| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Ball State | 31-0 | 1540.4 | +60.3 | 1600.7 | 81.0% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Southern Illinois | 34-17 | 1600.7 | -0.6 | 1600.1 | 84.9% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | L | USC | 17-33 | 1600.1 | +8.8 | 1608.9 | 8.0% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | L | Notre Dame | 30-56 | 1608.9 | -6.1 | 1602.8 | 10.3% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | L | Illinois | 27-43 | 1613.8 | -6.2 | 1607.6 | 18.6% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | L | Minnesota | 20-27 | 1607.6 | +0.2 | 1607.8 | 33.6% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | L | Northwestern | 0-19 | 1607.8 | -15.7 | 1592.1 | 35.2% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | L | Rutgers | 24-27 | 1592.1 | -10.6 | 1581.5 | 35.0% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | Michigan | 16-21 | 1581.5 | +26.6 | 1608.1 | 10.3% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | L | Ohio State | 10-34 | 1608.1 | +10.6 | 1618.7 | 2.9% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | L | Washington | 13-49 | 1618.7 | -31.8 | 1586.9 | 17.4% |
| 15 | Nov 28 2025 | L | Indiana | 3-56 | 1591.8 | -39.7 | 1552.1 | 2.8% |