| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 29 2025 | L | Georgia Tech | 20-27 | 1760.2 | -33.4 | 1726.8 | 46.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Delaware | 31-7 | 1726.8 | +1.6 | 1728.4 | 93.1% |
| 4 | Sep 12 2025 | L | Houston | 20-36 | 1728.4 | -23.9 | 1704.5 | 45.6% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | Wyoming | 37-20 | 1704.5 | +22.7 | 1727.2 | 76.7% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | L | BYU | 21-24 | 1727.2 | +14.0 | 1741.2 | 16.5% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | L | TCU | 21-35 | 1741.2 | -22.7 | 1718.5 | 32.7% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Iowa State | 24-17 | 1718.5 | +26.5 | 1745.0 | 28.8% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Utah | 7-53 | 1746.8 | -54.9 | 1691.9 | 22.1% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | Arizona | 17-52 | 1691.9 | -66.0 | 1625.9 | 39.2% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | L | West Virginia | 22-29 | 1625.9 | -8.1 | 1617.8 | 50.8% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | L | Arizona State | 17-42 | 1619.9 | -31.2 | 1588.7 | 26.6% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | L | Kansas State | 14-24 | 1588.7 | +8.6 | 1597.3 | 21.0% |