| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Northern Illinois | 40-0 | 1783.9 | +13.3 | 1797.2 | 97.9% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Iowa State | 16-13 | 1797.2 | -36.1 | 1761.1 | 79.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Northern Iowa | 55-0 | 1761.1 | +32.0 | 1793.2 | 98.2% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Michigan | 20-19 | 1793.2 | -26.2 | 1766.9 | 63.5% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Ohio State | 14-31 | 1766.9 | -25.0 | 1742.0 | 24.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Washington | 41-24 | 1742.0 | +11.1 | 1753.1 | 66.6% |