Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
L |
Kentucky
|
16-24 |
1444.5 |
-34.7
|
1409.8 |
48.6% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Western Kentucky
|
45-21 |
1409.8 |
+48.7
|
1458.5 |
35.3% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
W |
Morgan State
|
60-0 |
1458.5 |
+0.0
|
1458.5 |
44.1% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
L |
Western Michigan
|
13-14 |
1458.5 |
-63.5
|
1395.0 |
80.2% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
W |
Akron
|
45-3 |
1395.0 |
+10.8
|
1405.8 |
83.3% |
| 8 |
Oct 11 2025 |
L |
Bowling Green
|
23-28 |
1405.8 |
-39.1
|
1366.7 |
54.0% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
W |
Kent State
|
45-10 |
1366.7 |
+6.9
|
1373.6 |
89.2% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
Washington State
|
7-28 |
1373.6 |
-32.2
|
1341.4 |
45.5% |
| 12 |
Nov 5 2025 |
W |
Northern Illinois
|
42-3 |
1341.4 |
+27.5
|
1368.9 |
60.4% |
| 13 |
Nov 12 2025 |
W |
Miami (OH)
|
24-3 |
1368.9 |
+64.9
|
1433.8 |
29.8% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
Ball State
|
38-9 |
1433.8 |
+12.0
|
1445.8 |
81.6% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Central Michigan
|
21-3 |
1445.8 |
+38.0
|
1483.8 |
62.9% |
| 19 |
Dec 23 2025 |
L |
Louisville
|
22-27 |
1483.8 |
-25.0
|
1458.8 |
29.4% |