| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | L | Temple | 10-42 | 1333.7 | -127.8 | 1205.9 | 43.7% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Bryant | 26-27 | 1205.9 | -11.1 | 1194.8 | 61.9% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | L | Iowa | 7-47 | 1194.8 | -27.5 | 1167.3 | 2.5% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | L | Missouri | 6-42 | 1177.1 | +30.7 | 1207.8 | 1.0% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | L | Western Michigan | 3-21 | 1207.8 | -7.5 | 1200.3 | 15.3% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | L | Kent State | 6-42 | 1200.3 | -71.1 | 1129.2 | 63.4% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | L | Buffalo | 21-28 | 1129.2 | +19.5 | 1148.7 | 14.1% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Central Michigan | 13-38 | 1148.7 | -19.9 | 1128.8 | 20.1% |
| 12 | Nov 4 2025 | L | Akron | 10-44 | 1133.0 | -42.4 | 1090.6 | 30.7% |
| 13 | Nov 12 2025 | L | Northern Illinois | 3-45 | 1090.6 | -50.7 | 1039.9 | 17.8% |
| 14 | Nov 18 2025 | L | Ohio | 14-42 | 1039.9 | +5.0 | 1044.9 | 4.1% |
| 15 | Nov 25 2025 | L | Bowling Green | 14-45 | 1044.9 | -22.7 | 1022.2 | 15.2% |