| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Tennessee State | 63-3 | 1911.9 | -75.5 | 1836.4 | 99.8% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Western Kentucky | 70-20 | 1836.4 | +30.2 | 1866.5 | 98.2% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Arkansas | 45-17 | 1866.5 | +26.0 | 1892.6 | 92.8% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Oklahoma | 41-13 | 1892.6 | +19.3 | 1911.8 | 74.4% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Vanderbilt | 38-14 | 1911.8 | +4.0 | 1915.9 | 88.8% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Alabama | 20-17 | 1915.9 | +5.6 | 1921.4 | 46.8% |