| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 28 2025 | W | Jacksonville State | 17-10 | 1731.3 | -17.7 | 1713.6 | 72.8% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | North Carolina A&T | 68-7 | 1713.6 | +85.7 | 1799.3 | 97.7% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | North Carolina | 34-9 | 1789.1 | +39.3 | 1828.4 | 77.2% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | L | Kansas State | 20-34 | 1828.4 | -58.3 | 1770.1 | 64.6% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | L | Kansas | 20-27 | 1770.1 | -21.0 | 1749.1 | 41.3% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | L | Cincinnati | 11-20 | 1749.1 | -6.6 | 1742.5 | 37.0% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | West Virginia | 45-13 | 1742.5 | +50.5 | 1793.0 | 68.9% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | Baylor | 3-30 | 1797.1 | -53.6 | 1743.5 | 56.0% |
| 12 | Nov 7 2025 | L | Houston | 27-30 | 1743.5 | -11.0 | 1732.5 | 52.6% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | L | Texas Tech | 9-48 | 1732.5 | -38.1 | 1694.4 | 12.7% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | W | Oklahoma State | 17-14 | 1694.4 | -28.4 | 1666.0 | 84.0% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | L | BYU | 21-41 | 1666.0 | +1.8 | 1667.8 | 13.0% |