Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 31 2025 |
W |
Notre Dame
|
27-24 |
1609.2 |
+71.9
|
1681.1 |
11.8% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Bethune Cookman
|
45-3 |
1681.1 |
+0.0
|
1681.1 |
73.9% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
W |
South Florida
|
49-12 |
1681.1 |
+21.2
|
1702.3 |
68.6% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Florida
|
26-7 |
1702.3 |
+28.2
|
1730.5 |
59.4% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
Florida State
|
28-22 |
1730.5 |
+23.1
|
1753.6 |
78.6% |
| 9 |
Oct 17 2025 |
L |
Louisville
|
21-24 |
1753.6 |
-56.3
|
1697.3 |
58.9% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
W |
Stanford
|
42-7 |
1697.3 |
+9.6
|
1706.9 |
85.1% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
L |
SMU
|
20-26 |
1706.9 |
-40.4
|
1666.5 |
55.4% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
W |
Syracuse
|
38-10 |
1666.5 |
+15.8
|
1682.3 |
76.2% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
NC State
|
41-7 |
1682.3 |
+19.0
|
1701.3 |
71.7% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
Virginia Tech
|
34-17 |
1701.3 |
+15.8
|
1717.1 |
85.7% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Pittsburgh
|
38-7 |
1717.1 |
+42.1
|
1759.2 |
58.4% |
| 18 |
Dec 20 2025 |
W |
Texas A&M
|
10-3 |
1759.2 |
+60.0
|
1819.2 |
36.4% |
| 20 |
Dec 31 2025 |
W |
Ohio State
|
24-14 |
1819.2 |
+69.9
|
1889.1 |
17.7% |
| 21 |
Jan 8 2026 |
W |
Ole Miss
|
31-27 |
1889.1 |
+57.7
|
1946.8 |
32.2% |
| 22 |
Jan 19 2026 |
L |
Indiana
|
21-27 |
1946.8 |
-27.0
|
1919.8 |
31.8% |