Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
W |
Chattanooga
|
45-10 |
1698.5 |
+0.0
|
1698.5 |
75.8% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Georgia State
|
38-16 |
1698.5 |
+8.5
|
1707.0 |
92.5% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
W |
Troy
|
28-7 |
1707.0 |
+18.4
|
1725.4 |
83.3% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Arkansas
|
32-31 |
1725.4 |
+22.6
|
1748.0 |
66.8% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
Florida Atlantic
|
55-26 |
1748.0 |
+2.6
|
1750.6 |
97.7% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
Tulsa
|
45-7 |
1750.6 |
+2.0
|
1752.6 |
96.8% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
UAB
|
24-31 |
1752.6 |
-81.0
|
1671.6 |
96.5% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
W |
South Florida
|
34-31 |
1671.6 |
+26.1
|
1697.7 |
62.2% |
| 11 |
Oct 31 2025 |
W |
Rice
|
38-14 |
1697.7 |
+11.0
|
1708.7 |
90.3% |
| 12 |
Nov 7 2025 |
L |
Tulane
|
32-38 |
1708.7 |
-57.7
|
1651.0 |
60.6% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
L |
East Carolina
|
27-31 |
1651.0 |
-51.9
|
1599.1 |
68.3% |
| 15 |
Nov 27 2025 |
L |
Navy
|
17-28 |
1599.1 |
-45.3
|
1553.8 |
45.4% |
| 18 |
Dec 19 2025 |
L |
NC State
|
7-31 |
1553.8 |
-42.8
|
1511.0 |
50.3% |