| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 28 2025 | W | Ohio | 34-31 | 1788.9 | -35.1 | 1753.8 | 73.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Miami (OH) | 45-17 | 1753.8 | +55.9 | 1809.7 | 76.9% |
| 4 | Sep 13 2025 | W | Norfolk State | 60-10 | 1809.7 | +7.3 | 1817.0 | 99.3% |
| 5 | Sep 19 2025 | L | Iowa | 28-38 | 1817.0 | -39.8 | 1777.2 | 47.0% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | L | Minnesota | 28-31 | 1777.2 | +10.2 | 1787.4 | 52.1% |
| 8 | Oct 10 2025 | L | Washington | 19-38 | 1779.1 | -13.7 | 1765.4 | 32.5% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | L | Oregon | 10-56 | 1765.4 | -65.7 | 1699.7 | 13.8% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | Purdue | 27-24 | 1699.7 | +0.9 | 1700.6 | 65.0% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | Illinois | 13-35 | 1700.6 | -16.7 | 1683.9 | 29.0% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Maryland | 35-20 | 1683.9 | +20.2 | 1704.1 | 49.2% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | L | Ohio State | 9-42 | 1703.2 | -6.4 | 1696.8 | 4.9% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | L | Penn State | 36-40 | 1696.8 | +13.3 | 1710.1 | 15.9% |