| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Florida Atlantic | 66-21 | 1736.7 | +42.1 | 1778.8 | 89.5% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Campbell | 52-3 | 1778.8 | +9.9 | 1788.7 | 99.3% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Auburn | 44-39 | 1788.7 | -3.7 | 1785.0 | 62.8% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Ole Miss | 52-28 | 1785.0 | +46.0 | 1831.0 | 44.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Missouri | 17-45 | 1831.0 | -61.0 | 1770.0 | 74.4% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | South Carolina | 19-38 | 1770.0 | -24.4 | 1745.6 | 63.5% |