| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Tulane | 17-3 | 1684.7 | -29.6 | 1655.0 | 77.5% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Illinois | 31-27 | 1655.0 | +13.3 | 1668.4 | 40.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Stanford | 35-7 | 1668.4 | +11.2 | 1679.6 | 81.3% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | William & Mary | 62-7 | 1679.6 | +22.7 | 1702.3 | 97.7% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Georgia Tech | 25-28 | 1688.1 | -21.7 | 1666.4 | 77.7% |