Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
L |
Tulane
|
3-23 |
1490.3 |
-25.9
|
1464.4 |
37.5% |
| 3 |
Sep 5 2025 |
W |
Western Illinois
|
42-7 |
1464.4 |
+0.0
|
1464.4 |
44.9% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Oregon
|
14-34 |
1464.4 |
-5.4
|
1459.0 |
4.7% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
UCLA
|
17-14 |
1459.0 |
+32.0
|
1491.0 |
54.7% |
| 7 |
Oct 4 2025 |
W |
Louisiana Monroe
|
42-7 |
1491.0 |
+18.2
|
1509.2 |
48.7% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
W |
Penn State
|
22-21 |
1509.2 |
+73.2
|
1582.4 |
18.2% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
W |
Purdue
|
19-0 |
1582.4 |
+11.0
|
1593.4 |
83.0% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
Nebraska
|
21-28 |
1593.4 |
-37.1
|
1556.3 |
51.6% |
| 12 |
Nov 7 2025 |
L |
USC
|
17-38 |
1556.3 |
-16.0
|
1540.3 |
24.1% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
L |
Michigan
|
22-24 |
1540.3 |
-15.0
|
1525.3 |
13.5% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
Minnesota
|
38-35 |
1525.3 |
+51.7
|
1577.0 |
31.9% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
L |
Illinois
|
13-20 |
1577.0 |
-23.4
|
1553.6 |
34.2% |
| 19 |
Dec 26 2025 |
W |
Central Michigan
|
34-7 |
1553.6 |
+17.3
|
1570.9 |
79.7% |