| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Austin Peay | 28-9 | 1635.9 | +91.3 | 1727.2 | 91.5% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Delaware | 35-26 | 1727.2 | -50.8 | 1676.3 | 91.8% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | NC State | 35-31 | 1676.3 | +14.5 | 1690.8 | 51.1% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Auburn | 15-21 | 1690.8 | -22.9 | 1667.9 | 48.0% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Georgia | 14-38 | 1667.9 | -9.8 | 1658.0 | 11.2% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Ole Miss | 17-52 | 1658.0 | -48.9 | 1609.1 | 35.0% |