| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 2026 | W | Utah Tech | 63-7 | 1790.6 | +1.6 | 1792.1 | 99.3% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Arizona | 28-17 | 1792.1 | -15.2 | 1776.9 | 69.2% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Colorado State | 41-23 | 1776.9 | -4.9 | 1772.0 | 92.5% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | TCU | 17-10 | 1771.6 | -3.2 | 1768.4 | 76.8% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Iowa State | 24-10 | 1768.4 | +14.8 | 1783.2 | 70.6% |