| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Old Dominion | 27-14 | 1935.4 | -34.2 | 1901.2 | 89.4% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Kennesaw State | 56-9 | 1901.2 | +52.5 | 1953.7 | 97.3% |
| 4 | Sep 12 2025 | W | Indiana State | 73-0 | 1953.7 | +85.0 | 2038.7 | 99.0% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | Illinois | 63-10 | 2038.7 | +130.3 | 2169.0 | 62.2% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Iowa | 20-15 | 2169.0 | -19.1 | 2149.9 | 85.0% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Oregon | 30-20 | 2154.2 | +28.3 | 2182.5 | 55.8% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Michigan State | 38-13 | 2182.5 | -20.0 | 2162.5 | 96.4% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | UCLA | 56-6 | 2162.5 | +42.7 | 2205.2 | 93.9% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | Maryland | 55-10 | 2205.2 | +42.1 | 2247.3 | 93.6% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Penn State | 27-24 | 2247.3 | -26.8 | 2220.5 | 86.9% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | Wisconsin | 31-7 | 2220.5 | -12.3 | 2208.2 | 95.6% |
| 15 | Nov 28 2025 | W | Purdue | 56-3 | 2208.5 | +32.5 | 2241.0 | 97.2% |
| 16 | Dec 6 2025 | W | Ohio State | 13-10 | 2241.0 | -1.2 | 2239.8 | 51.8% |
| 20 | Jan 1 2026 | W | Alabama | 38-3 | 2231.1 | +33.0 | 2264.1 | 75.5% |
| 21 | Jan 9 2026 | W | Oregon | 56-22 | 2264.1 | +35.8 | 2299.9 | 62.4% |
| 22 | Jan 19 2026 | W | Miami | 27-21 | 2299.9 | -6.3 | 2293.6 | 80.4% |