Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 1 |
Aug 23 2025 |
W |
Idaho State
|
38-31 |
1569.9 |
+60.0
|
1629.9 |
59.9% |
| 2 |
Aug 29 2025 |
W |
Sam Houston
|
38-21 |
1629.9 |
+34.1
|
1664.0 |
67.2% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
UCLA
|
30-23 |
1664.0 |
+19.9
|
1683.9 |
70.5% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Miami (OH)
|
41-38 |
1683.9 |
+28.5
|
1712.4 |
73.1% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
Wyoming
|
31-17 |
1712.4 |
+12.8
|
1725.2 |
88.5% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
W |
Air Force
|
51-48 |
1725.2 |
+5.3
|
1730.5 |
91.6% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
L |
Boise State
|
31-56 |
1730.5 |
-41.7
|
1688.8 |
57.0% |
| 11 |
Nov 1 2025 |
L |
New Mexico
|
35-40 |
1688.8 |
-74.8
|
1614.0 |
84.2% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
W |
Colorado State
|
42-10 |
1614.0 |
+14.0
|
1628.0 |
87.4% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
Utah State
|
29-26 |
1628.0 |
+10.9
|
1638.9 |
83.3% |
| 14 |
Nov 21 2025 |
W |
Hawai'i
|
38-10 |
1638.9 |
+17.3
|
1656.2 |
74.1% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Nevada
|
42-17 |
1656.2 |
+7.1
|
1663.3 |
93.7% |
| 16 |
Dec 5 2025 |
L |
Boise State
|
21-38 |
1663.3 |
-40.8
|
1622.5 |
55.8% |
| 19 |
Dec 23 2025 |
L |
Ohio
|
10-17 |
1622.5 |
-48.9
|
1573.6 |
57.6% |