| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | New Hampshire | 66-3 | 1596.4 | +17.6 | 1614.1 | 98.2% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | California | 18-21 | 1614.1 | -55.1 | 1559.0 | 67.0% |
| 3 | Sep 17 2026 | L | Pittsburgh | 13-27 | 1559.0 | +26.8 | 1585.8 | 21.1% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | UConn | 42-41 | 1588.6 | +21.4 | 1609.9 | 52.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Virginia | 25-28 | 1609.9 | -11.9 | 1598.0 | 33.4% |