| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 2026 | W | Idaho | 66-14 | 1856.5 | -29.9 | 1826.6 | 98.9% |
| 2 | Sep 13 2026 | W | Arkansas | 43-10 | 1826.6 | -22.2 | 1804.4 | 88.2% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Utah State | 33-0 | 1804.4 | +20.3 | 1824.7 | 95.0% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Iowa State | 31-17 | 1824.7 | +19.2 | 1843.9 | 80.5% |
| 6 | Oct 11 2026 | W | Kansas | 41-24 | 1837.4 | -3.1 | 1834.3 | 86.7% |