| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Oklahoma | 0-51 | 1302.2 | +9.1 | 1311.3 | 1.3% |
| 2 | Sep 13 2026 | W | Texas Southern | 51-10 | 1311.3 | +37.1 | 1348.4 | 85.3% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Michigan | 17-52 | 1348.4 | +7.8 | 1356.2 | 2.7% |
| 4 | Sep 27 2026 | L | Oregon State | 7-33 | 1356.2 | -12.5 | 1343.7 | 13.1% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | New Mexico | 7-61 | 1343.7 | -33.7 | 1310.0 | 6.5% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Nevada | 13-30 | 1310.0 | -2.3 | 1307.7 | 20.1% |