| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Stanford | 45-6 | 1884.7 | -9.7 | 1875.0 | 98.4% |
| 2 | Sep 11 2026 | W | Florida A&M | 77-7 | 1875.0 | +17.5 | 1892.5 | 99.8% |
| 3 | Sep 18 2026 | W | Wake Forest | 33-20 | 1892.5 | -28.1 | 1864.4 | 90.3% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Central Michigan | 52-3 | 1864.4 | +14.0 | 1878.4 | 98.3% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Clemson | 41-13 | 1878.4 | +15.9 | 1894.3 | 88.3% |