| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 2026 | W | Hampton | 62-0 | 1592.5 | +88.7 | 1681.2 | 98.2% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | UConn | 38-14 | 1681.2 | +89.9 | 1771.1 | 66.1% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | L | Virginia Tech | 26-35 | 1771.1 | -78.3 | 1692.8 | 58.2% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | UCLA | 3-54 | 1692.8 | -111.8 | 1580.9 | 53.4% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Nebraska | 23-48 | 1580.9 | -4.8 | 1576.1 | 19.0% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Ohio State | 16-45 | 1576.1 | +9.5 | 1585.6 | 4.1% |