| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Virginia Military Institute | 52-7 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 66.1% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | UAB | 38-24 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 91.2% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Tulsa | 42-23 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 94.6% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Rice | 21-13 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 86.9% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | W | Air Force | 34-31 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 73.5% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Temple | 32-31 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 92.9% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | Florida Atlantic | 42-32 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 94.1% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | North Texas | 17-31 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 83.7% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | L | Notre Dame | 10-49 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 12.2% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | South Florida | 41-38 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 77.4% |
| 15 | Nov 27 2025 | W | Memphis | 28-17 | 1615.8 | +0.0 | 1615.8 | 38.3% |