| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | The Citadel | 41-43 | 1298.5 | +61.1 | 1359.7 | 49.9% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Ole Miss | 9-41 | 1359.7 | -9.4 | 1350.2 | 1.6% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | App State | 21-26 | 1350.2 | +41.0 | 1391.2 | 18.6% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Louisiana | 7-34 | 1391.2 | -34.9 | 1356.4 | 24.4% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Memphis | 8-59 | 1356.4 | -70.5 | 1285.9 | 14.1% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | North Texas | 10-50 | 1285.9 | +1.5 | 1287.4 | 4.8% |