Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
Missouri State
|
73-13 |
1665.1 |
+0.9
|
1666.0 |
98.6% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Georgia Southern
|
59-20 |
1666.0 |
+14.1
|
1680.1 |
78.4% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
W |
Purdue
|
33-17 |
1680.1 |
+13.9
|
1694.0 |
87.6% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Michigan State
|
45-31 |
1694.0 |
+19.3
|
1713.3 |
71.3% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
L |
Illinois
|
32-34 |
1713.3 |
-32.1
|
1681.2 |
45.5% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
W |
Michigan
|
31-13 |
1681.2 |
+59.4
|
1740.6 |
23.9% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
Notre Dame
|
24-34 |
1740.6 |
-22.1
|
1718.5 |
32.6% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
W |
Nebraska
|
21-17 |
1718.5 |
+37.1
|
1755.6 |
63.9% |
| 12 |
Nov 7 2025 |
W |
Northwestern
|
38-17 |
1755.6 |
+16.0
|
1771.6 |
75.9% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Iowa
|
26-21 |
1771.6 |
+30.7
|
1802.3 |
56.2% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
Oregon
|
27-42 |
1802.3 |
-15.8
|
1786.5 |
23.9% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
UCLA
|
29-10 |
1786.5 |
+9.1
|
1795.6 |
85.9% |
| 20 |
Dec 30 2025 |
L |
TCU
|
27-30 |
1795.6 |
-54.6
|
1741.0 |
64.2% |