| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 2026 | W | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 54-14 | 1784.4 | -76.4 | 1708.0 | 99.6% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Kansas | 38-21 | 1708.0 | +35.2 | 1743.2 | 65.3% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Troy | 27-17 | 1743.2 | -34.8 | 1708.4 | 94.0% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Mississippi State | 24-31 | 1708.4 | +11.9 | 1720.3 | 34.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Florida | 45-17 | 1720.3 | +51.9 | 1772.2 | 25.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Texas A&M | 27-6 | 1772.2 | +26.0 | 1798.2 | 46.5% |