Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
Nicholls State
|
38-20 |
1437.5 |
+0.0
|
1437.5 |
41.1% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
L |
Clemson
|
16-27 |
1437.5 |
-9.6
|
1427.9 |
14.9% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Memphis
|
7-28 |
1427.9 |
-18.3
|
1409.6 |
16.7% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Buffalo
|
21-17 |
1409.6 |
+52.3
|
1461.9 |
46.1% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
South Alabama
|
31-24 |
1461.9 |
+21.2
|
1483.1 |
68.7% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
W |
Texas State
|
48-41 |
1483.1 |
+45.6
|
1528.7 |
54.3% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
W |
Louisiana Monroe
|
37-14 |
1528.7 |
+20.3
|
1549.0 |
54.1% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
W |
Louisiana
|
35-23 |
1549.0 |
+15.7
|
1564.7 |
76.3% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
L |
Arkansas State
|
10-23 |
1564.7 |
-62.8
|
1501.9 |
67.4% |
| 13 |
Nov 13 2025 |
L |
Old Dominion
|
0-33 |
1501.9 |
-34.1
|
1467.8 |
47.9% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
Georgia State
|
31-19 |
1467.8 |
+8.0
|
1475.8 |
87.5% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Southern Miss
|
28-18 |
1475.8 |
+32.2
|
1508.0 |
69.3% |
| 16 |
Dec 5 2025 |
L |
James Madison
|
14-31 |
1508.0 |
-14.0
|
1494.0 |
21.3% |
| 18 |
Dec 16 2025 |
L |
Jacksonville State
|
13-17 |
1494.0 |
-50.6
|
1443.4 |
59.5% |