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Model
Lattice Elo

Lattice Tracker

761 intra-FBS games of 2025, each graded against the DraftKings closing line and the result. Every game the book closed carries a pick — the side Lattice prefers to that number — and all of them are counted below.

Every pick
378–371–12 50.5%
against the spread, on the side the model preferred
Straight-up winner
72.7%
the easier question, and not a bet
The bar
52.4%
break-even at −110. A coin flip is 50.0%

Lattice against DraftKings

LatticeDraftKingsDifference
Mean error on the margin 12.19 11.84 -0.35
Log loss (705 priced games) 0.5355 0.5370 +0.0014

Both log losses are averaged over the same games — the ones DraftKings put a price on. The book closes a spread on more games than it prices, and scoring the model over all of them against the market over a subset is not a comparison.

Week by week

WeekGamesPicks ATS
1 4 2–2 50.0%
2 44 23–21 52.3%
3 3 2–1 66.7%
4 47 22–25 46.8%
5 50 24–26 48.0%
6 51 23–26–2 46.9%
7 50 21–29 42.0%
8 56 30–23–3 56.6%
9 59 24–35 40.7%
10 53 26–25–2 51.0%
11 52 23–29 44.2%
12 51 25–26 49.0%
13 58 35–23 60.3%
14 60 34–25–1 57.6%
15 67 33–30–4 52.4%
16 9 4–5 44.4%
17 2 2–0 100.0%
18 10 6–4 60.0%
19 16 10–6 62.5%
20 16 7–9 43.8%
21 2 2–0 100.0%
22 1 0–1 0.0%

The seasons before it

SeasonGamesPicks ATS Lattice MAEDraftKings MAE
2023 718 328–374–16 46.7% 12.53 12.06
2024 776 401–360–15 52.7% 12.42 12.11

Every pick

The side in this colour is the one Lattice preferred to the closing number. Every game the book closed has one, and every one of them is counted in the record above.

WkDateMatchupResult DK closeLatticeEdgeOutcome
1 2025-08-23 Hawai'i v Stanford 23–20 -1.5 +4.1 -5.6 missed
1 2025-08-23 Iowa State vs Kansas State 24–21 +3.5 +0.7 +2.8 covered
1 2025-08-23 Kansas v Fresno State 31–7 -14.0 -18.5 +4.5 covered
1 2025-08-23 Western Kentucky v Sam Houston 41–24 -9.5 -3.6 -5.9 missed
2 2025-08-28 UCF v Jacksonville State 17–10 -16.5 -13.6 -2.9 covered
2 2025-08-28 Minnesota v Buffalo 23–10 -16.5 -26.7 +10.2 missed
2 2025-08-28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska 17–20 +6.5 +4.6 +1.9 covered
2 2025-08-28 NC State v East Carolina 24–17 -12.5 -14.3 +1.8 missed
2 2025-08-28 Rutgers v Ohio 34–31 -11.5 -14.1 +2.6 missed
2 2025-08-28 South Florida v Boise State 34–7 +8.5 +5.6 +2.9 covered
2 2025-08-28 Wisconsin v Miami (OH) 17–0 -17.5 -15.9 -1.6 covered
2 2025-08-28 Akron v Wyoming 0–10 +8.5 +7.4 +1.1 missed
2 2025-08-29 App State vs Charlotte 34–11 -8.5 -6.3 -2.2 missed
2 2025-08-29 Baylor v Auburn 24–38 +1.5 -4.3 +5.8 missed
2 2025-08-29 San José State v Central Michigan 14–16 -11.5 -17.3 +5.8 missed
2 2025-08-29 Colorado v Georgia Tech 20–27 +4.0 -2.0 +6.0 missed
2 2025-08-29 Michigan State v Western Michigan 23–6 -18.5 -14.7 -3.8 covered
2 2025-08-29 Sam Houston v UNLV 21–38 +13.5 +14.1 -0.6 covered
2 2025-08-29 Wake Forest v Kennesaw State 10–9 -17.5 -25.1 +7.6 missed
2 2025-08-30 Arizona v Hawai'i 40–6 -13.5 -12.2 -1.3 missed
2 2025-08-30 Oregon State v California 15–34 -3.0 +1.7 -4.7 covered
2 2025-08-30 Florida State v Alabama 31–17 +13.5 +22.2 -8.7 missed
2 2025-08-30 Fresno State v Georgia Southern 42–14 -2.5 -0.9 -1.6 missed
2 2025-08-30 Georgia v Marshall 45–7 -39.5 -24.3 -15.2 covered
2 2025-08-30 Indiana v Old Dominion 27–14 -23.5 -25.6 +2.1 missed
2 2025-08-30 Kentucky v Toledo 24–16 -10.0 -17.2 +7.2 missed
2 2025-08-30 Clemson v LSU 10–17 -3.5 +0.3 -3.8 covered
2 2025-08-30 Maryland v Florida Atlantic 39–7 -16.5 -21.2 +4.7 covered
2 2025-08-30 Michigan v New Mexico 34–17 -36.5 -35.1 -1.4 covered
2 2025-08-30 Ole Miss v Georgia State 63–7 -38.5 -37.8 -0.7 missed
2 2025-08-30 Southern Miss v Mississippi State 17–34 +11.5 +24.0 -12.5 covered
2 2025-08-30 Ohio State v Texas 14–7 -3.0 -7.1 +4.1 covered
2 2025-08-30 Penn State v Nevada 46–11 -45.5 -38.2 -7.3 covered
2 2025-08-30 Purdue v Ball State 31–0 -16.5 -18.4 +1.9 covered
2 2025-08-30 Louisiana v Rice 12–14 -14.5 -6.8 -7.8 covered
2 2025-08-30 USC v Missouri State 73–13 -34.5 -35.7 +1.2 covered
2 2025-08-30 Massachusetts v Temple 10–42 +3.0 -0.7 +3.7 missed
2 2025-08-30 Syracuse vs Tennessee 26–45 +13.5 +17.2 -3.7 covered
2 2025-08-30 Texas A&M v UTSA 42–24 -21.5 -21.3 -0.2 covered
2 2025-08-30 Texas State v Eastern Michigan 52–27 -14.0 -21.8 +7.8 covered
2 2025-08-30 Tulane v Northwestern 23–3 -6.5 -1.9 -4.6 missed
2 2025-08-30 UCLA v Utah 10–43 +6.5 -4.3 +10.8 missed
2 2025-08-30 Utah State v UTEP 28–16 -3.5 -13.5 +10.0 covered
2 2025-08-30 Virginia v Coastal Carolina 48–7 -12.5 -8.2 -4.3 missed
2 2025-08-30 Washington v Colorado State 38–21 -20.5 -22.1 +1.6 missed
2 2025-08-31 Miami v Notre Dame 27–24 +2.5 +10.2 -7.7 missed
2 2025-08-31 South Carolina vs Virginia Tech 24–11 -8.5 -9.5 +1.0 covered
2 2025-09-01 North Carolina v TCU 14–48 +3.0 +9.0 -6.0 covered
3 2025-09-06 Iowa State v Iowa 16–13 -1.5 -6.6 +5.1 covered
3 2025-09-06 Missouri v Kansas 42–31 -7.0 -12.6 +5.6 covered
3 2025-09-06 Oklahoma v Michigan 24–13 -3.0 -0.4 -2.6 missed
4 2025-09-11 Wake Forest v NC State 24–34 +7.5 +12.0 -4.5 covered
4 2025-09-12 Arizona v Kansas State 23–17 +1.5 -8.6 +10.1 covered
4 2025-09-12 Houston v Colorado 36–20 -4.0 -12.0 +8.0 covered
4 2025-09-12 UCLA v New Mexico 10–35 -15.5 -15.2 -0.3 covered
4 2025-09-13 Alabama v Wisconsin 38–14 -17.5 -22.8 +5.3 covered
4 2025-09-13 UAB v Akron 31–28 -12.5 -18.7 +6.2 missed
4 2025-09-13 Arizona State v Texas State 34–15 -18.5 -14.2 -4.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 Auburn v South Alabama 31–15 -26.5 -30.6 +4.1 missed
4 2025-09-13 Bowling Green v Liberty 23–13 +6.0 +8.1 -2.1 missed
4 2025-09-13 Kent State v Buffalo 28–31 +23.5 +31.8 -8.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 California v Minnesota 27–14 +3.0 +5.7 -2.7 missed
4 2025-09-13 Delaware v UConn 44–41 +8.5 +14.0 -5.5 missed
4 2025-09-13 Coastal Carolina v East Carolina 0–38 +7.0 +15.2 -8.2 covered
4 2025-09-13 Florida International v Florida Atlantic 38–28 -2.5 +2.3 -4.8 missed
4 2025-09-13 Tennessee v Georgia 41–44 +3.5 +7.5 -4.0 missed
4 2025-09-13 Georgia Southern v Jacksonville State 41–34 -3.0 +1.4 -4.4 missed
4 2025-09-13 Georgia Tech v Clemson 24–21 +3.0 -3.7 +6.7 covered
4 2025-09-13 Illinois v Western Michigan 38–0 -27.5 -32.9 +5.4 covered
4 2025-09-13 Iowa v Massachusetts 47–7 -35.5 -44.7 +9.2 covered
4 2025-09-13 Arkansas State v Iowa State 16–24 +21.0 +26.4 -5.4 missed
4 2025-09-13 Kentucky v Eastern Michigan 48–23 -26.5 -36.0 +9.5 missed
4 2025-09-13 LSU v Florida 20–10 -4.5 -0.3 -4.2 missed
4 2025-09-13 Louisiana Tech v New Mexico State 49–14 -10.0 -7.8 -2.2 missed
4 2025-09-13 Troy v Memphis 7–28 +4.5 +12.2 -7.7 covered
4 2025-09-13 Miami v South Florida 49–12 -17.5 -10.9 -6.6 missed
4 2025-09-13 Michigan v Central Michigan 63–3 -27.5 -33.4 +5.9 covered
4 2025-09-13 Nevada v Middle Tennessee 13–14 -9.5 -7.2 -2.3 covered
4 2025-09-13 Ole Miss v Arkansas 41–35 -3.5 -10.7 +7.2 covered
4 2025-09-13 Missouri v Louisiana 52–10 -27.5 -25.2 -2.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 Tulsa v Navy 23–42 +14.0 +17.6 -3.6 covered
4 2025-09-13 North Texas v Washington State 59–10 -6.5 -6.3 -0.2 missed
4 2025-09-13 Ohio State v Ohio 37–9 -28.5 -29.5 +1.0 missed
4 2025-09-13 Temple v Oklahoma 3–42 +23.5 +16.6 +6.9 missed
4 2025-09-13 Virginia Tech v Old Dominion 26–45 -5.5 -5.8 +0.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 Northwestern v Oregon 14–34 +25.5 +34.4 -8.9 missed
4 2025-09-13 Purdue v USC 17–33 +20.5 +22.8 -2.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 Missouri State v SMU 10–28 +29.5 +19.0 +10.5 covered
4 2025-09-13 Southern Miss v App State 38–22 +3.0 +4.6 -1.6 missed
4 2025-09-13 Stanford v Boston College 30–20 +14.0 +6.9 +7.1 covered
4 2025-09-13 Texas v UTEP 27–10 -39.5 -42.9 +3.4 missed
4 2025-09-13 Notre Dame v Texas A&M 40–41 -6.5 +0.0 -6.5 covered
4 2025-09-13 Texas Tech v Oregon State 45–14 -24.5 -30.6 +6.1 covered
4 2025-09-13 Tulane v Duke 34–27 -1.5 -10.2 +8.7 covered
4 2025-09-13 Wyoming v Utah 6–31 +24.5 +26.9 -2.4 covered
4 2025-09-13 Utah State v Air Force 49–30 +4.0 +5.3 -1.3 missed
4 2025-09-13 South Carolina v Vanderbilt 7–31 -3.0 -1.7 -1.3 covered
4 2025-09-13 West Virginia v Pittsburgh 31–24 +7.0 +0.0 +7.0 covered
5 2025-09-18 Charlotte v Rice 17–28 +1.5 +5.1 -3.6 covered
5 2025-09-19 Rutgers v Iowa 28–38 +2.5 -3.0 +5.5 missed
5 2025-09-19 Oklahoma State v Tulsa 12–19 -10.0 -6.2 -3.8 covered
5 2025-09-20 Baylor v Arizona State 24–27 -3.0 +3.4 -6.4 covered
5 2025-09-20 Air Force v Boise State 37–49 +10.5 +4.0 +6.5 missed
5 2025-09-20 East Carolina v BYU 13–34 +6.5 +10.9 -4.4 covered
5 2025-09-20 UCF v North Carolina 34–9 -7.0 -18.2 +11.2 covered
5 2025-09-20 South Alabama v Coastal Carolina 20–38 -14.5 -15.0 +0.5 missed
5 2025-09-20 Colorado v Wyoming 37–20 -12.5 -17.4 +4.9 covered
5 2025-09-20 UConn v Ball State 31–25 -21.0 -24.5 +3.5 missed
5 2025-09-20 Florida International v Delaware 16–38 -4.0 -2.6 -1.4 covered
5 2025-09-20 Duke v NC State 45–33 -3.0 +1.1 -4.1 missed
5 2025-09-20 Eastern Michigan v Louisiana 34–31 +2.5 +7.1 -4.6 missed
5 2025-09-20 Florida State v Kent State 66–10 -44.5 -55.0 +10.5 covered
5 2025-09-20 Georgia Tech v Temple 45–24 -24.5 -25.6 +1.1 missed
5 2025-09-20 Indiana v Illinois 63–10 -7.0 -9.2 +2.2 covered
5 2025-09-20 Liberty v James Madison 13–31 +7.5 -0.4 +7.9 missed
5 2025-09-20 Kansas v West Virginia 41–10 -12.5 -12.3 -0.2 missed
5 2025-09-20 Kennesaw State v Arkansas State 28–21 +4.5 +6.2 -1.7 missed
5 2025-09-20 Louisiana Tech v Southern Miss 30–20 -3.0 -9.6 +6.6 covered
5 2025-09-20 UTEP v UL Monroe 25–31 -5.5 -18.1 +12.6 missed
5 2025-09-20 Louisville v Bowling Green 40–17 -26.5 -29.8 +3.3 missed
5 2025-09-20 Middle Tennessee v Marshall 28–42 +2.5 +0.6 +1.9 missed
5 2025-09-20 Wisconsin v Maryland 10–27 -10.5 -7.0 -3.5 covered
5 2025-09-20 Memphis v Arkansas 32–31 +7.0 +10.9 -3.9 missed
5 2025-09-20 Miami v Florida 26–7 -8.5 -12.1 +3.6 covered
5 2025-09-20 Nebraska v Michigan 27–30 +1.5 -4.7 +6.2 missed
5 2025-09-20 Ole Miss v Tulane 45–10 -12.5 -20.2 +7.7 covered
5 2025-09-20 Mississippi State v Northern Illinois 38–10 -23.5 -20.0 -3.5 missed
5 2025-09-20 Missouri v South Carolina 29–20 -10.0 -15.6 +5.6 missed
5 2025-09-20 Miami (OH) v UNLV 38–41 +2.5 +3.6 -1.1 covered
5 2025-09-20 Army v North Texas 38–45 +2.5 +9.5 -7.0 covered
5 2025-09-20 Notre Dame v Purdue 56–30 -24.5 -24.5 +0.0 covered
5 2025-09-20 Oklahoma v Auburn 24–17 -6.5 -10.4 +3.9 covered
5 2025-09-20 Oregon v Oregon State 41–7 -33.5 -45.8 +12.3 covered
5 2025-09-20 San Diego State v California 34–0 +14.0 +14.2 -0.2 missed
5 2025-09-20 USC v Michigan State 45–31 -18.5 -20.9 +2.4 missed
5 2025-09-20 Clemson v Syracuse 21–34 -17.5 -13.4 -4.1 covered
5 2025-09-20 Tennessee v UAB 56–24 -39.5 -38.0 -1.5 covered
5 2025-09-20 Texas v Sam Houston 55–0 -39.5 -46.2 +6.7 covered
5 2025-09-20 TCU v SMU 35–24 -6.5 -5.7 -0.8 missed
5 2025-09-20 Utah v Texas Tech 10–34 -3.5 -7.0 +3.5 missed
5 2025-09-20 Colorado State v UTSA 16–17 +4.5 +5.4 -0.9 missed
5 2025-09-20 Buffalo v Troy 17–21 -5.5 -6.2 +0.7 missed
5 2025-09-20 Vanderbilt v Georgia State 70–21 -27.5 -40.1 +12.6 covered
5 2025-09-20 Virginia v Stanford 48–20 -16.5 -12.5 -4.0 missed
5 2025-09-20 Washington State v Washington 24–59 +21.0 +25.6 -4.6 covered
5 2025-09-20 Western Kentucky v Nevada 31–16 -8.5 -14.1 +5.6 covered
5 2025-09-20 Western Michigan v Toledo 14–13 +13.5 +18.4 -4.9 missed
5 2025-09-21 Hawai'i v Fresno State 21–23 +2.5 +7.0 -4.5 missed
6 2025-09-25 East Carolina v Army 28–6 -3.5 -9.8 +6.3 covered
6 2025-09-26 Arizona State v TCU 27–24 -3.0 -5.0 +2.0 push
6 2025-09-26 Oregon State v Houston 24–27 +11.5 +17.7 -6.2 missed
6 2025-09-26 Virginia v Florida State 46–38 +7.0 +5.9 +1.1 covered
6 2025-09-27 Georgia v Alabama 21–24 -2.5 -4.4 +1.9 missed
6 2025-09-27 Oklahoma State v Baylor 27–45 +21.0 +21.0 +0.0 covered
6 2025-09-27 Boise State v App State 47–14 -16.5 -24.2 +7.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 Colorado v BYU 21–24 +6.5 +11.1 -4.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Boston College v California 24–28 -6.0 -8.0 +2.0 missed
6 2025-09-27 Central Michigan v Eastern Michigan 24–13 -3.0 -2.4 -0.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Kansas v Cincinnati 34–37 -5.5 -6.3 +0.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Buffalo v UConn 17–20 +3.0 +0.3 +2.7 push
6 2025-09-27 Syracuse v Duke 3–38 +4.0 -5.2 +9.2 missed
6 2025-09-27 Wake Forest v Georgia Tech 29–30 +13.5 +16.9 -3.4 missed
6 2025-09-27 Air Force v Hawai'i 35–44 -7.0 -3.2 -3.8 covered
6 2025-09-27 Illinois v USC 34–32 +6.5 +7.1 -0.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Iowa v Indiana 15–20 +9.5 +13.6 -4.1 missed
6 2025-09-27 Iowa State v Arizona 39–14 -4.0 -6.7 +2.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 James Madison v Georgia Southern 35–10 -14.5 -11.8 -2.7 missed
6 2025-09-27 Kansas State v UCF 34–20 -6.0 +0.2 -6.2 missed
6 2025-09-27 Kennesaw State v Middle Tennessee 24–16 -7.0 -4.2 -2.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Louisiana v Marshall 54–51 +2.5 -1.7 +4.2 covered
6 2025-09-27 UTEP v Louisiana Tech 11–30 +3.5 +3.6 -0.1 covered
6 2025-09-27 UL Monroe v Arkansas State 28–16 -1.5 +0.3 -1.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Pittsburgh v Louisville 27–34 +3.0 +8.0 -5.0 covered
6 2025-09-27 Florida Atlantic v Memphis 26–55 +14.0 +17.7 -3.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 Minnesota v Rutgers 31–28 -3.5 +0.2 -3.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 Ole Miss v LSU 24–19 -2.5 -8.3 +5.8 covered
6 2025-09-27 Missouri v Massachusetts 42–6 -44.5 -50.8 +6.3 missed
6 2025-09-27 Navy v Rice 21–13 -14.0 -22.6 +8.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 New Mexico v New Mexico State 38–20 -16.5 -19.5 +3.0 covered
6 2025-09-27 North Texas v South Alabama 36–22 -13.5 -23.9 +10.4 covered
6 2025-09-27 Northwestern v UCLA 17–14 -6.0 -8.6 +2.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Arkansas v Notre Dame 13–56 +5.5 +1.7 +3.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Ohio v Bowling Green 35–20 -7.5 -13.2 +5.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 Washington v Ohio State 6–24 +9.5 +4.9 +4.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Old Dominion v Liberty 21–7 -14.5 -18.1 +3.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Penn State v Oregon 24–30 -3.5 -1.8 -1.7 covered
6 2025-09-27 Northern Illinois v San Diego State 3–6 +1.5 +5.6 -4.1 covered
6 2025-09-27 South Carolina v Kentucky 35–13 -5.5 -6.0 +0.5 covered
6 2025-09-27 Southern Miss v Jacksonville State 42–25 -4.5 -0.0 -4.5 missed
6 2025-09-27 Stanford v San José State 30–29 -3.0 -9.0 +6.0 missed
6 2025-09-27 Mississippi State v Tennessee 34–41 +7.5 +6.7 +0.8 covered
6 2025-09-27 Texas A&M v Auburn 16–10 -6.5 -8.3 +1.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Toledo v Akron 45–3 -21.5 -29.4 +7.9 covered
6 2025-09-27 Tulsa v Tulane 14–31 +14.5 +14.7 -0.2 covered
6 2025-09-27 West Virginia v Utah 14–48 +13.5 +12.7 +0.8 missed
6 2025-09-27 Vanderbilt v Utah State 55–35 -23.5 -28.7 +5.2 missed
6 2025-09-27 NC State v Virginia Tech 21–23 -10.0 -5.2 -4.8 covered
6 2025-09-27 Colorado State v Washington State 3–20 -4.5 -6.1 +1.6 missed
6 2025-09-27 Missouri State v Western Kentucky 22–27 +3.5 +4.1 -0.6 covered
7 2025-10-02 New Mexico State v Sam Houston 37–10 +2.5 -3.9 +6.4 covered
7 2025-10-03 BYU v West Virginia 38–24 -19.5 -27.3 +7.8 missed
7 2025-10-03 San Diego State v Colorado State 45–24 -4.5 -12.8 +8.3 covered
7 2025-10-03 San José State v New Mexico 35–28 -1.5 -0.4 -1.1 missed
7 2025-10-03 South Florida v Charlotte 54–26 -27.5 -27.6 +0.1 covered
7 2025-10-03 Delaware v Western Kentucky 24–27 -2.5 -1.5 -1.0 covered
7 2025-10-04 Akron v Central Michigan 28–22 +7.0 +1.6 +5.4 covered
7 2025-10-04 Alabama v Vanderbilt 30–14 -13.5 -10.9 -2.6 missed
7 2025-10-04 App State v Oregon State 27–23 -1.5 +6.9 -8.4 missed
7 2025-10-04 Arizona v Oklahoma State 41–13 -21.5 -24.6 +3.1 covered
7 2025-10-04 Arkansas State v Texas State 31–30 +14.0 +11.5 +2.5 covered
7 2025-10-04 UAB v Army 13–31 +6.5 +10.0 -3.5 covered
7 2025-10-04 Ball State v Ohio 20–14 +14.0 +18.9 -4.9 missed
7 2025-10-04 Baylor v Kansas State 35–34 -4.5 -2.7 -1.8 covered
7 2025-10-04 Buffalo v Eastern Michigan 31–30 -9.5 -14.1 +4.6 missed
7 2025-10-04 Cincinnati v Iowa State 38–30 -1.5 -1.4 -0.1 missed
7 2025-10-04 North Carolina v Clemson 10–38 +15.5 +10.1 +5.4 missed
7 2025-10-04 UConn v Florida International 51–10 -7.0 -16.4 +9.4 covered
7 2025-10-04 California v Duke 21–45 +3.5 +6.7 -3.2 covered
7 2025-10-04 Florida v Texas 29–21 +4.5 +10.2 -5.7 missed
7 2025-10-04 Rice v Florida Atlantic 21–27 -4.5 -8.6 +4.1 missed
7 2025-10-04 Fresno State v Nevada 20–17 -12.5 -20.0 +7.5 missed
7 2025-10-04 Georgia v Kentucky 35–14 -19.5 -25.0 +5.5 covered
7 2025-10-04 Purdue v Illinois 27–43 +7.0 +12.8 -5.8 covered
7 2025-10-04 Georgia State v James Madison 7–14 +19.5 +20.7 -1.2 missed
7 2025-10-04 UCF v Kansas 20–27 +4.0 +3.4 +0.6 missed
7 2025-10-04 Memphis v Tulsa 45–7 -21.0 -26.3 +5.3 covered
7 2025-10-04 Florida State v Miami 22–28 +3.5 +4.2 -0.7 covered
7 2025-10-04 Northern Illinois v Miami (OH) 14–25 +4.5 +1.0 +3.5 missed
7 2025-10-04 Michigan v Wisconsin 24–10 -17.5 -19.6 +2.1 missed
7 2025-10-04 Navy v Air Force 34–31 -13.5 -16.4 +2.9 missed
7 2025-10-04 Nebraska v Michigan State 38–27 -12.5 -16.8 +4.3 missed
7 2025-10-04 Wyoming v UNLV 17–31 +4.5 +3.9 +0.6 missed
7 2025-10-04 Northwestern v UL Monroe 42–7 -12.5 -16.3 +3.8 covered
7 2025-10-04 Notre Dame v Boise State 28–7 -21.5 -25.3 +3.8 missed
7 2025-10-04 Ohio State v Minnesota 42–3 -23.5 -27.2 +3.7 covered
7 2025-10-04 Oklahoma v Kent State 44–0 -46.5 -60.4 +13.9 missed
7 2025-10-04 Old Dominion v Coastal Carolina 47–7 -18.5 -21.5 +3.0 covered
7 2025-10-04 Pittsburgh v Boston College 48–7 -7.0 -6.2 -0.8 missed
7 2025-10-04 SMU v Syracuse 31–18 -17.5 -15.6 -1.9 covered
7 2025-10-04 Temple v UTSA 27–21 +6.5 +5.9 +0.6 covered
7 2025-10-04 Texas A&M v Mississippi State 31–9 -17.5 -13.5 -4.0 missed
7 2025-10-04 TCU v Colorado 35–21 -13.5 -9.0 -4.5 missed
7 2025-10-04 Houston v Texas Tech 11–35 +13.5 +9.5 +4.0 missed
7 2025-10-04 Troy v South Alabama 31–24 +2.5 -2.8 +5.3 covered
7 2025-10-04 UCLA v Penn State 42–37 +24.5 +28.2 -3.7 missed
7 2025-10-04 Louisville v Virginia 27–30 -6.5 -7.2 +0.7 missed
7 2025-10-04 Virginia Tech v Wake Forest 23–30 -4.5 -9.4 +4.9 missed
7 2025-10-04 Maryland v Washington 20–24 +5.5 +7.9 -2.4 missed
7 2025-10-04 Massachusetts v Western Michigan 3–21 +12.5 +12.3 +0.2 missed
8 2025-10-08 UTEP v Liberty 8–19 +1.5 +6.1 -4.6 covered
8 2025-10-08 Middle Tennessee v Missouri State 20–22 +3.0 +1.8 +1.2 covered
8 2025-10-09 Sam Houston v Jacksonville State 27–29 +7.0 +7.6 -0.6 missed
8 2025-10-09 Kennesaw State v Louisiana Tech 35–7 +4.5 +9.1 -4.6 missed
8 2025-10-09 Georgia Southern v Southern Miss 35–38 +3.0 -0.8 +3.8 push
8 2025-10-09 Tulane v East Carolina 26–19 -7.0 -4.5 -2.5 push
8 2025-10-10 Colorado State v Fresno State 49–21 +5.5 +5.3 +0.2 covered
8 2025-10-10 North Texas v South Florida 36–63 -2.5 -5.5 +3.0 missed
8 2025-10-10 Washington v Rutgers 38–19 -9.5 -11.8 +2.3 covered
8 2025-10-11 Missouri v Alabama 24–27 +3.0 +7.1 -4.1 push
8 2025-10-11 Georgia State v App State 20–41 +3.0 -0.3 +3.3 missed
8 2025-10-11 Army v Charlotte 24–7 -17.5 -24.8 +7.3 missed
8 2025-10-11 Boise State v New Mexico 41–25 -14.5 -17.1 +2.6 covered
8 2025-10-11 Bowling Green v Toledo 28–23 +10.5 +13.8 -3.3 missed
8 2025-10-11 Arizona v BYU 27–33 +2.5 +5.5 -3.0 covered
8 2025-10-11 Cincinnati v UCF 20–11 -10.0 -12.4 +2.4 missed
8 2025-10-11 Boston College v Clemson 10–41 +14.0 +15.6 -1.6 covered
8 2025-10-11 Coastal Carolina v UL Monroe 23–8 +3.0 -4.1 +7.1 covered
8 2025-10-11 Colorado v Iowa State 24–17 +3.0 +5.3 -2.3 missed
8 2025-10-11 Eastern Michigan v Northern Illinois 16–10 +1.5 +3.0 -1.5 missed
8 2025-10-11 Florida Atlantic v UAB 53–33 -4.5 -7.2 +2.7 covered
8 2025-10-11 Auburn v Georgia 10–20 +4.5 +6.6 -2.1 covered
8 2025-10-11 Georgia Tech v Virginia Tech 35–20 -14.0 -14.9 +0.9 covered
8 2025-10-11 Oklahoma State v Houston 17–39 +14.5 +16.7 -2.2 covered
8 2025-10-11 Oregon v Indiana 20–30 -7.0 -0.1 -6.9 covered
8 2025-10-11 Wisconsin v Iowa 0–37 +5.5 +7.9 -2.4 covered
8 2025-10-11 James Madison v Louisiana 24–14 -18.5 -19.1 +0.6 missed
8 2025-10-11 Kansas State v TCU 41–28 +3.0 +0.9 +2.1 covered
8 2025-10-11 Kent State v Massachusetts 42–6 -1.5 +3.5 -5.0 missed
8 2025-10-11 LSU v South Carolina 20–10 -8.5 -11.2 +2.7 covered
8 2025-10-11 Marshall v Old Dominion 48–24 +14.5 +15.2 -0.7 missed
8 2025-10-11 Akron v Miami (OH) 7–20 +11.5 +17.2 -5.7 covered
8 2025-10-11 Minnesota v Purdue 27–20 -7.5 -9.1 +1.6 missed
8 2025-10-11 Ole Miss v Washington State 24–21 -33.5 -33.0 -0.5 covered
8 2025-10-11 Temple v Navy 31–32 +10.0 +7.2 +2.8 covered
8 2025-10-11 Maryland v Nebraska 31–34 +7.0 +8.0 -1.0 missed
8 2025-10-11 UNLV v Air Force 51–48 -7.0 -11.9 +4.9 missed
8 2025-10-11 Penn State v Northwestern 21–22 -20.5 -24.0 +3.5 missed
8 2025-10-11 Notre Dame v NC State 36–7 -23.5 -26.2 +2.7 covered
8 2025-10-11 Illinois v Ohio State 16–34 +14.5 +15.5 -1.0 covered
8 2025-10-11 Florida State v Pittsburgh 31–34 -10.5 -8.0 -2.5 covered
8 2025-10-11 Nevada v San Diego State 10–44 +6.5 +7.9 -1.4 covered
8 2025-10-11 USC v Michigan 31–13 -3.0 -3.6 +0.6 covered
8 2025-10-11 SMU v Stanford 34–10 -19.5 -23.1 +3.6 covered
8 2025-10-11 Tennessee v Arkansas 34–31 -10.0 -13.2 +3.2 missed
8 2025-10-11 Oklahoma vs Texas 6–23 +2.5 +1.5 +1.0 missed
8 2025-10-11 Texas A&M v Florida 34–17 -7.0 -12.0 +5.0 covered
8 2025-10-11 Texas Tech v Kansas 42–17 -13.5 -13.3 -0.2 missed
8 2025-10-11 UTSA v Rice 61–13 -8.5 -14.7 +6.2 covered
8 2025-10-11 Texas State v Troy 41–48 -7.5 -11.2 +3.7 missed
8 2025-10-11 Michigan State v UCLA 13–38 -7.0 -10.1 +3.1 missed
8 2025-10-11 Utah v Arizona State 42–10 -9.5 -8.7 -0.8 missed
8 2025-10-11 Oregon State v Wake Forest 14–39 +1.5 +5.5 -4.0 covered
8 2025-10-11 Western Michigan v Ball State 42–0 -9.5 -13.2 +3.7 covered
8 2025-10-11 Wyoming v San José State 35–28 +1.5 -0.0 +1.5 covered
8 2025-10-12 Hawai'i v Utah State 44–26 +1.5 +2.0 -0.5 missed
9 2025-10-14 South Alabama v Arkansas State 14–15 -8.5 -9.0 +0.5 missed
9 2025-10-14 Western Kentucky v Florida International 6–25 -10.0 -15.3 +5.3 missed
9 2025-10-14 Liberty v New Mexico State 30–27 -10.5 -14.1 +3.6 missed
9 2025-10-15 Jacksonville State v Delaware 38–25 +3.0 -0.0 +3.0 covered
9 2025-10-15 Sam Houston v UTEP 17–35 +3.5 -1.1 +4.6 missed
9 2025-10-16 East Carolina v Tulsa 41–27 -16.5 -23.4 +6.9 missed
9 2025-10-17 California v North Carolina 21–18 -7.5 -8.0 +0.5 missed
9 2025-10-17 Miami v Louisville 21–24 -10.5 -13.1 +2.6 missed
9 2025-10-17 Minnesota v Nebraska 24–6 +7.0 +8.6 -1.6 missed
9 2025-10-17 Utah State v San José State 30–25 -3.0 -3.7 +0.7 covered
9 2025-10-18 Air Force v Wyoming 24–21 -4.0 -6.1 +2.1 missed
9 2025-10-18 Alabama v Tennessee 37–20 -8.5 -12.6 +4.1 covered
9 2025-10-18 UAB v Memphis 31–24 +23.5 +26.3 -2.8 missed
9 2025-10-18 Arizona State v Texas Tech 26–22 +7.5 +14.1 -6.6 missed
9 2025-10-18 Ball State v Akron 42–28 +2.5 -5.0 +7.5 covered
9 2025-10-18 Boise State v UNLV 56–31 -12.5 -12.9 +0.4 covered
9 2025-10-18 BYU v Utah 24–21 +4.0 +3.8 +0.2 covered
9 2025-10-18 Massachusetts v Buffalo 21–28 +16.5 +16.5 -0.0 missed
9 2025-10-18 UCF v West Virginia 45–13 -6.5 -10.1 +3.6 covered
9 2025-10-18 Bowling Green v Central Michigan 6–27 -3.0 -12.5 +9.5 missed
9 2025-10-18 Oklahoma State v Cincinnati 17–49 +23.5 +27.2 -3.7 covered
9 2025-10-18 App State v Coastal Carolina 37–45 -10.5 -9.7 -0.8 covered
9 2025-10-18 Boston College v UConn 23–38 +2.5 +1.4 +1.1 missed
9 2025-10-18 Florida v Mississippi State 23–21 -9.5 -11.0 +1.5 missed
9 2025-10-18 Georgia v Ole Miss 43–35 -7.5 -10.0 +2.5 covered
9 2025-10-18 Georgia Southern v Georgia State 41–24 -6.5 -11.2 +4.7 covered
9 2025-10-18 Duke v Georgia Tech 18–27 -3.5 -3.4 -0.1 covered
9 2025-10-18 Colorado State v Hawai'i 19–31 -2.5 -3.9 +1.4 missed
9 2025-10-18 Houston v Arizona 31–28 +1.5 +0.5 +1.0 covered
9 2025-10-18 Indiana v Michigan State 38–13 -26.5 -34.3 +7.8 missed
9 2025-10-18 Iowa v Penn State 25–24 -3.0 -4.3 +1.3 missed
9 2025-10-18 James Madison v Old Dominion 63–27 -3.0 -1.5 -1.5 missed
9 2025-10-18 Marshall v Texas State 40–37 +3.0 -2.1 +5.1 covered
9 2025-10-18 Miami (OH) v Eastern Michigan 44–30 -12.5 -16.1 +3.6 covered
9 2025-10-18 Michigan v Washington 24–7 -4.0 -1.9 -2.1 missed
9 2025-10-18 Auburn v Missouri 17–23 +1.5 +1.3 +0.2 missed
9 2025-10-18 New Mexico v Nevada 24–22 -14.0 -14.9 +0.9 missed
9 2025-10-18 North Texas v UTSA 55–17 -4.0 -3.3 -0.7 missed
9 2025-10-18 Northwestern v Purdue 19–0 -3.0 -7.2 +4.2 covered
9 2025-10-18 Notre Dame v USC 34–24 -10.5 -11.1 +0.6 missed
9 2025-10-18 Ohio v Northern Illinois 48–21 -10.5 -13.8 +3.3 covered
9 2025-10-18 Wisconsin v Ohio State 0–34 +24.5 +30.1 -5.6 covered
9 2025-10-18 South Carolina v Oklahoma 7–26 +4.5 +2.2 +2.3 missed
9 2025-10-18 Rutgers v Oregon 10–56 +17.5 +16.5 +1.0 missed
9 2025-10-18 Syracuse v Pittsburgh 13–30 +9.5 +9.7 -0.2 covered
9 2025-10-18 South Florida v Florida Atlantic 48–13 -20.5 -24.3 +3.8 covered
9 2025-10-18 Clemson v SMU 24–35 -3.5 -8.6 +5.1 missed
9 2025-10-18 Louisiana v Southern Miss 10–22 +4.5 +0.4 +4.1 missed
9 2025-10-18 Stanford v Florida State 20–13 +17.5 +21.0 -3.5 missed
9 2025-10-18 Charlotte v Temple 14–49 +10.0 +9.0 +1.0 missed
9 2025-10-18 Kentucky v Texas 13–16 +12.5 +16.8 -4.3 missed
9 2025-10-18 Arkansas v Texas A&M 42–45 +7.5 +9.1 -1.6 missed
9 2025-10-18 TCU v Baylor 42–36 -3.5 -6.0 +2.5 covered
9 2025-10-18 Toledo v Kent State 45–10 -25.5 -33.7 +8.2 covered
9 2025-10-18 UL Monroe v Troy 14–37 +4.5 +7.8 -3.3 covered
9 2025-10-18 Tulane v Army 24–17 -10.0 -13.4 +3.4 missed
9 2025-10-18 UCLA v Maryland 20–17 -4.0 +0.5 -4.5 covered
9 2025-10-18 Vanderbilt v LSU 31–24 -1.5 -0.8 -0.7 missed
9 2025-10-18 Virginia v Washington State 22–20 -16.5 -17.7 +1.2 missed
10 2025-10-21 Florida International v Kennesaw State 26–45 +3.0 +0.7 +2.3 missed
10 2025-10-21 Louisiana Tech v Western Kentucky 27–28 -5.5 -5.9 +0.4 missed
10 2025-10-22 Delaware v Middle Tennessee 31–28 -8.5 -14.2 +5.7 missed
10 2025-10-22 New Mexico State v Missouri State 17–24 +2.5 +0.0 +2.5 missed
10 2025-10-23 Georgia State v South Alabama 31–38 +6.0 +8.5 -2.5 covered
10 2025-10-24 Nevada v Boise State 3–24 +21.0 +24.8 -3.8 push
10 2025-10-24 Charlotte v North Texas 20–54 +25.5 +28.4 -2.9 covered
10 2025-10-24 Virginia Tech v California 42–34 -6.0 -5.1 -0.9 missed
10 2025-10-25 Buffalo v Akron 16–24 -10.0 -15.8 +5.8 missed
10 2025-10-25 South Carolina v Alabama 22–29 +11.5 +14.2 -2.7 missed
10 2025-10-25 Arkansas State v Georgia Southern 34–24 +1.5 -0.9 +2.4 covered
10 2025-10-25 Arkansas v Auburn 24–33 -2.5 -0.5 -2.0 covered
10 2025-10-25 Iowa State v BYU 27–41 -2.5 +0.5 -3.0 covered
10 2025-10-25 Central Michigan v Massachusetts 38–13 -16.5 -21.3 +4.8 covered
10 2025-10-25 Cincinnati v Baylor 41–20 -3.5 -7.9 +4.4 covered
10 2025-10-25 Georgia Tech v Syracuse 41–16 -17.5 -20.3 +2.8 covered
10 2025-10-25 Arizona State v Houston 16–24 -7.0 -9.8 +2.8 missed
10 2025-10-25 Indiana v UCLA 56–6 -26.5 -28.4 +1.9 covered
10 2025-10-25 Iowa v Minnesota 41–3 -7.5 -14.1 +6.6 covered
10 2025-10-25 Kansas v Kansas State 17–42 -3.5 -2.5 -1.0 covered
10 2025-10-25 Kent State v Bowling Green 24–21 +7.5 +9.4 -1.9 missed
10 2025-10-25 Louisville v Boston College 38–24 -25.5 -27.2 +1.7 missed
10 2025-10-25 Memphis v South Florida 34–31 +3.5 +0.2 +3.3 covered
10 2025-10-25 Miami v Stanford 42–7 -28.5 -31.0 +2.5 covered
10 2025-10-25 Miami (OH) v Western Michigan 26–17 -2.5 -2.6 +0.1 covered
10 2025-10-25 Michigan State v Michigan 20–31 +13.5 +15.3 -1.8 missed
10 2025-10-25 Oklahoma v Ole Miss 26–34 -5.5 -4.5 -1.0 covered
10 2025-10-25 Navy v Florida Atlantic 42–32 -14.5 -18.3 +3.8 missed
10 2025-10-25 Nebraska v Northwestern 28–21 -7.0 -12.4 +5.4 push
10 2025-10-25 New Mexico v Utah State 33–14 -3.0 -2.6 -0.4 missed
10 2025-10-25 Northern Illinois v Ball State 21–7 -6.5 -9.2 +2.7 covered
10 2025-10-25 Eastern Michigan v Ohio 21–28 +11.5 +11.9 -0.4 missed
10 2025-10-25 Old Dominion v App State 24–21 -13.5 -15.1 +1.6 missed
10 2025-10-25 Oregon v Wisconsin 21–7 -31.5 -34.8 +3.3 missed
10 2025-10-25 Pittsburgh v NC State 53–34 -4.5 -11.1 +6.6 covered
10 2025-10-25 Rice v UConn 37–34 +10.5 +14.9 -4.4 missed
10 2025-10-25 Purdue v Rutgers 24–27 -2.5 +0.9 -3.4 covered
10 2025-10-25 Fresno State v San Diego State 0–23 +3.0 +5.2 -2.2 covered
10 2025-10-25 Southern Miss v UL Monroe 49–21 -14.0 -16.0 +2.0 covered
10 2025-10-25 Tulsa v Temple 37–38 +4.5 +7.0 -2.5 missed
10 2025-10-25 Kentucky v Tennessee 34–56 +7.5 +9.2 -1.7 covered
10 2025-10-25 Mississippi State v Texas 38–45 +8.5 +11.7 -3.2 missed
10 2025-10-25 LSU v Texas A&M 25–49 +1.5 +0.3 +1.2 missed
10 2025-10-25 West Virginia v TCU 17–23 +16.5 +12.9 +3.6 covered
10 2025-10-25 Texas Tech v Oklahoma State 42–0 -37.5 -43.9 +6.4 covered
10 2025-10-25 Troy v Louisiana 35–23 -7.0 -11.3 +4.3 covered
10 2025-10-25 Utah v Colorado 53–7 -14.0 -19.1 +5.1 covered
10 2025-10-25 Vanderbilt v Missouri 17–10 -3.0 -1.4 -1.6 missed
10 2025-10-25 North Carolina v Virginia 16–17 +11.5 +13.7 -2.2 missed
10 2025-10-25 Wake Forest v SMU 13–12 +5.5 +9.5 -4.0 missed
10 2025-10-25 Washington v Illinois 42–25 -3.5 -5.4 +1.9 covered
10 2025-10-25 Washington State v Toledo 28–7 +1.5 +2.2 -0.7 missed
10 2025-10-25 Wyoming v Colorado State 28–0 -5.5 -2.9 -2.6 missed
11 2025-10-28 Texas State v James Madison 20–52 +7.0 +5.3 +1.7 missed
11 2025-10-28 Kennesaw State v UTEP 33–20 -12.5 -11.1 -1.4 missed
11 2025-10-29 Middle Tennessee v Jacksonville State 21–24 +4.0 +3.7 +0.3 covered
11 2025-10-29 Missouri State v Florida International 28–21 -3.0 -8.3 +5.3 covered
11 2025-10-30 Coastal Carolina v Marshall 44–27 +7.0 +8.1 -1.1 missed
11 2025-10-30 UTSA v Tulane 48–26 +6.0 +4.0 +2.0 covered
11 2025-10-31 Louisiana Tech v Sam Houston 55–14 -16.5 -16.4 -0.1 missed
11 2025-10-31 Rice v Memphis 14–38 +14.0 +18.5 -4.5 covered
11 2025-10-31 Syracuse v North Carolina 10–27 -1.5 -4.7 +3.2 missed
11 2025-11-01 Colorado v Arizona 17–52 +4.0 +2.2 +1.8 missed
11 2025-11-01 Iowa State v Arizona State 19–24 -7.5 -6.0 -1.5 covered
11 2025-11-01 Troy v Arkansas State 10–23 -7.5 -10.5 +3.0 missed
11 2025-11-01 Air Force v Army 17–20 +1.5 +0.3 +1.2 missed
11 2025-11-01 Baylor v UCF 30–3 -3.0 -4.1 +1.1 covered
11 2025-11-01 Bowling Green v Buffalo 3–28 -2.5 -1.8 -0.7 covered
11 2025-11-01 UConn v UAB 38–19 -10.0 -16.2 +6.2 covered
11 2025-11-01 Clemson v Duke 45–46 -4.0 -6.2 +2.2 missed
11 2025-11-01 Temple v East Carolina 14–45 +5.5 +5.0 +0.5 missed
11 2025-11-01 Florida State v Wake Forest 42–7 -12.5 -11.8 -0.7 missed
11 2025-11-01 Boise State v Fresno State 7–30 -17.5 -24.4 +6.9 missed
11 2025-11-01 Florida vs Georgia 20–24 +7.0 +12.3 -5.3 missed
11 2025-11-01 Illinois v Rutgers 35–13 -13.5 -13.8 +0.3 covered
11 2025-11-01 Maryland v Indiana 10–55 +21.0 +25.0 -4.0 covered
11 2025-11-01 Kansas v Oklahoma State 38–21 -24.5 -28.8 +4.3 missed
11 2025-11-01 Auburn v Kentucky 3–10 -11.5 -13.7 +2.2 missed
11 2025-11-01 Liberty v Delaware 59–30 -3.5 -6.2 +2.7 covered
11 2025-11-01 South Alabama v Louisiana 22–31 -3.5 -6.8 +3.3 missed
11 2025-11-01 Virginia Tech v Louisville 16–28 +10.5 +11.8 -1.3 covered
11 2025-11-01 Michigan v Purdue 21–16 -21.0 -24.1 +3.1 missed
11 2025-11-01 Minnesota v Michigan State 23–20 -4.5 -7.2 +2.7 missed
11 2025-11-01 Ole Miss v South Carolina 30–14 -12.5 -12.8 +0.3 covered
11 2025-11-01 Arkansas v Mississippi State 35–38 -5.5 -5.6 +0.1 missed
11 2025-11-01 UNLV v New Mexico 35–40 -3.5 -5.6 +2.1 missed
11 2025-11-01 NC State v Georgia Tech 48–36 +4.5 +7.5 -3.0 missed
11 2025-11-01 North Texas v Navy 31–17 -6.5 -10.9 +4.4 covered
11 2025-11-01 Boston College v Notre Dame 10–25 +31.5 +35.1 -3.6 missed
11 2025-11-01 Ohio State v Penn State 38–14 -17.5 -18.1 +0.6 covered
11 2025-11-01 Tennessee v Oklahoma 27–33 -3.0 -3.1 +0.1 missed
11 2025-11-01 UL Monroe v Old Dominion 6–31 +16.5 +16.7 -0.2 covered
11 2025-11-01 Oregon State v Washington State 10–7 +3.5 +7.2 -3.7 missed
11 2025-11-01 Stanford v Pittsburgh 20–35 +13.5 +18.0 -4.5 covered
11 2025-11-01 San Diego State v Wyoming 24–7 -10.0 -11.4 +1.4 covered
11 2025-11-01 San José State v Hawai'i 45–38 -2.5 -3.0 +0.5 covered
11 2025-11-01 Nebraska v USC 17–21 +4.5 +5.3 -0.8 missed
11 2025-11-01 SMU v Miami 26–20 +8.5 +7.3 +1.2 covered
11 2025-11-01 Texas v Vanderbilt 34–31 -3.5 -7.2 +3.7 missed
11 2025-11-01 Kansas State v Texas Tech 20–43 +7.5 +6.4 +1.1 missed
11 2025-11-01 Utah v Cincinnati 45–14 -11.5 -14.1 +2.6 covered
11 2025-11-01 California v Virginia 21–31 +6.5 +8.1 -1.6 covered
11 2025-11-01 Houston v West Virginia 35–45 -13.5 -13.8 +0.3 missed
11 2025-11-01 Western Kentucky v New Mexico State 35–16 -7.5 -10.5 +3.0 covered
11 2025-11-01 Western Michigan v Central Michigan 24–21 -6.0 -7.8 +1.8 missed
12 2025-11-04 Akron v Massachusetts 44–10 -12.5 -13.9 +1.4 covered
12 2025-11-04 Ohio v Miami (OH) 24–20 -2.5 -5.1 +2.6 covered
12 2025-11-05 Ball State v Kent State 17–13 -3.0 -6.7 +3.7 covered
12 2025-11-05 Toledo v Northern Illinois 42–3 -14.5 -18.1 +3.6 covered
12 2025-11-06 App State v Georgia Southern 23–25 -4.5 -4.3 -0.2 covered
12 2025-11-06 South Florida v UTSA 55–23 -14.0 -13.1 -0.9 missed
12 2025-11-07 UCF v Houston 27–30 -1.5 -2.8 +1.3 missed
12 2025-11-07 USC v Northwestern 38–17 -14.5 -19.9 +5.4 covered
12 2025-11-07 Memphis v Tulane 32–38 -3.0 -7.0 +4.0 missed
12 2025-11-08 San José State v Air Force 16–26 -6.0 -4.8 -1.2 covered
12 2025-11-08 Alabama v LSU 20–9 -10.0 -14.3 +4.3 covered
12 2025-11-08 Arizona v Kansas 24–20 -5.5 -8.7 +3.2 missed
12 2025-11-08 Army v Temple 14–13 -7.0 -10.4 +3.4 missed
12 2025-11-08 Louisville v California 26–29 -18.5 -21.4 +2.9 missed
12 2025-11-08 Clemson v Florida State 24–10 -1.5 -0.8 -0.7 missed
12 2025-11-08 Coastal Carolina v Georgia State 40–27 -7.0 -11.3 +4.3 covered
12 2025-11-08 UConn v Duke 37–34 +7.5 +9.8 -2.3 missed
12 2025-11-08 Delaware v Louisiana Tech 25–24 +5.5 +6.1 -0.6 missed
12 2025-11-08 East Carolina v Charlotte 48–22 -27.5 -33.5 +6.0 missed
12 2025-11-08 Eastern Michigan v Bowling Green 27–21 -3.0 -4.4 +1.4 covered
12 2025-11-08 Florida Atlantic v Tulsa 40–21 -4.5 -5.5 +1.0 covered
12 2025-11-08 Middle Tennessee v Florida International 30–56 -1.5 -3.0 +1.5 missed
12 2025-11-08 Mississippi State v Georgia 21–41 +9.5 +11.6 -2.1 covered
12 2025-11-08 Hawai'i v San Diego State 38–6 +6.5 +7.2 -0.7 missed
12 2025-11-08 Penn State v Indiana 24–27 +14.5 +14.0 +0.5 covered
12 2025-11-08 TCU v Iowa State 17–20 -7.5 -4.4 -3.1 covered
12 2025-11-08 UTEP v Jacksonville State 27–30 +1.5 +1.8 -0.3 covered
12 2025-11-08 Marshall v James Madison 23–35 +13.5 +15.3 -1.8 missed
12 2025-11-08 New Mexico State v Kennesaw State 21–24 +11.5 +9.0 +2.5 covered
12 2025-11-08 Kentucky v Florida 38–7 +4.5 +5.6 -1.1 missed
12 2025-11-08 Louisiana v Texas State 42–39 +3.5 +2.5 +1.0 covered
12 2025-11-08 Miami v Syracuse 38–10 -28.5 -31.6 +3.1 missed
12 2025-11-08 Liberty v Missouri State 17–21 -7.5 -9.8 +2.3 missed
12 2025-11-08 UCLA v Nebraska 21–28 -1.5 +7.3 -8.8 covered
12 2025-11-08 Colorado State v UNLV 10–42 +5.5 +3.4 +2.1 missed
12 2025-11-08 North Carolina v Stanford 20–15 -8.5 -8.7 +0.2 missed
12 2025-11-08 Notre Dame v Navy 49–10 -30.5 -32.4 +1.9 covered
12 2025-11-08 Purdue v Ohio State 10–34 +29.5 +32.4 -2.9 missed
12 2025-11-08 Iowa v Oregon 16–18 +4.5 +6.7 -2.2 missed
12 2025-11-08 Rice v UAB 24–17 +1.5 -3.2 +4.7 covered
12 2025-11-08 Rutgers v Maryland 35–20 -1.5 -2.5 +1.0 covered
12 2025-11-08 Oregon State v Sam Houston 17–21 -21.0 -23.3 +2.3 missed
12 2025-11-08 Boston College v SMU 13–45 +10.5 +15.1 -4.6 covered
12 2025-11-08 Arkansas State v Southern Miss 21–27 +6.5 +2.5 +4.0 covered
12 2025-11-08 Missouri v Texas A&M 17–38 +7.0 +2.8 +4.2 missed
12 2025-11-08 Texas Tech v BYU 29–7 -13.5 -11.0 -2.5 missed
12 2025-11-08 Utah State v Nevada 51–14 -10.0 -11.5 +1.5 covered
12 2025-11-08 Vanderbilt v Auburn 45–38 -6.0 -9.6 +3.6 covered
12 2025-11-08 Virginia v Wake Forest 9–16 -7.0 -13.4 +6.4 missed
12 2025-11-08 West Virginia v Colorado 29–22 -6.5 -2.6 -3.9 missed
12 2025-11-08 Wisconsin v Washington 13–10 +10.5 +11.5 -1.0 missed
13 2025-11-11 Akron v Kent State 35–42 -7.5 -10.4 +2.9 missed
13 2025-11-11 Western Michigan v Ohio 17–13 -1.5 +1.2 -2.7 missed
13 2025-11-12 Central Michigan v Buffalo 38–19 -2.5 -3.2 +0.7 covered
13 2025-11-12 Massachusetts v Northern Illinois 3–45 +9.5 +12.6 -3.1 covered
13 2025-11-12 Miami (OH) v Toledo 3–24 +5.5 +4.1 +1.4 missed
13 2025-11-13 Old Dominion v Troy 33–0 -9.5 -12.0 +2.5 covered
13 2025-11-14 Louisville v Clemson 19–20 -1.5 -2.6 +1.1 missed
13 2025-11-14 Oregon v Minnesota 42–13 -26.5 -28.2 +1.7 covered
13 2025-11-15 Cincinnati v Arizona 24–30 -5.5 -3.3 -2.2 covered
13 2025-11-15 Arizona State v West Virginia 25–23 -10.0 -14.3 +4.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 BYU v TCU 44–13 -3.0 -6.2 +3.2 covered
13 2025-11-15 UConn v Air Force 26–16 -7.5 -7.6 +0.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 East Carolina v Memphis 31–27 -3.0 -2.7 -0.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 Ball State v Eastern Michigan 9–24 +2.5 +3.0 -0.5 covered
13 2025-11-15 Florida International v Liberty 34–27 +2.5 +2.4 +0.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 Florida State v Virginia Tech 34–14 -14.5 -16.1 +1.6 covered
13 2025-11-15 Fresno State v Wyoming 24–3 -3.0 -4.4 +1.4 covered
13 2025-11-15 Georgia v Texas 35–10 -3.5 -6.8 +3.3 covered
13 2025-11-15 Georgia Southern v Coastal Carolina 45–40 -3.0 -4.7 +1.7 covered
13 2025-11-15 Boston College v Georgia Tech 34–36 +16.5 +15.3 +1.2 covered
13 2025-11-15 Illinois v Maryland 24–6 -16.5 -16.9 +0.4 covered
13 2025-11-15 Indiana v Wisconsin 31–7 -28.5 -34.5 +6.0 missed
13 2025-11-15 Jacksonville State v Kennesaw State 35–26 +3.5 +0.4 +3.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 James Madison v App State 58–10 -21.0 -25.4 +4.4 covered
13 2025-11-15 Oklahoma State v Kansas State 6–14 +19.5 +24.9 -5.4 missed
13 2025-11-15 LSU v Arkansas 23–22 -4.0 -9.3 +5.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 Georgia State v Marshall 18–30 +9.5 +9.3 +0.2 missed
13 2025-11-15 Miami v NC State 41–7 -16.5 -19.1 +2.6 covered
13 2025-11-15 Northwestern v Michigan 22–24 +10.0 +9.3 +0.7 covered
13 2025-11-15 Ole Miss v Florida 34–24 -10.5 -13.4 +2.9 missed
13 2025-11-15 Missouri v Mississippi State 49–27 -7.5 -10.4 +2.9 covered
13 2025-11-15 Missouri State v UTEP 38–24 -6.5 -6.5 -0.0 missed
13 2025-11-15 Navy v South Florida 41–38 +9.5 +10.8 -1.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 Nevada v San José State 55–10 +10.0 +9.6 +0.4 covered
13 2025-11-15 UNLV v Utah State 29–26 -4.5 -7.4 +2.9 missed
13 2025-11-15 New Mexico v Colorado State 20–17 -15.5 -14.4 -1.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 UAB v North Texas 24–53 +17.5 +19.3 -1.8 covered
13 2025-11-15 Pittsburgh v Notre Dame 15–37 +12.5 +14.4 -1.9 covered
13 2025-11-15 Ohio State v UCLA 48–10 -33.5 -34.9 +1.4 covered
13 2025-11-15 Alabama v Oklahoma 21–23 -6.5 -9.2 +2.7 missed
13 2025-11-15 Michigan State v Penn State 10–28 +7.0 +14.0 -7.0 covered
13 2025-11-15 Sam Houston v Delaware 26–23 +11.5 +5.2 +6.3 covered
13 2025-11-15 San Diego State v Boise State 17–7 -1.5 +4.1 -5.6 missed
13 2025-11-15 UL Monroe v South Alabama 14–26 +4.0 +8.1 -4.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 USC v Iowa 26–21 -6.5 -4.2 -2.3 covered
13 2025-11-15 Tennessee v New Mexico State 42–9 -41.5 -43.3 +1.8 missed
13 2025-11-15 Texas A&M v South Carolina 31–30 -16.5 -19.3 +2.8 missed
13 2025-11-15 Southern Miss v Texas State 14–41 -3.0 -4.8 +1.8 missed
13 2025-11-15 Texas Tech v UCF 48–9 -24.5 -27.1 +2.6 covered
13 2025-11-15 Charlotte v UTSA 7–28 +16.5 +18.3 -1.8 covered
13 2025-11-15 Tulane v Florida Atlantic 35–24 -16.5 -19.7 +3.2 missed
13 2025-11-15 Tulsa v Oregon State 31–14 -1.5 +4.8 -6.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 Baylor v Utah 28–55 +9.5 +11.7 -2.2 covered
13 2025-11-15 Duke v Virginia 17–34 -5.5 -6.8 +1.3 missed
13 2025-11-15 Wake Forest v North Carolina 28–12 -3.5 -6.6 +3.1 covered
13 2025-11-15 Washington v Purdue 49–13 -14.5 -18.3 +3.8 covered
13 2025-11-15 Washington State v Louisiana Tech 28–3 -10.0 -9.9 -0.1 missed
13 2025-11-15 Western Kentucky v Middle Tennessee 42–26 -13.5 -14.3 +0.8 covered
14 2025-11-18 Bowling Green v Akron 16–19 -2.5 -5.6 +3.1 missed
14 2025-11-18 Ohio v Massachusetts 42–14 -33.5 -35.5 +2.0 missed
14 2025-11-18 Northern Illinois v Western Michigan 19–35 +7.0 +4.1 +2.9 missed
14 2025-11-19 Kent State v Central Michigan 16–28 +7.5 +9.7 -2.2 covered
14 2025-11-19 Buffalo v Miami (OH) 20–37 +2.5 +4.3 -1.8 covered
14 2025-11-20 Arkansas State v Louisiana 30–34 -2.5 -0.5 -2.0 covered
14 2025-11-21 UNLV v Hawai'i 38–10 -2.5 -4.7 +2.2 covered
14 2025-11-21 NC State v Florida State 21–11 +7.0 +6.0 +1.0 covered
14 2025-11-22 App State v Marshall 26–24 +4.0 +4.8 -0.8 missed
14 2025-11-22 Arizona v Baylor 41–17 -6.5 -6.6 +0.1 covered
14 2025-11-22 Colorado v Arizona State 17–42 +7.0 +7.8 -0.8 covered
14 2025-11-22 Boise State v Colorado State 49–21 -17.5 -21.6 +4.1 covered
14 2025-11-22 Cincinnati v BYU 14–26 +2.5 +3.6 -1.1 covered
14 2025-11-22 UCF v Oklahoma State 17–14 -13.5 -19.2 +5.7 missed
14 2025-11-22 Florida Atlantic v UConn 45–48 +6.0 +7.2 -1.2 missed
14 2025-11-22 North Carolina v Duke 25–32 +7.0 +6.4 +0.6 push
14 2025-11-22 Florida International v Jacksonville State 27–21 -2.5 -1.3 -1.2 missed
14 2025-11-22 Georgia v Charlotte 35–3 -42.5 -55.5 +13.0 missed
14 2025-11-22 Iowa v Michigan State 20–17 -17.5 -21.4 +3.9 missed
14 2025-11-22 Iowa State v Kansas 38–14 -3.0 -6.4 +3.4 covered
14 2025-11-22 James Madison v Washington State 24–20 -15.5 -16.4 +0.9 missed
14 2025-11-22 Kennesaw State v Missouri State 41–34 -6.5 -7.0 +0.5 covered
14 2025-11-22 LSU v Western Kentucky 13–10 -24.5 -28.7 +4.2 missed
14 2025-11-22 Louisiana Tech v Liberty 34–28 +1.5 -3.5 +5.0 covered
14 2025-11-22 Virginia Tech v Miami 17–34 +17.5 +21.4 -3.9 missed
14 2025-11-22 Maryland v Michigan 20–45 +14.0 +13.5 +0.5 missed
14 2025-11-22 Middle Tennessee v Sam Houston 31–17 -6.5 -6.9 +0.4 covered
14 2025-11-22 Wyoming v Nevada 7–13 -6.0 -9.1 +3.1 missed
14 2025-11-22 Air Force v New Mexico 3–20 +3.5 -1.0 +4.5 missed
14 2025-11-22 UTEP v New Mexico State 31–34 -4.0 -6.4 +2.4 missed
14 2025-11-22 Rice v North Texas 24–56 +18.5 +20.4 -1.9 covered
14 2025-11-22 Northwestern v Minnesota 38–35 -4.0 -5.0 +1.0 missed
14 2025-11-22 Notre Dame v Syracuse 70–7 -36.5 -41.9 +5.4 covered
14 2025-11-22 Ohio State v Rutgers 42–9 -28.5 -36.0 +7.5 covered
14 2025-11-22 Oklahoma v Missouri 17–6 -4.5 -8.6 +4.1 covered
14 2025-11-22 Georgia Southern v Old Dominion 10–45 +10.0 +10.6 -0.6 covered
14 2025-11-22 Oregon v USC 42–27 -10.5 -11.7 +1.2 covered
14 2025-11-22 Penn State v Nebraska 37–10 -7.0 -11.6 +4.6 covered
14 2025-11-22 Georgia Tech v Pittsburgh 28–42 -2.5 -2.6 +0.1 missed
14 2025-11-22 San Diego State v San José State 25–3 -10.0 -17.4 +7.4 covered
14 2025-11-22 South Alabama v Southern Miss 42–35 +2.5 -0.4 +2.9 covered
14 2025-11-22 South Carolina v Coastal Carolina 51–7 -23.5 -27.6 +4.1 covered
14 2025-11-22 UAB v South Florida 18–48 +21.5 +24.2 -2.7 covered
14 2025-11-22 SMU v Louisville 38–6 -4.0 -5.7 +1.7 covered
14 2025-11-22 Stanford v California 31–10 +4.5 +2.7 +1.8 covered
14 2025-11-22 Florida v Tennessee 11–31 +3.5 +4.3 -0.8 covered
14 2025-11-22 Texas v Arkansas 52–37 -8.5 -11.7 +3.2 covered
14 2025-11-22 Houston v TCU 14–17 +1.5 +1.3 +0.2 missed
14 2025-11-22 Texas State v UL Monroe 31–14 -20.5 -22.7 +2.2 missed
14 2025-11-22 UTSA v East Carolina 58–24 +1.5 +3.6 -2.1 missed
14 2025-11-22 Toledo v Ball State 38–9 -29.5 -33.3 +3.8 missed
14 2025-11-22 Troy v Georgia State 31–19 -9.5 -12.4 +2.9 covered
14 2025-11-22 Temple v Tulane 13–37 +7.5 +9.2 -1.7 covered
14 2025-11-22 Army v Tulsa 25–26 -10.0 -14.4 +4.4 missed
14 2025-11-22 Utah v Kansas State 51–47 -17.5 -20.5 +3.0 missed
14 2025-11-22 Fresno State v Utah State 17–28 -1.5 -4.4 +2.9 missed
14 2025-11-22 Vanderbilt v Kentucky 45–17 -7.0 -11.6 +4.6 covered
14 2025-11-22 Wake Forest v Delaware 52–14 -17.5 -20.8 +3.3 covered
14 2025-11-22 UCLA v Washington 14–48 +10.5 +12.1 -1.6 covered
14 2025-11-22 Wisconsin v Illinois 27–10 +8.5 +7.8 +0.7 covered
15 2025-11-25 Massachusetts v Bowling Green 14–45 +14.0 +13.0 +1.0 missed
15 2025-11-25 Eastern Michigan v Western Michigan 21–31 +10.0 +7.5 +2.5 push
15 2025-11-27 Memphis v Navy 17–28 -4.0 -7.3 +3.3 missed
15 2025-11-28 Colorado State v Air Force 21–42 +2.5 +1.3 +1.2 missed
15 2025-11-28 Arizona State v Arizona 7–23 +1.5 -1.0 +2.5 missed
15 2025-11-28 Utah State v Boise State 24–25 +1.5 +4.7 -3.2 missed
15 2025-11-28 Georgia vs Georgia Tech 16–9 -16.5 -15.4 -1.1 covered
15 2025-11-28 Purdue v Indiana 3–56 +28.5 +31.8 -3.3 covered
15 2025-11-28 Nebraska v Iowa 16–40 +5.5 +5.5 +0.0 missed
15 2025-11-28 Northern Illinois v Kent State 31–35 -4.5 -12.2 +7.7 missed
15 2025-11-28 Mississippi State v Ole Miss 19–38 +7.5 +11.2 -3.7 covered
15 2025-11-28 New Mexico v San Diego State 23–17 +1.5 -0.6 +2.1 covered
15 2025-11-28 North Texas v Temple 52–25 -20.5 -24.7 +4.2 covered
15 2025-11-28 Buffalo v Ohio 26–31 +7.0 +8.2 -1.2 missed
15 2025-11-28 Texas v Texas A&M 27–17 +2.5 +2.8 -0.3 missed
15 2025-11-28 Kansas v Utah 21–31 +10.0 +15.4 -5.4 push
15 2025-11-29 Auburn v Alabama 20–27 +7.0 +8.4 -1.4 push
15 2025-11-29 Tulsa v UAB 24–31 -9.5 -7.5 -2.0 covered
15 2025-11-29 App State v Arkansas State 29–30 +1.5 -3.3 +4.8 covered
15 2025-11-29 UTSA v Army 24–27 -8.5 -11.2 +2.7 missed
15 2025-11-29 Syracuse v Boston College 12–34 +3.0 +0.7 +2.3 missed
15 2025-11-29 BYU v UCF 41–21 -17.5 -22.0 +4.5 covered
15 2025-11-29 California v SMU 38–35 +13.5 +17.1 -3.6 missed
15 2025-11-29 South Carolina v Clemson 14–28 -2.5 -5.8 +3.3 missed
15 2025-11-29 Delaware v UTEP 61–31 -4.5 -3.9 -0.6 missed
15 2025-11-29 Duke v Wake Forest 49–32 -2.5 -6.6 +4.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 Florida Atlantic v East Carolina 3–42 +7.0 +8.7 -1.7 covered
15 2025-11-29 Florida v Florida State 40–21 +1.5 -1.8 +3.3 covered
15 2025-11-29 Sam Houston v Florida International 16–56 +10.5 +10.8 -0.3 covered
15 2025-11-29 San José State v Fresno State 14–41 +3.0 +3.7 -0.7 covered
15 2025-11-29 Marshall v Georgia Southern 19–24 -10.5 -10.7 +0.2 missed
15 2025-11-29 Hawai'i v Wyoming 27–7 -8.5 -8.7 +0.2 covered
15 2025-11-29 Baylor v Houston 24–31 -2.5 -4.5 +2.0 missed
15 2025-11-29 Illinois v Northwestern 20–13 -7.0 -11.4 +4.4 push
15 2025-11-29 Oklahoma State v Iowa State 13–20 +14.0 +21.0 -7.0 missed
15 2025-11-29 Jacksonville State v Western Kentucky 37–34 +1.5 +2.1 -0.6 missed
15 2025-11-29 Coastal Carolina v James Madison 10–59 +24.5 +24.1 +0.4 missed
15 2025-11-29 Kansas State v Colorado 24–14 -16.5 -17.8 +1.3 missed
15 2025-11-29 Liberty v Kennesaw State 42–48 +2.5 -1.7 +4.2 missed
15 2025-11-29 Louisiana v UL Monroe 30–27 -11.5 -15.7 +4.2 missed
15 2025-11-29 Missouri State v Louisiana Tech 30–42 -2.5 -1.4 -1.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 Louisville v Kentucky 41–0 +1.5 -3.7 +5.2 covered
15 2025-11-29 Pittsburgh v Miami 7–38 +6.5 +7.1 -0.6 covered
15 2025-11-29 Miami (OH) v Ball State 45–24 -16.5 -23.2 +6.7 covered
15 2025-11-29 Maryland vs Michigan State 28–38 +4.0 +4.9 -0.9 covered
15 2025-11-29 New Mexico State v Middle Tennessee 24–31 -3.0 -4.1 +1.1 missed
15 2025-11-29 Minnesota v Wisconsin 17–7 +2.5 -0.6 +3.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 Arkansas v Missouri 17–31 +4.5 +2.1 +2.4 missed
15 2025-11-29 Nevada v UNLV 17–42 +7.5 +9.7 -2.2 covered
15 2025-11-29 NC State v North Carolina 42–19 -7.0 -11.9 +4.9 covered
15 2025-11-29 Stanford v Notre Dame 20–49 +32.5 +37.3 -4.8 missed
15 2025-11-29 Michigan v Ohio State 9–27 +9.5 +12.8 -3.3 covered
15 2025-11-29 Oklahoma v LSU 17–13 -11.5 -12.2 +0.7 missed
15 2025-11-29 Old Dominion v Georgia State 27–10 -28.5 -28.3 -0.2 covered
15 2025-11-29 Washington v Oregon 14–26 +6.5 +8.9 -2.4 covered
15 2025-11-29 Rutgers v Penn State 36–40 +14.0 +14.3 -0.3 missed
15 2025-11-29 South Florida v Rice 52–3 -28.5 -31.6 +3.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 USC v UCLA 29–10 -21.5 -24.8 +3.3 missed
15 2025-11-29 TCU v Cincinnati 45–23 -3.0 -3.7 +0.7 covered
15 2025-11-29 Texas State v South Alabama 49–26 -9.5 -11.6 +2.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 West Virginia v Texas Tech 0–49 +24.5 +25.5 -1.0 covered
15 2025-11-29 Central Michigan v Toledo 3–21 +11.5 +13.7 -2.2 covered
15 2025-11-29 Southern Miss v Troy 18–28 -7.0 -4.9 -2.1 covered
15 2025-11-29 Tulane v Charlotte 27–0 -30.5 -31.0 +0.5 missed
15 2025-11-29 Tennessee v Vanderbilt 24–45 -2.5 -4.2 +1.7 missed
15 2025-11-29 Virginia v Virginia Tech 27–7 -8.5 -12.5 +4.0 covered
15 2025-11-29 Washington State v Oregon State 32–8 -14.0 -17.3 +3.3 covered
16 2025-12-05 Jacksonville State v Kennesaw State 15–19 +3.0 +1.1 +1.9 missed
16 2025-12-05 James Madison v Troy 31–14 -24.5 -30.1 +5.6 missed
16 2025-12-05 Tulane v North Texas 34–21 +1.5 +2.4 -0.9 missed
16 2025-12-05 Boise State v UNLV 38–21 -6.0 -6.3 +0.3 covered
16 2025-12-06 BYU vs Texas Tech 7–34 +12.5 +12.6 -0.1 covered
16 2025-12-06 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan 13–23 +2.5 +0.5 +2.0 missed
16 2025-12-06 Alabama vs Georgia 7–28 +1.5 -1.4 +2.9 missed
16 2025-12-06 Duke vs Virginia 27–20 +3.5 +1.4 +2.1 covered
16 2025-12-06 Indiana vs Ohio State 13–10 +3.5 -0.0 +3.5 covered
17 2025-12-13 Army vs Navy 16–17 +6.5 +6.4 +0.1 covered
17 2025-12-13 Boise State vs Washington 10–38 +10.0 +11.8 -1.8 covered
18 2025-12-16 Jacksonville State vs Troy 17–13 -3.0 +3.7 -6.7 missed
18 2025-12-17 Delaware vs Louisiana 20–13 +1.5 +4.6 -3.1 missed
18 2025-12-17 Old Dominion vs South Florida 24–10 +4.0 +8.2 -4.2 missed
18 2025-12-18 Arkansas State vs Missouri State 34–28 -1.5 -1.7 +0.2 covered
18 2025-12-19 Oklahoma v Alabama 24–34 -1.5 -1.5 -0.0 covered
18 2025-12-19 Kennesaw State vs Western Michigan 6–41 +3.5 +4.3 -0.8 covered
18 2025-12-19 Memphis vs NC State 7–31 +3.5 +3.2 +0.3 missed
18 2025-12-20 Oregon v James Madison 51–34 -20.5 -19.7 -0.8 covered
18 2025-12-20 Texas A&M v Miami 3–10 -3.0 -2.3 -0.7 covered
18 2025-12-20 Ole Miss v Tulane 41–10 -16.5 -18.9 +2.4 covered
19 2025-12-22 Utah State vs Washington State 21–34 -1.5 +4.4 -5.9 covered
19 2025-12-23 Louisville vs Toledo 27–22 -12.5 -6.9 -5.6 covered
19 2025-12-23 UNLV vs Ohio 10–17 -6.5 -3.9 -2.6 covered
19 2025-12-23 Southern Miss vs Western Kentucky 16–27 -2.5 +2.0 -4.5 covered
19 2025-12-24 Hawai'i v California 35–31 -1.5 -0.2 -1.3 missed
19 2025-12-26 Minnesota vs New Mexico 20–17 -1.5 -7.5 +6.0 covered
19 2025-12-26 Central Michigan vs Northwestern 7–34 +13.5 +17.3 -3.8 covered
19 2025-12-26 Florida International vs UTSA 20–57 +7.0 +10.4 -3.4 covered
19 2025-12-27 Army vs UConn 41–16 -7.5 +2.2 -9.7 missed
19 2025-12-27 BYU vs Georgia Tech 25–21 -3.5 -7.7 +4.2 covered
19 2025-12-27 Houston vs LSU 38–35 -1.5 +6.3 -7.8 missed
19 2025-12-27 Fresno State vs Miami (OH) 18–3 -5.5 -1.7 -3.8 missed
19 2025-12-27 North Texas vs San Diego State 49–47 -7.5 -8.3 +0.8 missed
19 2025-12-27 Clemson vs Penn State 10–22 -2.5 +6.3 -8.8 covered
19 2025-12-27 East Carolina vs Pittsburgh 23–17 +13.5 +7.5 +6.0 covered
19 2025-12-27 Missouri vs Virginia 7–13 -4.0 -9.2 +5.2 missed
20 2025-12-29 App State vs Georgia Southern 10–29 +10.0 +1.3 +8.7 missed
20 2025-12-30 Illinois vs Tennessee 30–28 +3.0 +4.4 -1.4 missed
20 2025-12-30 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech 14–23 +10.0 +5.9 +4.1 covered
20 2025-12-30 USC vs TCU 27–30 -4.5 -8.0 +3.5 missed
20 2025-12-31 Arizona State vs Duke 39–42 +4.0 -2.3 +6.3 covered
20 2025-12-31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt 34–27 +3.0 +0.4 +2.6 covered
20 2025-12-31 Miami vs Ohio State 24–14 +7.5 +11.4 -3.9 missed
20 2025-12-31 Michigan vs Texas 27–41 +4.0 +0.9 +3.1 missed
20 2025-12-31 Nebraska vs Utah 22–44 +13.5 +14.6 -1.1 covered
20 2026-01-01 Alabama vs Indiana 3–38 +7.5 +11.6 -4.1 covered
20 2026-01-01 Georgia vs Ole Miss 34–39 -6.0 -3.0 -3.0 covered
20 2026-01-01 Oregon vs Texas Tech 23–0 +1.5 +0.7 +0.8 covered
20 2026-01-02 Cincinnati vs Navy 13–35 +7.5 -6.7 +14.2 missed
20 2026-01-02 Arizona vs SMU 19–24 +2.5 +0.3 +2.2 missed
20 2026-01-02 Rice vs Texas State 10–41 +19.5 +17.1 +2.4 missed
20 2026-01-02 Mississippi State vs Wake Forest 29–43 -3.0 -4.7 +1.7 missed
21 2026-01-08 Miami vs Ole Miss 31–27 -3.0 -3.5 +0.5 covered
21 2026-01-09 Indiana vs Oregon 56–22 -3.0 -3.1 +0.1 covered
22 2026-01-19 Miami v Indiana 21–27 +7.5 +9.0 -1.5 missed

The rule this page used to follow

Until BET-4 the page graded only flagged games — the ones where Lattice landed 1–5 points from the line. Graded forward against the closing number the flag lost to the games it passed on in all three seasons, so it is retired and every pick is followed instead. The record it left behind:

GamesAgainst the spread
Flagged 459 (60.3%) 222–228–9 49.3%
Passed on — the control 302 156–143–3 52.2%

The lines are DraftKings’ last recorded number, not a stamp taken at kickoff. CFBD polls until shortly before a game and stores what it saw last; that is a proxy for the close and is what BET-3 measured its closing figures on, so the two are comparable. The opening number is carried in the sheet beside it.

Read every rate against break-even, not against 50%. Break-even at −110 is 52.4% and a strategy that knows nothing about football returns −4.55%, so a book above half can still be losing money.

Why the flag went. Pooled over 2,255 games in 2023–2025 the flagged bets went 641–658–29 (49.35%) and the games the rule passed on went 466–447–14 (51.04%) — the control higher in every season. That is z = −2.19 against break-even. It is not a finding that the flagged games are worse: 1,299 settled bets cannot separate 49.35% from 51.04%. It is that nothing there supports singling them out, and the band was a weak filter anyway — it flagged roughly three games in five, because MODEL-60’s market correction pulls the model toward the line and moves games into the band by construction.

This page records what happens; it is not an argument for betting. BET-3 measured the band over 2017–2025 and found the best cell in the document — 52.99% on 340 bets — then argued at length that it should not be believed: 340 bets carry a 95% interval of [47.6%, 58.4%], it was the best of twenty cells against a Bonferroni threshold of z = 3.02, and the band came from MODEL-17, which was fitted on games that book contains. The honest prior is MODEL-18’s: the structure is real and too small to estimate.

Model spreads carry MODEL-63’s market correction as it stood that week. The sheet also holds the uncorrected number, which is the only one of the two that can be read as independent of the market it is graded against.