Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
L |
Rice
|
12-14 |
1504.5 |
-70.3
|
1434.2 |
77.7% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Mcneese State
|
34-10 |
1434.2 |
+0.0
|
1434.2 |
40.6% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Missouri
|
10-52 |
1434.2 |
-6.4
|
1427.8 |
10.1% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
L |
Eastern Michigan
|
31-34 |
1427.8 |
-63.1
|
1364.7 |
79.8% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
Marshall
|
54-51 |
1364.7 |
+60.1
|
1424.8 |
23.2% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
L |
James Madison
|
14-24 |
1424.8 |
-16.8
|
1408.0 |
25.3% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
Southern Miss
|
10-22 |
1408.0 |
-61.8
|
1346.2 |
66.0% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
Troy
|
23-35 |
1346.2 |
-15.7
|
1330.5 |
23.7% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
W |
South Alabama
|
31-22 |
1330.5 |
+45.8
|
1376.3 |
54.0% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
W |
Texas State
|
42-39 |
1376.3 |
+34.8
|
1411.1 |
51.3% |
| 14 |
Nov 20 2025 |
W |
Arkansas State
|
34-30 |
1411.1 |
+52.4
|
1463.5 |
46.0% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Louisiana Monroe
|
30-27 |
1463.5 |
+9.2
|
1472.7 |
44.8% |
| 18 |
Dec 17 2025 |
L |
Delaware
|
13-20 |
1472.7 |
-74.3
|
1398.4 |
87.4% |