| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | UAlbany | 34-7 | 1861.4 | -39.0 | 1822.4 | 97.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Iowa State | 13-16 | 1822.4 | +10.9 | 1833.3 | 39.6% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Massachusetts | 47-7 | 1833.3 | +4.4 | 1837.7 | 97.5% |
| 5 | Sep 19 2025 | W | Rutgers | 38-28 | 1837.7 | +30.5 | 1868.2 | 53.0% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | L | Indiana | 15-20 | 1868.2 | +29.4 | 1897.6 | 15.0% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Wisconsin | 37-0 | 1893.6 | +58.7 | 1952.3 | 72.7% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Penn State | 25-24 | 1952.3 | -15.9 | 1936.4 | 56.9% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | Minnesota | 41-3 | 1936.4 | +52.7 | 1989.1 | 72.3% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | L | Oregon | 16-18 | 1986.1 | +3.2 | 1989.3 | 30.9% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | L | USC | 21-26 | 1989.3 | -7.5 | 1981.8 | 47.8% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | W | Michigan State | 20-17 | 1981.8 | -23.8 | 1958.0 | 88.6% |
| 15 | Nov 28 2025 | W | Nebraska | 40-16 | 1958.0 | +28.6 | 1986.6 | 70.9% |
| 20 | Dec 31 2025 | W | Vanderbilt | 34-27 | 1980.9 | +10.3 | 1991.2 | 48.8% |