| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Bryant | 59-3 | 1593.5 | +49.1 | 1642.6 | 97.9% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | South Florida | 24-28 | 1642.6 | -37.7 | 1604.9 | 58.8% |
| 4 | Sep 25 2026 | W | Temple | 21-17 | 1604.6 | -4.1 | 1600.6 | 71.2% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Louisiana Tech | 29-31 | 1600.6 | -6.4 | 1594.1 | 64.8% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Tulane | 20-17 | 1594.1 | -10.4 | 1583.8 | 61.3% |