| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 2026 | W | NC State | 34-8 | 1642.7 | +76.8 | 1719.5 | 52.1% |
| 2 | Sep 11 2026 | W | Norfolk State | 59-3 | 1719.5 | +36.8 | 1756.3 | 99.0% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | West Virginia | 27-38 | 1756.3 | -63.4 | 1692.8 | 80.7% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Delaware | 42-3 | 1692.8 | +26.9 | 1719.7 | 84.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Florida State | 7-38 | 1719.7 | -61.5 | 1658.2 | 66.9% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Syracuse | 28-25 | 1658.2 | -5.2 | 1653.0 | 66.6% |