2023-09-16 Colorado v Colorado State 43–35 -17.0 -19.4 +2.4 missed
4 2023-09-16 Florida v Tennessee 29–16 +7.0 +9.9 -2.9 missed
4 2023-09-16 Georgia v South Carolina 24–14 -24.5 -26.4 +1.9 missed
4 2023-09-16 Troy v James Madison 14–16 -3.5 -0.6 -2.9 covered
4 2023-09-16 Mississippi State v LSU 14–41 +7.5 +1.6 +5.9 missed
4 2023-09-16 Missouri v Kansas State 30–27 +2.0 +9.5 -7.5 missed
4 2023-09-16 North Carolina v Minnesota 31–13 -6.0 -7.5 +1.5 covered
4 2023-09-16 Illinois v Penn State 13–30 +12.5 +18.0 -5.5 covered
4 2023-09-16 Michigan State v Washington 7–41 +15.0 +18.2 -3.2 covered
4 2023-09-16 West Virginia v Pittsburgh 17–6 +2.0 +4.2 -2.2 missed
5 2023-09-21 Coastal Carolina v Georgia State 17–30 -6.5 -11.5 +5.0 missed
5 2023-09-22 San José State v Air Force 20–45 +6.0 +3.1 +2.9 missed
5 2023-09-22 San Diego State v Boise State 31–34 +6.5 +8.2 -1.7 missed
5 2023-09-22 Virginia v NC State 21–24 +7.5 +10.2 -2.7 missed
5 2023-09-22 Purdue v Wisconsin 17–38 +6.5 +5.7 +0.8 missed
5 2023-09-23 Alabama v Ole Miss 24–10 -7.0 -4.0 -3.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 Stanford v Arizona 20–21 +12.5 +13.0 -0.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Arkansas State v Southern Miss 44–37 +6.0 +10.0 -4.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 South Alabama v Central Michigan 30–34 -16.0 -22.3 +6.3 missed
5 2023-09-23 Middle Tennessee v Colorado State 23–31 -3.0 -4.5 +1.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 UConn v Duke 7–41 +22.5 +29.4 -6.9 covered
5 2023-09-23 Florida v Charlotte 22–7 -28.0 -33.8 +5.8 missed
5 2023-09-23 Clemson v Florida State 24–31 +2.0 +1.0 +1.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 Fresno State v Kent State 53–10 -28.0 -31.7 +3.7 covered
5 2023-09-23 Georgia v UAB 49–21 -41.5 -44.9 +3.4 missed
5 2023-09-23 Ball State v Georgia Southern 3–40 +6.0 +5.5 +0.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Wake Forest v Georgia Tech 16–30 -4.0 -7.5 +3.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Houston v Sam Houston 38–7 -11.5 -11.0 -0.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Illinois v Florida Atlantic 23–17 -15.5 -22.5 +7.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 Indiana v Akron 29–27 -16.5 -24.4 +7.9 missed
5 2023-09-23 Iowa State v Oklahoma State 34–27 -3.5 -9.2 +5.7 covered
5 2023-09-23 Jacksonville State v Eastern Michigan 21–0 -6.5 -3.7 -2.8 missed
5 2023-09-23 Utah State v James Madison 38–45 +4.5 -0.6 +5.1 missed
5 2023-09-23 Kansas v BYU 38–27 -9.5 -6.1 -3.4 missed
5 2023-09-23 Kansas State v UCF 44–31 -3.5 -1.4 -2.1 missed
5 2023-09-23 Vanderbilt v Kentucky 28–45 +13.5 +8.2 +5.3 missed
5 2023-09-23 Florida International v Liberty 6–38 +10.0 +16.0 -6.0 covered
5 2023-09-23 Louisiana v Buffalo 45–38 -10.0 -18.6 +8.6 missed
5 2023-09-23 LSU v Arkansas 34–31 -17.5 -19.3 +1.8 missed
5 2023-09-23 Louisville v Boston College 56–28 -14.0 -17.8 +3.8 covered
5 2023-09-23 Marshall v Virginia Tech 24–17 -4.5 -7.8 +3.3 covered
5 2023-09-23 Michigan State v Maryland 9–31 +7.5 +4.9 +2.6 missed
5 2023-09-23 Temple v Miami 7–41 +23.5 +21.4 +2.1 missed
5 2023-09-23 Michigan v Rutgers 31–7 -24.0 -22.7 -1.3 push
5 2023-09-23 Memphis vs Missouri 27–34 +6.5 +6.0 +0.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Nebraska v Louisiana Tech 28–14 -20.5 -19.0 -1.5 covered
5 2023-09-23 UTEP v UNLV 28–45 +2.5 +2.0 +0.5 missed
5 2023-09-23 Pittsburgh v North Carolina 24–41 +7.5 +6.4 +1.1 missed
5 2023-09-23 Northwestern v Minnesota 37–34 +11.5 +5.4 +6.1 covered
5 2023-09-23 Bowling Green v Ohio 7–38 +13.0 +7.1 +5.9 missed
5 2023-09-23 Notre Dame v Ohio State 14–17 +3.5 +10.4 -6.9 missed
5 2023-09-23 Cincinnati v Oklahoma 6–20 +14.0 +24.0 -10.0 push
5 2023-09-23 Oregon v Colorado 42–6 -21.0 -23.9 +2.9 covered
5 2023-09-23 Penn State v Iowa 31–0 -14.5 -17.0 +2.5 covered
5 2023-09-23 South Carolina v Mississippi State 37–30 -6.0 -3.6 -2.4 missed
5 2023-09-23 South Florida v Rice 42–29 +2.5 +2.8 -0.3 missed
5 2023-09-23 Arizona State v USC 28–42 +34.5 +36.8 -2.3 missed
5 2023-09-23 Syracuse v Army 29–16 -13.0 -18.6 +5.6 push
5 2023-09-23 Tennessee v UTSA 45–14 -21.5 -19.5 -2.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 Baylor v Texas 6–38 +14.5 +16.8 -2.3 covered
5 2023-09-23 Texas A&M v Auburn 27–10 -8.5 -4.3 -4.2 missed
5 2023-09-23 TCU v SMU 34–17 -6.5 -4.5 -2.0 missed
5 2023-09-23 Texas State v Nevada 35–24 -17.0 -20.6 +3.6 missed
5 2023-09-23 Toledo v Western Michigan 49–31 -21.5 -24.9 +3.4 missed
5 2023-09-23 Troy v Western Kentucky 27–24 -3.5 -6.1 +2.6 missed
5 2023-09-23 Northern Illinois v Tulsa 14–22 -4.0 -4.1 +0.1 missed
5 2023-09-23 Utah v UCLA 14–7 -5.5 -3.7 -1.8 missed
5 2023-09-23 Washington v California 59–32 -20.5 -25.4 +4.9 covered
5 2023-09-23 Washington State v Oregon State 38–35 +3.0 +2.8 +0.2 covered
5 2023-09-23 West Virginia v Texas Tech 20–13 +6.0 +4.0 +2.0 covered
5 2023-09-23 Wyoming v App State 22–19 -3.0 +0.7 -3.7 push
5 2023-09-24 Hawai'i v New Mexico State 20–17 -3.0 +0.3 -3.3 push
6 2023-09-28 Sam Houston v Jacksonville State 28–35 +6.5 +2.6 +3.9 missed
6 2023-09-28 Tulsa v Temple 48–26 -3.0 -6.3 +3.3 covered
6 2023-09-28 Western Kentucky v Middle Tennessee 31–10 -7.0 -10.6 +3.6 covered
6 2023-09-29 BYU v Cincinnati 35–27 +2.0 -0.8 +2.8 covered
6 2023-09-29 UTEP v Louisiana Tech 10–24 -1.0 -5.9 +4.9 missed
6 2023-09-29 NC State v Louisville 10–13 +3.5 +6.1 -2.6 missed
6 2023-09-29 Oregon State v Utah 21–7 -3.5 -4.5 +1.0 covered
6 2023-09-30 Air Force v San Diego State 49–10 -10.5 -17.3 +6.8 covered
6 2023-09-30 Mississippi State v Alabama 17–40 +14.5 +17.2 -2.7 covered
6 2023-09-30 UL Monroe v App State 40–41 +13.5 +15.8 -2.3 missed
6 2023-09-30 UCF v Baylor 35–36 -12.5 -15.5 +3.0 missed
6 2023-09-30 Boston College v Virginia 27–24 -3.5 -6.1 +2.6 missed
6 2023-09-30 Georgia Tech v Bowling Green 27–38 -22.0 -26.7 +4.7 missed
6 2023-09-30 Akron v Buffalo 10–13 -2.5 -0.6 -1.9 covered
6 2023-09-30 California v Arizona State 24–21 -12.5 -18.7 +6.2 missed
6 2023-09-30 Central Michigan v Eastern Michigan 26–23 -7.5 -9.3 +1.8 missed
6 2023-09-30 Syracuse v Clemson 14–31 +6.5 -0.6 +7.1 missed
6 2023-09-30 Fresno State v Nevada 27–9 -24.5 -34.7 +10.2 missed
6 2023-09-30 Auburn v Georgia 20–27 +14.0 +12.6 +1.4 covered
6 2023-09-30 Georgia Southern v Coastal Carolina 38–28 -6.5 -4.6 -1.9 missed
6 2023-09-30 Iowa v Michigan State 26–16 -12.5 -15.6 +3.1 missed
6 2023-09-30 James Madison v South Alabama 31–23 -3.0 -6.0 +3.0 covered
6 2023-09-30 Kentucky v Florida 33–14 -1.5 -2.6 +1.1 covered
6 2023-09-30 Marshall v Old Dominion 41–35 -14.0 -18.6 +4.6 missed
6 2023-09-30 Maryland v Indiana 44–17 -14.0 -22.5 +8.5 covered
6 2023-09-30 Memphis v Boise State 35–32 -3.5 -1.4 -2.1 covered
6 2023-09-30 Kent State v Miami (OH) 3–23 +14.5 +19.4 -4.9 covered
6 2023-09-30 Nebraska v Michigan 7–45 +17.0 +25.2 -8.2 covered
6 2023-09-30 Minnesota v Louisiana 35–24 -11.0 -14.0 +3.0 push
6 2023-09-30 Ole Miss v LSU 55–49 +2.5 -0.2 +2.7 covered
6 2023-09-30 Vanderbilt v Missouri 21–38 +13.5 +12.8 +0.7 missed
6 2023-09-30 UNLV v Hawai'i 44–20 -11.0 -9.4 -1.6 missed
6 2023-09-30 Duke v Notre Dame 14–21 +5.5 +2.6 +2.9 missed
6 2023-09-30 Oklahoma v Iowa State 50–20 -20.0 -30.1 +10.1 covered
6 2023-09-30 Stanford v Oregon 6–42 +27.0 +33.2 -6.2 covered
6 2023-09-30 Northwestern v Penn State 13–41 +27.0 +30.2 -3.2 covered
6 2023-09-30 Purdue v Illinois 44–19 -1.0 -0.7 -0.3 missed
6 2023-09-30 Rice v East Carolina 24–17 -3.5 -2.1 -1.4 missed
6 2023-09-30 Navy v South Florida 30–44 -3.0 -5.3 +2.3 missed
6 2023-09-30 Colorado v USC 41–48 +21.5 +20.9 +0.6 covered
6 2023-09-30 SMU v Charlotte 34–16 -23.5 -24.4 +0.9 missed
6 2023-09-30 Tennessee v South Carolina 41–20 -12.5 -15.1 +2.6 covered
6 2023-09-30 Texas v Kansas 40–14 -16.5 -20.8 +4.3 covered
6 2023-09-30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M 22–34 +6.0 +12.1 -6.1 covered
6 2023-09-30 Southern Miss v Texas State 36–50 +5.0 +5.9 -0.9 covered
6 2023-09-30 Texas Tech v Houston 49–28 -8.5 -17.2 +8.7 covered
6 2023-09-30 Toledo v Northern Illinois 35–33 -13.0 -21.4 +8.4 missed
6 2023-09-30 Georgia State v Troy 7–28 -1.5 -6.2 +4.7 missed
6 2023-09-30 Tulane v UAB 35–23 -21.5 -17.6 -3.9 covered
6 2023-09-30 UConn v Utah State 33–34 +6.0 +8.1 -2.1 missed
6 2023-09-30 Virginia Tech v Pittsburgh 38–21 +2.5 +3.3 -0.8 missed
6 2023-09-30 Arizona v Washington 24–31 +20.0 +22.6 -2.6 missed
6 2023-09-30 TCU v West Virginia 21–24 -12.5 -11.4 -1.1 covered
6 2023-09-30 Western Michigan v Ball State 42–24 -1.5 -5.7 +4.2 covered
6 2023-09-30 Wyoming v New Mexico 35–26 -14.0 -20.0 +6.0 missed
7 2023-10-04 Middle Tennessee v Jacksonville State 30–45 -3.5 -0.1 -3.4 covered
7 2023-10-04 New Mexico State v Florida International 34–17 -6.5 -10.6 +4.1 covered
7 2023-10-05 Liberty v Sam Houston 21–16 -19.0 -21.8 +2.8 missed
7 2023-10-05 Louisiana Tech v Western Kentucky 28–35 +6.0 +8.0 -2.0 covered
7 2023-10-06 Illinois v Nebraska 7–20 -3.5 -6.4 +2.9 missed
7 2023-10-06 Oklahoma State v Kansas State 29–21 +11.5 +14.7 -3.2 missed
7 2023-10-07 Texas A&M v Alabama 20–26 +1.0 +4.1 -3.1 covered
7 2023-10-07 UAB v South Florida 56–35 +3.5 +1.5 +2.0 covered
7 2023-10-07 Boise State v San José State 35–27 -10.0 -12.4 +2.4 missed
7 2023-10-07 Army v Boston College 24–27 -3.0 -11.2 +8.2 missed
7 2023-10-07 Buffalo v Central Michigan 37–13 +3.0 -1.6 +4.6 covered
7 2023-10-07 Clemson v Wake Forest 17–12 -21.0 -25.6 +4.6 missed
7 2023-10-07 Arizona State v Colorado 24–27 +4.0 +4.7 -0.7 missed
7 2023-10-07 Rice v UConn 31–38 -9.5 -13.4 +3.9 missed
7 2023-10-07 Eastern Michigan v Ball State 24–10 -2.5 -5.9 +3.4 covered
7 2023-10-07 Florida v Vanderbilt 38–14 -18.5 -19.1 +0.6 covered
7 2023-10-07 Florida Atlantic v Tulsa 20–17 -3.0 -3.9 +0.9 push
7 2023-10-07 Florida State v Virginia Tech 39–17 -24.0 -24.7 +0.7 missed
7 2023-10-07 Georgia v Kentucky 51–13 -14.5 -18.8 +4.3 covered
7 2023-10-07 Miami v Georgia Tech 20–23 -19.5 -19.6 +0.1 missed
7 2023-10-07 Iowa v Purdue 20–14 -2.5 -8.9 +6.4 covered
7 2023-10-07 Iowa State v TCU 27–14 +6.5 +7.5 -1.0 missed
7 2023-10-07 Kansas v UCF 51–22 +1.5 -1.7 +3.2 covered
7 2023-10-07 Louisiana v Texas State 34–30 -2.5 -4.3 +1.8 covered
7 2023-10-07 Missouri v LSU 39–49 +4.0 +8.0 -4.0 covered
7 2023-10-07 Louisville v Notre Dame 33–20 +6.0 +8.9 -2.9 missed
7 2023-10-07 Miami (OH) v Bowling Green 27–0 -10.0 -16.0 +6.0 covered
7 2023-10-07 Minnesota v Michigan 10–52 +18.0 +21.1 -3.1 covered
7 2023-10-07 Ole Miss v Arkansas 27–20 -11.5 -13.2 +1.7 missed
7 2023-10-07 Mississippi State v Western Michigan 41–28 -20.5 -23.7 +3.2 missed
7 2023-10-07 Navy v North Texas 27–24 -6.0 -9.0 +3.0 missed
7 2023-10-07 North Carolina v Syracuse 40–7 -9.5 -8.9 -0.6 missed
7 2023-10-07 NC State v Marshall 48–41 -6.5 -6.6 +0.1 covered
7 2023-10-07 Akron v Northern Illinois 14–55 +5.0 +2.6 +2.4 missed
7 2023-10-07 Ohio v Kent State 42–17 -26.0 -31.8 +5.8 missed
7 2023-10-07 Ohio State v Maryland 37–17 -20.0 -17.0 -3.0 push
7 2023-10-07 Oklahoma vs Texas 34–30 +5.5 -1.1 +6.6 covered
7 2023-10-07 Southern Miss v Old Dominion 13–17 -1.5 +1.3 -2.8 covered
7 2023-10-07 California v Oregon State 40–52 +9.5 +12.5 -3.0 covered
7 2023-10-07 UL Monroe v South Alabama 7–55 +10.0 +12.5 -2.5 covered
7 2023-10-07 USC v Arizona 43–41 -21.5 -22.5 +1.0 missed
7 2023-10-07 Baylor v Texas Tech 14–39 +1.5 +7.2 -5.7 covered
7 2023-10-07 Temple v UTSA 34–49 +14.0 +10.3 +3.7 missed
7 2023-10-07 Troy v Arkansas State 37–3 -16.0 -23.6 +7.6 covered
7 2023-10-07 UCLA v Washington State 25–17 -3.5 -4.3 +0.8 covered
7 2023-10-07 Utah State v Colorado State 44–24 +3.0 -6.3 +9.3 covered
7 2023-10-07 Wisconsin v Rutgers 24–13 -13.0 -17.2 +4.2 missed
7 2023-10-07 Wyoming v Fresno State 24–19 +6.0 +7.8 -1.8 missed
8 2023-10-10 App State v Coastal Carolina 24–27 -6.0 -2.5 -3.5 covered
8 2023-10-10 Jacksonville State v Liberty 13–31 +6.0 +4.1 +1.9 missed
8 2023-10-10 Middle Tennessee v Louisiana Tech 31–23 -3.0 -2.5 -0.5 missed
8 2023-10-11 New Mexico State v Sam Houston 27–13 -4.5 -4.3 -0.2 missed
8 2023-10-11 Florida International v UTEP 14–27 +1.5 +0.4 +1.1 missed
8 2023-10-12 Houston v West Virginia 41–39 +2.5 +6.3 -3.8 missed
8 2023-10-12 East Carolina v SMU 10–31 +11.0 +12.2 -1.2 covered
8 2023-10-13 Utah State v Fresno State 32–37 +7.0 +9.3 -2.3 missed
8 2023-10-13 Colorado v Stanford 43–46 -11.5 -14.0 +2.5 missed
8 2023-10-13 Memphis v Tulane 21–31 +3.5 +0.7 +2.8 missed
8 2023-10-14 Air Force v Wyoming 34–27 -11.5 -16.0 +4.5 missed
8 2023-10-14 Alabama v Arkansas 24–21 -19.5 -20.7 +1.2 missed
8 2023-10-14 Washington State v Arizona 6–44 -7.5 -10.0 +2.5 missed
8 2023-10-14 Buffalo v Bowling Green 14–24 -4.0 -5.6 +1.6 missed
8 2023-10-14 Central Michigan v Akron 17–10 -10.0 -12.4 +2.4 missed
8 2023-10-14 Colorado State v Boise State 31–30 +8.5 +9.2 -0.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Duke v NC State 24–3 -3.5 -11.7 +8.2 covered
8 2023-10-14 Eastern Michigan v Kent State 28–14 -8.5 -12.9 +4.4 covered
8 2023-10-14 South Carolina v Florida 39–41 -2.5 -2.3 -0.2 covered
8 2023-10-14 South Florida v Florida Atlantic 14–56 -2.5 -3.2 +0.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Florida State v Syracuse 41–3 -18.5 -19.8 +1.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 Vanderbilt v Georgia 20–37 +32.5 +36.2 -3.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Georgia State v Marshall 41–24 -1.0 +1.4 -2.4 missed
8 2023-10-14 Maryland v Illinois 24–27 -13.5 -19.2 +5.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Wisconsin v Iowa 6–15 -9.5 -10.8 +1.3 missed
8 2023-10-14 Cincinnati v Iowa State 10–30 -5.0 -1.7 -3.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 James Madison v Georgia Southern 41–13 -6.0 -4.3 -1.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Texas Tech v Kansas State 21–38 -1.5 -4.7 +3.2 missed
8 2023-10-14 LSU v Auburn 48–18 -11.5 -14.0 +2.5 covered
8 2023-10-14 Western Michigan v Miami (OH) 21–34 +8.5 +10.6 -2.1 covered
8 2023-10-14 Michigan v Indiana 52–7 -34.0 -40.9 +6.9 covered
8 2023-10-14 Kentucky v Missouri 21–38 -2.5 -2.3 -0.2 covered
8 2023-10-14 Charlotte v Navy 0–14 +3.0 -0.5 +3.5 missed
8 2023-10-14 Nevada v UNLV 27–45 +8.0 +10.1 -2.1 covered
8 2023-10-14 North Carolina v Miami 41–31 -2.5 -10.9 +8.4 covered
8 2023-10-14 North Texas v Temple 45–14 -6.5 -6.6 +0.1 covered
8 2023-10-14 Northern Illinois v Ohio 23–13 +5.5 +5.2 +0.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 Notre Dame v USC 48–20 -2.5 -1.1 -1.4 missed
8 2023-10-14 Purdue v Ohio State 7–41 +18.0 +21.2 -3.2 covered
8 2023-10-14 Oklahoma State v Kansas 39–32 +3.0 +3.5 -0.5 missed
8 2023-10-14 Oregon State v UCLA 36–24 -3.5 -5.8 +2.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 Pittsburgh v Louisville 38–21 +7.5 +8.8 -1.3 missed
8 2023-10-14 Rutgers v Michigan State 27–24 -4.5 -8.3 +3.8 missed
8 2023-10-14 Hawai'i v San Diego State 34–41 +6.0 +5.5 +0.5 missed
8 2023-10-14 New Mexico v San José State 24–52 +7.0 +8.1 -1.1 covered
8 2023-10-14 Tennessee v Texas A&M 20–13 -3.0 -6.6 +3.6 covered
8 2023-10-14 TCU v BYU 44–11 -5.0 -9.4 +4.4 covered
8 2023-10-14 Texas State v UL Monroe 21–20 -18.0 -22.3 +4.3 missed
8 2023-10-14 UTSA v UAB 41–20 -9.0 -9.8 +0.8 covered
8 2023-10-14 Ball State v Toledo 6–13 +17.5 +17.1 +0.4 covered
8 2023-10-14 Army v Troy 0–19 +6.0 +2.3 +3.7 missed
8 2023-10-14 Utah v California 34–14 -11.0 -14.3 +3.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 Virginia Tech v Wake Forest 30–13 -1.5 -1.8 +0.3 covered
8 2023-10-14 Washington v Oregon 36–33 -3.0 -2.6 -0.4 push
9 2023-10-17 Jacksonville State v Western Kentucky 20–17 +7.0 +3.1 +3.9 covered
9 2023-10-17 Liberty v Middle Tennessee 42–35 -14.0 -18.9 +4.9 missed
9 2023-10-17 South Alabama v Southern Miss 55–3 -17.0 -23.6 +6.6 covered
9 2023-10-18 Sam Houston v Florida International 27–33 -5.5 -9.1 +3.6 missed
9 2023-10-18 UTEP v New Mexico State 7–28 +1.0 +0.5 +0.5 missed
9 2023-10-19 Marshall v James Madison 9–20 +1.0 +6.5 -5.5 covered
9 2023-10-19 Tulsa v Rice 10–42 -3.0 -6.0 +3.0 missed
9 2023-10-20 Temple v SMU 0–55 +22.5 +27.4 -4.9 covered
9 2023-10-21 Navy v Air Force 6–17 +11.5 +16.3 -4.8 missed
9 2023-10-21 Alabama v Tennessee 34–20 -9.5 -6.7 -2.8 missed
9 2023-10-21 Ball State v Central Michigan 24–17 +5.0 +2.6 +2.4 covered
9 2023-10-21 Cincinnati v Baylor 29–32 -3.0 -6.2 +3.2 missed
9 2023-10-21 Georgia Tech v Boston College 23–38 -5.5 -6.8 +1.3 missed
9 2023-10-21 Bowling Green v Akron 41–14 -7.5 -14.2 +6.7 covered
9 2023-10-21 BYU v Texas Tech 27–14 +3.0 +6.8 -3.8 missed
9 2023-10-21 Kent State v Buffalo 6–24 +7.0 +6.8 +0.2 missed
9 2023-10-21 East Carolina v Charlotte 7–10 -6.5 -10.2 +3.7 missed
9 2023-10-21 Arkansas State v Coastal Carolina 17–27 +9.0 +14.3 -5.3 covered
9 2023-10-21 Florida State v Duke 38–20 -14.5 -17.3 +2.8 covered
9 2023-10-21 Georgia Southern v UL Monroe 38–28 -16.5 -22.2 +5.7 missed
9 2023-10-21 Louisiana v Georgia State 17–20 -3.5 -1.0 -2.5 covered
9 2023-10-21 Kansas State v TCU 41–3 -6.0 -6.6 +0.6 covered
9 2023-10-21 LSU v Army 62–0 -33.0 -34.5 +1.5 covered
9 2023-10-21 UAB v Memphis 21–45 +7.0 +7.7 -0.7 covered
9 2023-10-21 Miami v Clemson 28–20 +3.0 +3.8 -0.8 missed
9 2023-10-21 Michigan State v Michigan 0–49 +24.5 +29.4 -4.9 covered
9 2023-10-21 Iowa v Minnesota 10–12 -3.5 -12.8 +9.3 missed
9 2023-10-21 Auburn v Ole Miss 21–28 +6.5 +8.3 -1.8 covered
9 2023-10-21 Arkansas v Mississippi State 3–7 -6.5 -8.5 +2.0 missed
9 2023-10-21 Missouri v South Carolina 34–12 -7.5 -8.1 +0.6 covered
9 2023-10-21 Nebraska v Northwestern 17–9 -10.5 -12.0 +1.5 missed
9 2023-10-21 San Diego State v Nevada 0–6 -11.5 -15.2 +3.7 missed
9 2023-10-21 UNLV v Colorado State 25–23 -7.0 -9.2 +2.2 missed
9 2023-10-21 New Mexico v Hawai'i 42–21 +2.5 -0.8 +3.3 covered
9 2023-10-21 Northern Illinois v Eastern Michigan 20–13 -12.0 -13.9 +1.9 missed
9 2023-10-21 Ohio v Western Michigan 20–17 -16.5 -20.1 +3.6 missed
9 2023-10-21 Ohio State v Penn State 20–12 -4.0 -4.4 +0.4 covered
9 2023-10-21 Oklahoma v UCF 31–29 -17.5 -25.9 +8.4 missed
9 2023-10-21 West Virginia v Oklahoma State 34–48 -3.0 -4.9 +1.9 missed
9 2023-10-21 Old Dominion v App State 28–21 +5.5 +6.5 -1.0 missed
9 2023-10-21 Oregon v Washington State 38–24 -20.0 -24.3 +4.3 missed
9 2023-10-21 Indiana v Rutgers 14–31 +6.0 +6.8 -0.8 covered
9 2023-10-21 San José State v Utah State 42–21 -4.0 -4.8 +0.8 covered
9 2023-10-21 UConn v South Florida 21–24 +1.0 -3.6 +4.6 missed
9 2023-10-21 Houston v Texas 24–31 +23.5 +24.1 -0.6 missed
9 2023-10-21 Florida Atlantic v UTSA 10–36 +2.5 -0.4 +2.9 missed
9 2023-10-21 Miami (OH) v Toledo 17–21 +2.0 -2.1 +4.1 missed
9 2023-10-21 Tulane v North Texas 35–28 -20.0 -23.1 +3.1 missed
9 2023-10-21 Stanford v UCLA 7–42 +17.0 +19.7 -2.7 covered
9 2023-10-21 USC v Utah 32–34 -6.5 -5.8 -0.7 covered
9 2023-10-21 North Carolina v Virginia 27–31 -24.0 -28.5 +4.5 missed
9 2023-10-21 Wake Forest v Pittsburgh 21–17 -1.0 +2.0 -3.0 missed
9 2023-10-21 Washington v Arizona State 15–7 -27.5 -38.5 +11.0 missed
9 2023-10-21 Illinois v Wisconsin 21–25 +3.0 +8.1 -5.1 covered
10 2023-10-24 Western Kentucky v Liberty 29–42 +4.0 +0.3 +3.7 missed
10 2023-10-24 Louisiana Tech v New Mexico State 24–27 -3.0 +0.4 -3.4 covered
10 2023-10-25 Florida International v Jacksonville State 16–41 +8.0 +7.1 +0.9 missed
10 2023-10-25 Sam Houston v UTEP 34–37 -3.0 -3.5 +0.5 missed
10 2023-10-26 Georgia Southern v Georgia State 44–27 -1.5 -1.4 -0.1 missed
10 2023-10-26 Virginia Tech v Syracuse 38–10 -2.5 -3.7 +1.2 covered
10 2023-10-27 Charlotte v Florida Atlantic 16–38 +4.0 +3.2 +0.8 missed
10 2023-10-28 Colorado State v Air Force 13–30 +13.0 +13.9 -0.9 covered
10 2023-10-28 App State v Southern Miss 48–38 -17.0 -18.3 +1.3 missed
10 2023-10-28 Arizona v Oregon State 27–24 +3.5 +4.1 -0.6 missed
10 2023-10-28 Arizona State v Washington State 38–27 +6.0 +7.4 -1.4 missed
10 2023-10-28 UL Monroe v Arkansas State 24–34 -2.5 -2.6 +0.1 missed
10 2023-10-28 Auburn v Mississippi State 27–13 -6.5 -4.6 -1.9 missed
10 2023-10-28 Boise State v Wyoming 32–7 -5.0 -6.1 +1.1 covered
10 2023-10-28 Boston College v UConn 21–14 -14.5 -17.3 +2.8 missed
10 2023-10-28 Coastal Carolina v Marshall 34–6 +4.0 -3.3 +7.3 covered
10 2023-10-28 Wake Forest v Florida State 16–41 +20.5 +24.9 -4.4 covered
10 2023-10-28 Fresno State v UNLV 31–24 -7.5 -14.2 +6.7 missed
10 2023-10-28 Florida vs Georgia 20–43 +14.5 +17.6 -3.1 covered
10 2023-10-28 Georgia Tech v North Carolina 46–42 +11.0 +13.2 -2.2 missed
10 2023-10-28 Baylor v Iowa State 18–30 +2.5 +3.2 -0.7 covered
10 2023-10-28 James Madison v Old Dominion 30–27 -20.5 -22.2 +1.7 missed
10 2023-10-28 Kansas v Oklahoma 38–33 +9.0 +10.8 -1.8 missed
10 2023-10-28 Kansas State v Houston 41–0 -17.5 -25.0 +7.5 covered
10 2023-10-28 South Alabama v Louisiana 20–33 -10.5 -15.2 +4.7 missed
10 2023-10-28 Louisville v Duke 23–0 -4.5 -0.8 -3.7 missed
10 2023-10-28 North Texas v Memphis 42–45 +7.5 +10.9 -3.4 missed
10 2023-10-28 Miami v Virginia 29–26 -18.5 -17.5 -1.0 covered
10 2023-10-28 Ohio v Miami (OH) 16–30 -7.0 -5.2 -1.8 covered
10 2023-10-28 Minnesota v Michigan State 27–12 -7.0 -11.9 +4.9 covered
10 2023-10-28 Ole Miss v Vanderbilt 33–7 -24.5 -31.3 +6.8 covered
10 2023-10-28 Nebraska v Purdue 31–14 -2.5 -2.3 -0.2 missed
10 2023-10-28 Nevada v New Mexico 34–24 -1.0 -2.9 +1.9 covered
10 2023-10-28 NC State v Clemson 24–17 +10.0 +9.3 +0.7 covered
10 2023-10-28 Northwestern v Maryland 33–27 +13.5 +15.2 -1.7 missed
10 2023-10-28 Notre Dame v Pittsburgh 58–7 -20.5 -20.7 +0.2 covered
10 2023-10-28 Wisconsin v Ohio State 10–24 +14.5 +16.3 -1.8 missed
10 2023-10-28 Oklahoma State v Cincinnati 45–13 -7.5 -12.3 +4.8 covered
10 2023-10-28 Utah v Oregon 6–35 +6.5 +5.6 +0.9 missed
10 2023-10-28 Penn State v Indiana 33–24 -32.0 -39.8 +7.8 missed
10 2023-10-28 California v USC 49–50 +10.5 +10.5 -0.0 missed
10 2023-10-28 SMU v Tulsa 69–10 -20.5 -30.7 +10.2 covered
10 2023-10-28 Kentucky v Tennessee 27–33 +3.5 +11.2 -7.7 covered
10 2023-10-28 Texas v BYU 35–6 -18.5 -25.3 +6.8 covered
10 2023-10-28 Texas A&M v South Carolina 30–17 -14.5 -17.4 +2.9 missed
10 2023-10-28 UTSA v East Carolina 41–27 -18.5 -17.3 -1.2 covered
10 2023-10-28 Texas State v Troy 13–31 +6.0 +9.2 -3.2 covered
10 2023-10-28 Rice v Tulane 28–30 +10.5 +9.4 +1.1 covered
10 2023-10-28 UCLA v Colorado 28–16 -17.0 -21.5 +4.5 missed
10 2023-10-28 Stanford v Washington 33–42 +26.5 +31.5 -5.0 missed
10 2023-10-28 UCF v West Virginia 28–41 -7.0 -8.5 +1.5 missed
10 2023-10-28 Eastern Michigan v Western Michigan 21–45 +3.0 -2.2 +5.2 missed
10 2023-10-29 Hawai'i v San José State 0–35 +10.0 +15.5 -5.5 covered
11 2023-10-31 Central Michigan v Northern Illinois 37–31 +3.0 +5.0 -2.0 missed
11 2023-10-31 Toledo v Buffalo 31–13 -14.0 -18.0 +4.0 covered
11 2023-11-01 Akron v Kent State 31–27 -4.0 -5.1 +1.1 push
11 2023-11-01 Bowling Green v Ball State 24–21 -6.5 -10.4 +3.9 missed
11 2023-11-02 Duke v Wake Forest 24–21 -6.5 -14.0 +7.5 missed
11 2023-11-02 Texas Tech v TCU 35–28 -2.5 -1.1 -1.4 missed
11 2023-11-02 Troy v South Alabama 28–10 -5.5 -5.1 -0.4 missed
11 2023-11-03 Syracuse v Boston College 10–17 -3.0 -3.6 +0.6 missed
11 2023-11-03 Wyoming v Colorado State 24–15 -6.0 -8.5 +2.5 covered
11 2023-11-04 Alabama v LSU 42–28 -3.0 -0.3 -2.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 UAB v Florida Atlantic 45–42 -1.0 +1.7 -2.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 App State v Marshall 31–9 -3.5 -2.8 -0.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 Arizona v UCLA 27–10 +2.5 -0.7 +3.2 covered
11 2023-11-04 Florida v Arkansas 36–39 -4.5 -1.5 -3.0 covered
11 2023-11-04 Arkansas State v Louisiana 37–17 +9.0 +12.6 -3.6 missed
11 2023-11-04 Air Force vs Army 3–23 -18.5 -23.8 +5.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Vanderbilt v Auburn 15–31 +12.5 +15.5 -3.0 covered
11 2023-11-04 Cincinnati v UCF 26–28 +3.5 +6.2 -2.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 Tulsa v Charlotte 26–33 -4.5 -2.1 -2.4 covered
11 2023-11-04 Clemson v Notre Dame 31–23 +3.0 +7.4 -4.4 missed
11 2023-11-04 Old Dominion v Coastal Carolina 24–28 +1.0 +4.8 -3.8 covered
11 2023-11-04 Pittsburgh v Florida State 7–24 +21.5 +25.2 -3.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 Fresno State v Boise State 37–30 -3.0 -5.4 +2.4 covered
11 2023-11-04 Georgia v Missouri 30–21 -15.0 -16.8 +1.8 missed
11 2023-11-04 Virginia v Georgia Tech 17–45 -2.0 -0.7 -1.3 covered
11 2023-11-04 Nevada v Hawai'i 14–27 -3.5 -7.0 +3.5 missed
11 2023-11-04 Baylor v Houston 24–25 -3.0 -4.1 +1.1 missed
11 2023-11-04 Minnesota v Illinois 26–27 -1.5 -6.8 +5.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Indiana v Wisconsin 20–14 +9.5 +12.2 -2.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 Northwestern v Iowa 7–10 +4.5 +10.1 -5.6 missed
11 2023-11-04 Georgia State v James Madison 14–42 +6.0 +5.3 +0.7 missed
11 2023-11-04 Iowa State v Kansas 21–28 -2.5 +0.6 -3.1 covered
11 2023-11-04 Mississippi State v Kentucky 3–24 +5.0 -2.4 +7.4 missed
11 2023-11-04 Liberty v Louisiana Tech 56–30 -16.5 -19.0 +2.5 covered
11 2023-11-04 Louisville v Virginia Tech 34–3 -9.5 -12.6 +3.1 covered
11 2023-11-04 Memphis v South Florida 59–50 -13.5 -20.0 +6.5 missed
11 2023-11-04 Michigan v Purdue 41–13 -32.5 -37.8 +5.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Michigan State v Nebraska 20–17 +3.0 +3.2 -0.2 missed
11 2023-11-04 Ole Miss v Texas A&M 38–35 -3.0 -4.2 +1.2 push
11 2023-11-04 New Mexico v UNLV 14–56 +10.0 +9.7 +0.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 New Mexico State v Middle Tennessee 13–7 -3.5 -4.7 +1.2 covered
11 2023-11-04 NC State v Miami 20–6 +5.5 +1.5 +4.0 covered
11 2023-11-04 Rutgers v Ohio State 16–35 +19.0 +23.4 -4.4 push
11 2023-11-04 Oklahoma State v Oklahoma 27–24 +6.0 +5.9 +0.1 covered
11 2023-11-04 Oregon v California 63–19 -24.5 -27.1 +2.6 covered
11 2023-11-04 Colorado v Oregon State 19–26 +13.5 +13.8 -0.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Maryland v Penn State 15–51 +8.5 +12.5 -4.0 covered
11 2023-11-04 South Carolina v Jacksonville State 38–28 -15.5 -15.5 -0.0 covered
11 2023-11-04 Rice v SMU 31–36 +12.0 +18.3 -6.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Southern Miss v UL Monroe 24–7 -3.0 -6.4 +3.4 covered
11 2023-11-04 Washington State v Stanford 7–10 -13.0 -17.9 +4.9 missed
11 2023-11-04 Temple v Navy 32–18 +7.0 +14.3 -7.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 Tennessee v UConn 59–3 -36.0 -36.4 +0.4 covered
11 2023-11-04 Texas v Kansas State 33–30 -4.0 -4.9 +0.9 missed
11 2023-11-04 Texas State v Georgia Southern 45–24 +2.0 +2.3 -0.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 North Texas v UTSA 29–37 +7.5 +9.1 -1.6 covered
11 2023-11-04 East Carolina v Tulane 10–13 +17.0 +14.1 +2.9 covered
11 2023-11-04 Utah v Arizona State 55–3 -11.0 -16.6 +5.6 covered
11 2023-11-04 San Diego State v Utah State 24–32 +2.5 +0.7 +1.8 missed
11 2023-11-04 USC v Washington 42–52 +3.0 +0.9 +2.1 missed
11 2023-11-04 West Virginia v BYU 37–7 -13.0 -6.7 -6.3 missed
11 2023-11-04 UTEP v Western Kentucky 13–21 +9.5 +10.3 -0.8 missed
12 2023-11-07 Northern Illinois v Ball State 17–20 -10.5 -12.6 +2.1 missed
12 2023-11-07 Buffalo v Ohio 10–20 +7.0 +7.3 -0.3 covered
12 2023-11-07 Western Michigan v Central Michigan 38–28 -3.5 -7.1 +3.6 covered
12 2023-11-08 Kent State v Bowling Green 19–49 +8.5 +9.5 -1.0 covered
12 2023-11-08 Miami (OH) v Akron 19–0 -17.0 -24.5 +7.5 covered
12 2023-11-08 Toledo v Eastern Michigan 49–23 -18.5 -23.5 +5.0 covered
12 2023-11-09 Louisville v Virginia 31–24 -19.5 -26.0 +6.5 missed
12 2023-11-09 Louisiana v Southern Miss 31–34 -12.0 -14.7 +2.7 missed
12 2023-11-10 UNLV v Wyoming 34–14 -2.5 -8.4 +5.9 covered
12 2023-11-10 SMU v North Texas 45–21 -15.5 -26.0 +10.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 Kentucky v Alabama 21–49 +10.0 +12.7 -2.7 covered
12 2023-11-11 Georgia State v App State 14–42 -2.0 +0.1 -2.1 covered
12 2023-11-11 Colorado v Arizona 31–34 +6.0 +9.2 -3.2 missed
12 2023-11-11 UCLA v Arizona State 7–17 -16.0 -19.9 +3.9 missed
12 2023-11-11 Arkansas v Auburn 10–48 -3.0 -1.9 -1.1 covered
12 2023-11-11 Boise State v New Mexico 42–14 -26.5 -27.9 +1.4 covered
12 2023-11-11 California v Washington State 42–39 -1.5 -1.3 -0.2 missed
12 2023-11-11 UCF v Oklahoma State 45–3 +2.5 +2.9 -0.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 Houston v Cincinnati 14–24 -2.5 -4.8 +2.3 missed
12 2023-11-11 Clemson v Georgia Tech 42–21 -15.5 -16.5 +1.0 covered
12 2023-11-11 Colorado State v San Diego State 22–19 -4.5 -5.3 +0.8 missed
12 2023-11-11 Florida Atlantic v East Carolina 7–22 -9.5 -8.4 -1.1 covered
12 2023-11-11 Florida State v Miami 27–20 -14.0 -21.2 +7.2 missed
12 2023-11-11 Georgia v Ole Miss 52–17 -13.0 -11.9 -1.1 missed
12 2023-11-11 Hawai'i v Air Force 27–13 +20.0 +19.5 +0.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 Illinois v Indiana 48–45 -5.5 -8.5 +3.0 missed
12 2023-11-11 Iowa v Rutgers 22–0 -2.5 -6.4 +3.9 covered
12 2023-11-11 BYU v Iowa State 13–45 +7.0 +5.6 +1.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 James Madison v UConn 44–6 -27.0 -28.5 +1.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 Kansas State v Baylor 59–25 -19.0 -27.6 +8.6 covered
12 2023-11-11 Liberty v Old Dominion 38–10 -13.0 -13.7 +0.7 covered
12 2023-11-11 LSU v Florida 52–35 -14.0 -21.5 +7.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 Marshall v Georgia Southern 38–33 +1.5 -2.1 +3.6 covered
12 2023-11-11 Nebraska v Maryland 10–13 +1.0 +2.5 -1.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 Charlotte v Memphis 38–44 +11.0 +14.5 -3.5 missed
12 2023-11-11 Penn State v Michigan 15–24 +6.5 +3.3 +3.2 missed
12 2023-11-11 Middle Tennessee v Florida International 40–6 -11.5 -14.7 +3.2 covered
12 2023-11-11 Missouri v Tennessee 36–7 +1.0 +3.9 -2.9 missed
12 2023-11-11 Navy v UAB 31–6 +4.5 -1.9 +6.4 covered
12 2023-11-11 Western Kentucky v New Mexico State 29–38 -5.5 -10.0 +4.5 missed
12 2023-11-11 North Carolina v Duke 47–45 -9.5 -7.3 -2.2 covered
12 2023-11-11 Wake Forest v NC State 6–26 +2.5 -0.3 +2.8 missed
12 2023-11-11 Wisconsin v Northwestern 10–24 -12.0 -15.8 +3.8 missed
12 2023-11-11 Ohio State v Michigan State 38–3 -30.5 -36.9 +6.4 covered
12 2023-11-11 Oklahoma v West Virginia 59–20 -12.0 -13.2 +1.2 covered
12 2023-11-11 Oregon v USC 36–27 -12.5 -18.4 +5.9 missed
12 2023-11-11 Oregon State v Stanford 62–17 -20.0 -25.9 +5.9 covered
12 2023-11-11 Purdue v Minnesota 49–30 PK -0.6 +0.6 covered
12 2023-11-11 Louisiana Tech v Sam Houston 27–42 -8.5 -9.9 +1.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 San José State v Fresno State 42–18 +1.0 +1.4 -0.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 South Alabama v Arkansas State 21–14 -12.0 -18.4 +6.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 South Carolina v Vanderbilt 47–6 -14.0 -14.5 +0.5 covered
12 2023-11-11 South Florida v Temple 27–23 -7.5 -12.6 +5.1 missed
12 2023-11-11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse 13–28 -1.0 -2.9 +1.9 missed
12 2023-11-11 TCU v Texas 26–29 +6.0 +11.5 -5.5 missed
12 2023-11-11 Texas A&M v Mississippi State 51–10 -18.5 -19.4 +0.9 covered
12 2023-11-11 Kansas v Texas Tech 13–16 -3.5 -4.8 +1.3 missed
12 2023-11-11 UTSA v Rice 34–14 -13.0 -12.6 -0.4 missed
12 2023-11-11 UL Monroe v Troy 14–45 +20.0 +27.6 -7.6 covered
12 2023-11-11 Tulane v Tulsa 24–22 -22.5 -27.8 +5.3 missed
12 2023-11-11 Utah State v Nevada 41–24 -15.5 -16.8 +1.3 covered
12 2023-11-11 Boston College v Virginia Tech 22–48 -2.5 -1.4 -1.1 covered
12 2023-11-11 Washington v Utah 35–28 -10.5 -9.7 -0.8 covered
13 2023-11-14 Eastern Michigan v Akron 30–27 -5.5 -7.0 +1.5 missed
13 2023-11-14 Northern Illinois v Western Michigan 24–0 -3.0 -4.2 +1.2 covered
13 2023-11-14 Bowling Green v Toledo 31–32 +10.0 +9.8 +0.2 covered
13 2023-11-15 Miami (OH) v Buffalo 23–10 -8.5 -15.0 +6.5 covered
13 2023-11-15 Ohio v Central Michigan 34–20 -8.5 -16.2 +7.7 covered
13 2023-11-16 Pittsburgh v Boston College 24–16 -1.0 -5.3 +4.3 covered
13 2023-11-17 UTSA v South Florida 49–21 -15.5 -22.3 +6.8 covered
13 2023-11-17 Washington State v Colorado 56–14 -5.5 -5.5 +0.0 covered
13 2023-11-18 UAB v Temple 34–24 -7.0 -10.7 +3.7 covered
13 2023-11-18 James Madison v App State 23–26 -11.5 -12.5 +1.0 missed
13 2023-11-18 Arizona v Utah 42–18 +1.0 +1.8 -0.8 missed
13 2023-11-18 Arkansas v Florida International 44–20 -32.0 -34.5 +2.5 missed
13 2023-11-18 Arkansas State v Texas State 77–31 +3.5 +5.4 -1.9 missed
13 2023-11-18 Army v Coastal Carolina 28–21 +5.5 +2.9 +2.6 covered
13 2023-11-18 Ball State v Kent State 34–3 -13.0 -16.0 +3.0 covered
13 2023-11-18 Utah State v Boise State 10–45 +4.0 +7.0 -3.0 covered
13 2023-11-18 Stanford v California 15–27 +4.5 +7.5 -3.0 covered
13 2023-11-18 Clemson v North Carolina 31–20 -7.5 -5.7 -1.8 missed
13 2023-11-18 Colorado State v Nevada 30–20 -11.0 -12.5 +1.5 missed
13 2023-11-18 Tennessee v Georgia 10–38 +10.0 +9.0 +1.0 missed
13 2023-11-18 Georgia Tech v Syracuse 31–22 -6.0 -5.1 -0.9 missed
13 2023-11-18 Iowa v Illinois 15–13 -3.5 -10.3 +6.8 missed
13 2023-11-18 Jacksonville State v Louisiana Tech 56–17 -9.0 -12.3 +3.3 covered
13 2023-11-18 Kansas v Kansas State 27–31 +8.0 +9.7 -1.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 LSU v Georgia State 56–14 -30.5 -38.3 +7.8 covered
13 2023-11-18 Miami v Louisville 31–38 +1.5 +0.5 +1.0 missed
13 2023-11-18 Maryland v Michigan 24–31 +21.0 +24.7 -3.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 Indiana v Michigan State 21–24 -4.5 -5.2 +0.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 Middle Tennessee v UTEP 34–30 -8.0 -11.2 +3.2 missed
13 2023-11-18 Ole Miss v UL Monroe 35–3 -37.0 -41.9 +4.9 missed
13 2023-11-18 Mississippi State v Southern Miss 41–20 -14.0 -18.2 +4.2 covered
13 2023-11-18 Missouri v Florida 33–31 -10.5 -13.2 +2.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 Navy v East Carolina 10–0 -3.0 -1.7 -1.3 missed
13 2023-11-18 Air Force v UNLV 27–31 -4.0 -4.6 +0.6 missed
13 2023-11-18 Fresno State v New Mexico 17–25 -24.0 -27.4 +3.4 missed
13 2023-11-18 Auburn v New Mexico State 10–31 -22.0 -26.9 +4.9 missed
13 2023-11-18 Virginia Tech v NC State 28–35 -3.5 -0.7 -2.8 covered
13 2023-11-18 Tulsa v North Texas 28–35 +3.0 +3.7 -0.7 covered
13 2023-11-18 Northwestern v Purdue 23–15 -1.0 +0.2 -1.2 missed
13 2023-11-18 Notre Dame v Wake Forest 45–7 -25.0 -25.6 +0.6 covered
13 2023-11-18 Ohio State v Minnesota 37–3 -28.0 -31.4 +3.4 covered
13 2023-11-18 BYU v Oklahoma 24–31 +24.0 +24.3 -0.3 missed
13 2023-11-18 Houston v Oklahoma State 30–43 +7.5 +7.0 +0.5 missed
13 2023-11-18 Georgia Southern v Old Dominion 17–20 -7.0 -6.9 -0.1 covered
13 2023-11-18 Arizona State v Oregon 13–49 +22.0 +27.7 -5.7 covered
13 2023-11-18 Penn State v Rutgers 27–6 -19.5 -26.8 +7.3 covered
13 2023-11-18 Charlotte v Rice 7–28 +2.0 +4.1 -2.1 covered
13 2023-11-18 San José State v San Diego State 24–13 -14.0 -18.7 +4.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 South Alabama v Marshall 28–0 -8.0 -10.3 +2.3 covered
13 2023-11-18 South Carolina v Kentucky 17–14 +1.5 -1.5 +3.0 covered
13 2023-11-18 Memphis v SMU 34–38 +7.5 +9.8 -2.3 missed
13 2023-11-18 Iowa State v Texas 16–26 +8.0 +10.3 -2.3 covered
13 2023-11-18 TCU v Baylor 42–17 -12.0 -13.6 +1.6 covered
13 2023-11-18 Texas Tech v UCF 24–23 -3.0 -2.8 -0.2 covered
13 2023-11-18 Troy v Louisiana 31–24 -14.5 -20.8 +6.3 missed
13 2023-11-18 Florida Atlantic v Tulane 8–24 +9.0 +8.3 +0.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 USC v UCLA 20–38 -6.0 -10.4 +4.4 missed
13 2023-11-18 Virginia v Duke 30–27 +4.0 +9.1 -5.1 missed
13 2023-11-18 Oregon State v Washington 20–22 +1.0 +1.5 -0.5 covered
13 2023-11-18 West Virginia v Cincinnati 42–21 -6.5 -10.2 +3.7 covered
13 2023-11-18 Western Kentucky v Sam Houston 28–23 -12.5 -16.2 +3.7 missed
13 2023-11-18 Wisconsin v Nebraska 24–17 -5.0 -7.3 +2.3 covered
13 2023-11-18 Wyoming v Hawai'i 42–9 -14.5 -13.5 -1.0 missed
14 2023-11-21 Western Michigan v Bowling Green 10–34 +2.0 +0.1 +1.9 missed
14 2023-11-21 Buffalo v Eastern Michigan 11–24 -6.5 -9.6 +3.1 missed
14 2023-11-23 Mississippi State v Ole Miss 7–17 +11.0 +11.6 -0.6 missed
14 2023-11-24 Boise State v Air Force 27–19 -6.5 -9.2 +2.7 covered
14 2023-11-24 Nebraska v Iowa 10–13 +1.0 +1.8 -0.8 covered
14 2023-11-24 Temple v Memphis 21–45 +11.0 +17.6 -6.6 covered
14 2023-11-24 Boston College v Miami 20–45 +9.0 +10.4 -1.4 covered
14 2023-11-24 Arkansas v Missouri 14–48 +7.0 +10.4 -3.4 covered
14 2023-11-24 Akron v Ohio 14–25 +13.5 +15.2 -1.7 missed
14 2023-11-24 Oklahoma v TCU 69–45 -12.5 -14.9 +2.4 covered
14 2023-11-24 Oregon v Oregon State 31–7 -14.0 -15.0 +1.0 covered
14 2023-11-24 Michigan State vs Penn State 0–42 +20.0 +29.7 -9.7 covered
14 2023-11-24 Texas v Texas Tech 57–7 -13.5 -17.1 +3.6 covered
14 2023-11-24 Central Michigan v Toledo 17–32 +12.5 +14.1 -1.6 covered
14 2023-11-24 Tulane v UTSA 29–16 -2.5 -4.2 +1.7 covered
14 2023-11-24 New Mexico v Utah State 41–44 +8.5 +5.6 +2.9 covered
14 2023-11-25 Auburn v Alabama 24–27 +14.5 +13.8 +0.7 covered
14 2023-11-25 App State v Georgia Southern 55–27 -7.5 -11.5 +4.0 covered
14 2023-11-25 Arizona State v Arizona 23–59 +12.5 +14.0 -1.5 covered
14 2023-11-25 UCLA v California 7–33 -10.0 -12.7 +2.7 missed
14 2023-11-25 UCF v Houston 27–13 -13.5 -17.0 +3.5 covered
14 2023-11-25 South Carolina v Clemson 7–16 +7.0 +5.3 +1.7 missed
14 2023-11-25 Duke v Pittsburgh 30–19 -6.5 -11.3 +4.8 covered
14 2023-11-25 Florida v Florida State 15–24 +6.0 +11.2 -5.2 covered
14 2023-11-25 Georgia Tech v Georgia 23–31 +23.0 +27.6 -4.6 missed
14 2023-11-25 Hawai'i v Colorado State 27–24 +6.0 +4.8 +1.2 covered
14 2023-11-25 Kansas State v Iowa State 35–42 -11.5 -15.7 +4.2 missed
14 2023-11-25 Coastal Carolina v James Madison 14–56 +9.5 +7.8 +1.7 missed
14 2023-11-25 Cincinnati v Kansas 16–49 +6.0 +9.8 -3.8 covered
14 2023-11-25 Louisville v Kentucky 31–38 -7.0 -8.2 +1.2 missed
14 2023-11-25 UTEP v Liberty 28–42 +17.0 +17.9 -0.9 missed
14 2023-11-25 Louisiana v UL Monroe 52–21 -12.5 -17.5 +5.0 covered
14 2023-11-25 LSU v Texas A&M 42–30 -10.5 -9.6 -0.9 missed
14 2023-11-25 Marshall v Arkansas State 35–21 -2.0 -1.8 -0.2 missed
14 2023-11-25 Rutgers v Maryland 24–42 +2.0 +1.9 +0.1 missed
14 2023-11-25 Ball State v Miami (OH) 15–17 +6.5 +6.6 -0.1 missed
14 2023-11-25 Michigan v Ohio State 30–24 -4.0 -5.5 +1.5 covered
14 2023-11-25 New Mexico State v Jacksonville State 20–17 -2.0 -3.6 +1.6 covered
14 2023-11-25 NC State v North Carolina 39–20 +2.0 +1.3 +0.7 covered
14 2023-11-25 North Texas v UAB 45–42 -3.0 -7.1 +4.1 push
14 2023-11-25 Kent State v Northern Illinois 27–37 +18.5 +18.1 +0.4 covered
14 2023-11-25 Illinois v Northwestern 43–45 -5.0 -6.8 +1.8 missed
14 2023-11-25 Stanford v Notre Dame 23–56 +24.5 +29.7 -5.2 covered
14 2023-11-25 Oklahoma State v BYU 40–34 -17.5 -15.4 -2.1 covered
14 2023-11-25 Old Dominion v Georgia State 25–24 -2.0 -3.9 +1.9 missed
14 2023-11-25 Purdue v Indiana 35–31 -2.5 -7.0 +4.5 covered
14 2023-11-25 Rice v Florida Atlantic 24–21 -5.0 -5.8 +0.8 missed
14 2023-11-25 Sam Houston v Middle Tennessee 23–20 +4.0 +3.0 +1.0 covered
14 2023-11-25 San Diego State v Fresno State 33–18 +5.5 +7.0 -1.5 missed
14 2023-11-25 UNLV v San José State 31–37 -3.5 -1.8 -1.7 covered
14 2023-11-25 South Florida v Charlotte 48–14 -5.5 -5.0 -0.5 missed
14 2023-11-25 SMU v Navy 59–14 -20.0 -25.0 +5.0 covered
14 2023-11-25 Syracuse v Wake Forest 35–31 -3.0 -4.1 +1.1 covered
14 2023-11-25 Tennessee v Vanderbilt 48–24 -25.5 -28.7 +3.2 missed
14 2023-11-25 Texas State v South Alabama 52–44 +5.0 +8.7 -3.7 missed
14 2023-11-25 Southern Miss v Troy 17–35 +16.5 +18.9 -2.4 covered
14 2023-11-25 East Carolina v Tulsa 27–29 -3.0 -10.4 +7.4 missed
14 2023-11-25 Utah v Colorado 23–17 -21.5 -19.5 -2.0 covered
14 2023-11-25 Virginia v Virginia Tech 17–55 +2.5 +2.4 +0.1 missed
14 2023-11-25 Washington v Washington State 24–21 -16.0 -20.1 +4.1 missed
14 2023-11-25 Baylor v West Virginia 31–34 +6.5 +6.1 +0.4 covered
14 2023-11-25 Florida International v Western Kentucky 28–41 +10.0 +13.2 -3.2 covered
14 2023-11-25 Minnesota v Wisconsin 14–28 +1.5 +1.6 -0.1 covered
14 2023-11-25 Nevada v Wyoming 6–42 +11.0 +14.1 -3.1 covered
15 2023-12-01 Liberty v New Mexico State 49–35 -10.5 -13.2 +2.7 covered
15 2023-12-01 Oregon vs Washington 31–34 -9.0 -10.2 +1.2 missed
15 2023-12-02 Alabama vs Georgia 27–24 +5.0 +3.8 +1.2 covered
15 2023-12-02 UNLV v Boise State 20–44 +2.5 +3.2 -0.7 covered
15 2023-12-02 Florida State vs Louisville 16–6 -3.5 -9.8 +6.3 covered
15 2023-12-02 Miami (OH) vs Toledo 23–14 +8.5 +7.2 +1.3 covered
15 2023-12-02 Iowa vs Michigan 0–26 +23.5 +26.9 -3.4 covered
15 2023-12-02 Tulane v SMU 14–26 -4.0 +5.8 -9.8 covered
15 2023-12-02 Oklahoma State vs Texas 21–49 +14.0 +19.3 -5.3 covered
15 2023-12-02 Troy v App State 49–23 -6.5 -8.1 +1.6 covered
16 2023-12-09 Army vs Navy 17–11 -2.0 -1.5 -0.5 missed
17 2023-12-16 App State vs Miami (OH) 13–9 -4.5 -4.0 -0.5 covered
17 2023-12-16 Fresno State vs New Mexico State 37–10 +1.0 -3.2 +4.2 covered
17 2023-12-16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana 34–31 +1.5 -1.6 +3.1 covered
17 2023-12-16 Georgia Southern vs Ohio 21–41 +1.5 +6.7 -5.2 covered
17 2023-12-16 California vs Texas Tech 14–34 +1.5 +3.4 -1.9 covered
17 2023-12-16 Boise State vs UCLA 22–35 +2.5 -1.7 +4.2 missed
17 2023-12-18 Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky 35–38 +1.0 +2.8 -1.8 covered
18 2023-12-19 Marshall vs UTSA 17–35 +8.5 +12.5 -4.0 covered
18 2023-12-23 Coastal Carolina vs San José State 24–14 +7.5 +11.3 -3.8 missed
19 2023-12-26 Kansas vs UNLV 49–36 -10.5 -16.2 +5.7 covered
19 2023-12-27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M 31–23 +4.5 +9.8 -5.3 missed
19 2023-12-28 Arizona vs Oklahoma 38–24 -1.0 +9.5 -10.5 missed
19 2023-12-28 Kansas State vs NC State 28–19 -5.5 -13.1 +7.6 covered
19 2023-12-29 Clemson vs Kentucky 38–35 -7.5 -6.5 -1.0 covered
19 2023-12-29 Memphis v Iowa State 36–26 +5.5 +8.9 -3.4 missed
19 2023-12-29 Missouri vs Ohio State 14–3 +6.5 +13.2 -6.7 missed
19 2023-12-30 Florida State vs Georgia 3–63 +13.5 +10.5 +3.0 missed
19 2023-12-30 Auburn vs Maryland 13–31 -1.5 +1.4 -2.9 covered
19 2023-12-30 Ole Miss vs Penn State 38–25 +3.5 +12.9 -9.4 missed
20 2024-01-01 LSU vs Wisconsin 35–31 -10.0 -17.0 +7.0 missed
20 2024-01-01 Alabama vs Michigan 20–27 +1.5 +5.9 -4.4 covered
20 2024-01-01 Liberty vs Oregon 6–45 +16.5 +25.2 -8.7 covered
20 2024-01-01 Iowa vs Tennessee 0–35 +8.0 +10.0 -2.0 covered
20 2024-01-01 Texas vs Washington 31–37 -4.5 -8.3 +3.8 missed

The rule this page used to follow

Until BET-4 the page graded only flagged games — the ones where Lattice landed 1–5 points from the line. Graded forward against the closing number the flag lost to the games it passed on in all three seasons, so it is retired and every pick is followed instead. The record it left behind:

GamesAgainst the spread
Flagged 432 (60.2%) 195–226–11 46.3%
Passed on — the control 286 133–148–5 47.3%

The lines are DraftKings’ last recorded number, not a stamp taken at kickoff. CFBD polls until shortly before a game and stores what it saw last; that is a proxy for the close and is what BET-3 measured its closing figures on, so the two are comparable. The opening number is carried in the sheet beside it.

Read every rate against break-even, not against 50%. Break-even at −110 is 52.4% and a strategy that knows nothing about football returns −4.55%, so a book above half can still be losing money.

Why the flag went. Pooled over 2,255 games in 2023–2025 the flagged bets went 641–658–29 (49.35%) and the games the rule passed on went 466–447–14 (51.04%) — the control higher in every season. That is z = −2.19 against break-even. It is not a finding that the flagged games are worse: 1,299 settled bets cannot separate 49.35% from 51.04%. It is that nothing there supports singling them out, and the band was a weak filter anyway — it flagged roughly three games in five, because MODEL-60’s market correction pulls the model toward the line and moves games into the band by construction.

This page records what happens; it is not an argument for betting. BET-3 measured the band over 2017–2025 and found the best cell in the document — 52.99% on 340 bets — then argued at length that it should not be believed: 340 bets carry a 95% interval of [47.6%, 58.4%], it was the best of twenty cells against a Bonferroni threshold of z = 3.02, and the band came from MODEL-17, which was fitted on games that book contains. The honest prior is MODEL-18’s: the structure is real and too small to estimate.

Model spreads carry MODEL-63’s market correction as it stood that week. The sheet also holds the uncorrected number, which is the only one of the two that can be read as independent of the market it is graded against.