| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | Old Dominion | 27-14 | 1714.0 | +11.0 | 1725.0 | 83.0% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | W | Kennesaw State | 56-9 | 1725.0 | +3.3 | 1728.3 | 94.7% |
| 4 | Sep 12 2025 | W | Indiana State | 73-0 | 1728.3 | +0.0 | 1728.3 | 78.8% |
| 5 | Sep 20 2025 | W | Illinois | 63-10 | 1728.3 | +43.5 | 1771.8 | 41.0% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | Iowa | 20-15 | 1771.8 | +41.5 | 1813.3 | 58.9% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | Oregon | 30-20 | 1813.3 | +70.6 | 1883.9 | 21.9% |
| 9 | Oct 18 2025 | W | Michigan State | 38-13 | 1883.9 | +4.5 | 1888.4 | 92.9% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | UCLA | 56-6 | 1888.4 | +8.1 | 1896.5 | 87.3% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | W | Maryland | 55-10 | 1896.5 | +7.8 | 1904.3 | 93.2% |
| 12 | Nov 8 2025 | W | Penn State | 27-24 | 1904.3 | +21.3 | 1925.6 | 80.4% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | Wisconsin | 31-7 | 1925.6 | +5.6 | 1931.2 | 91.2% |
| 15 | Nov 28 2025 | W | Purdue | 56-3 | 1931.2 | +2.5 | 1933.7 | 97.8% |
| 16 | Dec 6 2025 | W | Ohio State | 13-10 | 1933.7 | +66.5 | 2000.2 | 21.7% |
| 20 | Jan 1 2026 | W | Alabama | 38-3 | 2000.2 | +36.6 | 2036.8 | 56.9% |
| 21 | Jan 9 2026 | W | Oregon | 56-22 | 2036.8 | +46.9 | 2083.7 | 44.8% |
| 22 | Jan 19 2026 | W | Miami | 27-21 | 2083.7 | +27.0 | 2110.7 | 68.2% |