| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Lafayette | 56-7 | 1582.1 | +29.5 | 1611.7 | 97.1% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Maryland | 14-38 | 1611.7 | -91.7 | 1520.0 | 33.9% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | Southern Miss | 48-20 | 1520.0 | +55.6 | 1575.6 | 71.9% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Miami (OH) | 21-24 | 1575.6 | -35.6 | 1540.0 | 72.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | L | Syracuse | 41-42 | 1540.0 | -15.7 | 1524.3 | 47.4% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Temple | 34-20 | 1524.3 | +23.6 | 1547.9 | 56.3% |