| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 2026 | W | Hawai'i | 37-27 | 1454.5 | +36.1 | 1490.6 | 55.5% |
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Miami | 6-45 | 1454.5 | +36.1 | 1490.6 | 1.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Duke | 7-35 | 1493.4 | +2.9 | 1496.3 | 18.7% |
| 4 | Sep 27 2026 | W | Georgia Tech | 34-27 | 1496.3 | +32.0 | 1528.4 | 26.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Wake Forest | 3-57 | 1528.4 | -63.7 | 1464.7 | 23.4% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Notre Dame | 7-58 | 1464.7 | -4.7 | 1460.0 | 1.4% |